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How do we model situations that change by a constant percentage each step?

Recognise geometric sequences, use the recursive and explicit rules with the common ratio, and apply them to growth and decay.

How to identify a geometric sequence by its common ratio, use the recursive and explicit term rules, and apply the model to percentage growth and decay such as populations and reducing-balance depreciation.

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  1. What this dot point is asking
  2. The common ratio
  3. Growth versus decay
  4. Switching between the forms
  5. Doubling and halving times
  6. Comparing arithmetic and geometric growth

What this dot point is asking

You must recognise geometric behaviour, find the common ratio, use both forms of the rule, and apply the model to percentage growth and decay.

The common ratio

A sequence is geometric when each term is a fixed multiple of the one before, the common ratio RR. Test by dividing consecutive terms: if t2t1=t3t2=\dfrac{t_2}{t_1} = \dfrac{t_3}{t_2} = \dots, the sequence is geometric.

A growth of r%r\% per period gives R=1+r100R = 1 + \dfrac{r}{100}; a decay of r%r\% gives R=1r100R = 1 - \dfrac{r}{100}. So 8%8\% growth is R=1.08R = 1.08 and 12%12\% decay is R=0.88R = 0.88.

Growth versus decay

The value of RR decides the whole shape of the model.

  • R>1R > 1: geometric growth, an upward curve that steepens (compound interest, populations).
  • 0<R<10 < R < 1: geometric decay, a downward curve that flattens towards zero (reducing-balance depreciation, radioactive decay).
  • R=1R = 1: a constant sequence; nothing changes.

Switching between the forms

Use the recursive rule to build a table or to let technology iterate; use the explicit rule tn=aRn1t_n = a R^{n-1} for a single far-off term. When given two terms, divide them to find RR: if t2=aRt_2 = aR and t5=aR4t_5 = aR^4, then t5t2=R3\dfrac{t_5}{t_2} = R^3, so R=t5t23R = \sqrt[3]{\dfrac{t_5}{t_2}}, and back-substitute for aa.

Note the index convention: tn=aRn1t_n = a R^{n-1} uses n1n-1 when t1=at_1 = a is the first term. In finance the version An=A0RnA_n = A_0 R^n is common, where A0A_0 is the starting value before any period. Decide which counting you are using and stay consistent.

Doubling and halving times

A common question asks how long a geometric model takes to double (for growth) or halve (for decay). Set the explicit rule equal to twice (or half) the start and solve by trial on the calculator. For 8%8\% annual growth, solve 1.08n=21.08^n = 2: testing gives 1.089=1.9991.08^9 = 1.999, so doubling takes about 99 years. For a decay with R=0.85R = 0.85, solve 0.85n=0.50.85^n = 0.5: 0.854=0.5220.85^4 = 0.522 and 0.855=0.4440.85^5 = 0.444, so the quantity halves during year 55. Reporting the first whole period that crosses the target is the expected form of the answer.

Comparing arithmetic and geometric growth

Over a few periods, a steep arithmetic increase can stay ahead of a modest geometric one, but geometric growth always overtakes eventually because it compounds. This is the reason compound interest beats simple interest over time and why a small percentage population growth produces large absolute increases in later years. When a question gives both an "increases by a fixed amount" option and an "increases by a percentage" option, expect to model one as arithmetic and the other as geometric and compare them at a chosen period.

Exam-style practice questions

Practice questions written in the style of SCSA exam questions on this dot point, with worked answer explainers. The year tag is the paper they imitate, not the source.

WACE 20216 marksA town's population is 2400024\,000 and grows by 3%3\% each year. (a) Write a recursive rule for the population PnP_n after nn years. (b) Find the population after 1010 years. (c) In how many complete years does the population first exceed 3200032\,000?
Show worked answer →

Growth of 3%3\% per year multiplies by 1.031.03, so the model is geometric.

(a) Common ratio R=1.03R = 1.03, so Pn+1=1.03PnP_{n+1} = 1.03\,P_n, with P0=24000P_0 = 24000. (1 mark)

(b) Explicit form Pn=24000×1.03nP_n = 24000 \times 1.03^n. After 1010 years: P10=24000×1.0310=24000×1.34392=32254P_{10} = 24000 \times 1.03^{10} = 24000 \times 1.34392 = 32254, so about 3225432\,254 people. (2 marks)

(c) Solve 24000×1.03n>3200024000 \times 1.03^n > 32000, so 1.03n>1.33331.03^n > 1.3333. By trial, 1.039=1.30481.03^9 = 1.3048 and 1.0310=1.34391.03^{10} = 1.3439, so the population first exceeds 3200032\,000 in year 1010. (3 marks)

Markers reward the ratio 1.031.03, a correct explicit substitution, and finding the first whole year above the threshold.

WACE 20235 marksA machine bought for \45\,000depreciatesby depreciates by 15\%ofitsvalueeachyear.(a)Statethecommonratio.(b)Finditsvalueafter of its value each year. (a) State the common ratio. (b) Find its value after 4years.(c)Findthepercentageoftheoriginalvalueremainingafter years. (c) Find the percentage of the original value remaining after 4$ years.
Show worked answer →

A 15%15\% loss each year multiplies by 0.850.85, a geometric decay.

(a) Common ratio R=10.15=0.85R = 1 - 0.15 = 0.85. (1 mark)

(b) Vn=45000×0.85nV_n = 45000 \times 0.85^n, so V4=45000×0.854=45000×0.52200=23490V_4 = 45000 \times 0.85^4 = 45000 \times 0.52200 = 23490, that is $23490\$23\,490. (2 marks)

(c) Fraction remaining =0.854=0.522=52.2%= 0.85^4 = 0.522 = 52.2\% of the original value. (2 marks)

Markers reward the decay ratio 0.850.85, the explicit substitution, and reading the remaining fraction directly from RnR^n.

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