Standardisation and normal probability calculations: WACE Year 12 Mathematics Methods Unit 4
“Standardise a normal variable to a z-score and calculate normal probabilities, including finding a value from a given probability”
Standardise with to convert any normal variable to the standard normal . Then find probabilities from the standard normal, and for inverse problems reverse the formula as to recover a value from a given probability.
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What this dot point is asking
SCSA Unit 4 uses standardisation to compute probabilities for any normal distribution. This dot point asks you to convert to a -score, find probabilities (often with the calculator), and solve inverse problems where a value is found from a given probability. It is examined in both sections.
Standardising
A -score measures how many standard deviations a value lies from the mean.
A positive is above the mean, a negative below. The standardised variable follows .
Standardising lets one standard normal handle every normal distribution, and is the basis for both table-based and calculator-based probability work.
Probability between two values
Test marks are normal with and . Find .
Standardise both boundaries.
So , the central region within one standard deviation.
By the empirical rule this is about (the calculator gives ). Markers reward standardising both ends and recognising the symmetric central region.
Using symmetry
The standard normal is symmetric about , so and . These identities convert any tail or interval probability into a form the calculator or the empirical rule handles, and they are essential in the calculator-free section.
Inverse problems
An inverse problem gives a probability and asks for the corresponding value of . Find the -score matching that cumulative probability, then unstandardise with .
For marks with and , find the mark exceeded by the top .
Step 1: Convert the tail probability to a -score
We are looking for the such that of the distribution lies above it, which means lies below. Reading the standard normal table (or calculator) at cumulative probability gives the required .
The top means , so . The matching -score is about .
Step 2: Unstandardise to recover the original scale
The inverse of the standardisation formula is . We scale the -score back to the original units using the given mean and standard deviation.
Final answer: a mark of about is the cutoff for the top .
Comparing values from different distributions
A -score is a universal measure of relative standing because it strips away the original units. A student who scores in English and in Mathematics performed more strongly in English relative to that cohort, even if the raw marks were higher in Mathematics. SCSA sometimes frames a question this way, asking which of two results is more impressive; the answer is whichever has the larger -score, since both are then measured on the same standard scale.
Symmetric limits about the mean
Reaction times are normal with s and s. Find the symmetric interval about the mean containing the central of times.
The central corresponds to (the standard normal value cutting off in each tail). Unstandardise both ends:
So the central of reaction times lie between about s and s. Markers reward the values and unstandardising symmetrically about the mean.
Choosing the direction
The most common slip is solving the wrong inequality. Sketch the bell, shade the region the probability describes, and check whether the required is positive (above the mean) or negative (below) before unstandardising.
- Dividing by
- Standardisation divides by the standard deviation , not the variance .
- Wrong tail in an inverse problem
- The top corresponds to a cumulative probability of , giving a positive ; the bottom gives a negative .
- Sign error on the -score
- A value below the mean has a negative ; keep track using a sketch.
- Forgetting to unstandardise
- Inverse problems ask for , so finish with , not the -score itself.
Exam-style questions
Questions in the style of SCSA exam questions on this dot point, each with a worked answer. They are written by ExamExplained unless tagged "Past paper"; the year shows the paper a question is modelled on.
WACE 2022-style6 marksCalculator-assumed. The lifetime of a battery is normally distributed with mean hours and standard deviation hours. (a) Find . (b) Find . (c) Find the lifetime exceeded by of batteries.Show worked answer →
A standardisation question with an inverse part.
(a) . .
(b) , . .
(c) Exceeded by means , so , giving . Then hours.
Markers reward standardising each value, the calculator probabilities, and unstandardising in (c) with a negative .
WACE 2024-style4 marksCalculator-free. For test scores with and , a student scores . (a) Find the student's -score. (b) Using the empirical rule, estimate the proportion of students who scored higher.Show worked answer →
A calculator-free standardisation question.
(a) .
(b) is above the mean. Beyond is in two tails, so the upper tail is about . About of students scored higher.
Markers reward the -score of and using the empirical-rule tail of .