How smoking, vaping and alcohol contribute to Australia's health status (VCE HHD Unit 3 AoS 1)
“The contribution to Australia's health status of smoking and vaping, and alcohol”
Tobacco use was the second leading risk factor for burden of disease in Australia in 2024 (7.6 per cent of total burden) and alcohol use the sixth (4.1 per cent). Smoking increases the incidence, prevalence and mortality of lung cancer, COPD and cardiovascular disease; alcohol increases injury deaths, liver disease, several cancers and mental health conditions. Daily smoking fell to 8.3 per cent in 2022-2023, but current vaping nearly tripled to 7.0 per cent (21 per cent of 18 to 24 year olds), and 31 per cent of people drank at risky levels.
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What this dot point is asking
This is new key knowledge in the 2025 study design: "the contribution to Australia's health status of smoking and vaping, alcohol, overweight and obesity, nutritional imbalance". This page covers smoking, vaping and alcohol; overweight, obesity and nutritional imbalance has its own page.
The VCAA FAQ (updated February 2026) explains that although the study design does not list diseases, this key knowledge "requires students to link these factors to health outcomes". For smoking and vaping, students "are expected to recognise that smoking is a risk factor for cancer and heart disease". The first exam on the new design asked exactly this: "Explain two ways in which smoking/vaping may affect health outcomes in Australia" (2025, Question 4a, 4 marks).
To answer well you need three things for each risk factor:
- The mechanism: what the substance does to the body.
- The condition: a named disease or injury.
- The indicator and direction: which health status indicator changes, and whether it goes up or down.
Tobacco smoking
How smoking harms health
Tobacco smoke contains thousands of chemicals, including carcinogens, carbon monoxide and nicotine.
- Cancers. Carcinogens damage the DNA of cells, leading to uncontrolled cell division and tumours, especially lung cancer and cancers of the mouth, throat and bladder.
- Respiratory disease. Smoke damages the airways and alveoli, causing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD, including emphysema and chronic bronchitis) and worsening asthma.
- Cardiovascular disease. Smoking damages blood vessel walls and promotes plaque build-up (atherosclerosis), raises blood pressure and makes blood more likely to clot, increasing coronary heart disease and stroke.
- Other effects. Reduced immune function, poorer wound healing, and harms in pregnancy (low birthweight), plus second-hand smoke harms to others.
Smoking's contribution to health status: the data
- Burden. Tobacco use contributed 7.6 per cent of total burden of disease in 2024, second to overweight including obesity (8.3 per cent). It contributed the most of any risk factor to fatal burden (11.7 per cent of YLL) and 4.1 per cent of non-fatal burden (AIHW Australian Burden of Disease Study 2024).
- Disease groups. Tobacco caused 36 per cent of the burden from respiratory diseases and 15 per cent of the burden from cancers.
- Deaths. In 2024, chronic lower respiratory diseases (mostly COPD) were the 3rd leading cause of death with 9,229 deaths, the first time they had ranked 3rd since 1996, and lung cancer was 5th with 9,119 deaths (ABS Causes of Death 2024). Lung cancer was the 3rd leading cause of death for males.
- Trend. The age-standardised rate of burden attributable to tobacco fell 41 per cent between 2003 and 2024, which is why overweight and obesity overtook tobacco as the leading risk factor.
- Prevalence. Daily smoking among people aged 14 and over fell from 11.0 per cent in 2019 to 8.3 per cent in 2022-2023 (NDSHS). The ABS National Health Survey 2022 found 10.6 per cent of adults were current daily smokers (a different survey and age range, so quote the source you use).
Why does tobacco still cause so much burden if fewer people smoke? The AIHW explains that burden remains high "due to the long lag times between smoking and developing diseases such as cancers and chronic respiratory conditions" and the remaining risk among people who smoked in the past. Today's lung cancer and COPD deaths largely reflect smoking decades ago.
Vaping (e-cigarettes)
What vaping is and how it harms health
E-cigarettes heat a liquid, usually containing nicotine, flavourings and other chemicals, into an aerosol that is inhaled. The NDSHS 2022-2023 found more than half of e-cigarettes used contained nicotine.
Health concerns include:
- Nicotine dependence, which is particularly harmful to the developing adolescent brain and can lead to tobacco smoking in people who did not previously smoke.
- Respiratory irritation and exposure to chemicals in the aerosol.
- Poisoning and burns from liquids and devices.
- Mental health effects, including anxiety and stress associated with dependence and withdrawal.
Because vaping is recent, its long-term contribution to disease is not yet well measured. The AIHW's 2024 tobacco estimates explicitly exclude nicotine vaping; nicotine vaping and vaping illicit drugs will be assessed for inclusion as risk factors in the next major burden of disease update (2026).
Vaping trends
- Current e-cigarette use among people aged 14 and over nearly tripled, from 2.5 per cent in 2019 to 7.0 per cent in 2022-2023 (NDSHS).
- Among 18 to 24 year olds it quadrupled from 5.3 per cent to 21 per cent, and among 14 to 17 year olds it rose more than five-fold, from 1.8 to 9.7 per cent.
- The ABS National Health Survey 2022 found 14.4 per cent of adults had ever used an e-cigarette or vaping device.
- Vaping is concentrated in young people, the opposite of tobacco smoking, which is more common in older age groups. In 2022-2023 daily smoking among 18 to 24 year olds had fallen to 5.9 per cent.
The policy response (context for health promotion)
The Australian Government introduced staged vaping reforms: a ban on importing disposable vapes from 1 January 2024; from 1 July 2024, the Therapeutic Goods and Other Legislation Amendment (Vaping Reforms) Act 2024 prohibited the importation, domestic manufacture, supply, commercial possession and advertisement of disposable and non-therapeutic vapes; and from 1 October 2024, adults aged 18 and over could buy therapeutic vapes with nicotine concentrations of 20 mg/mL or less from pharmacies without a prescription, where the pharmacist judges it clinically appropriate, while under-18s need a prescription (TGA). The National Tobacco Strategy 2023-2030 set targets of daily smoking below 10 per cent by 2025 and 5 per cent or less by 2030. These strategies are analysed in tobacco health promotion.
Alcohol
How alcohol harms health
Alcohol is a depressant and a toxin. Its effects are both short-term (from single occasions of heavy drinking) and long-term (from regular drinking over years).
| Pattern | Mechanism | Health outcomes |
|---|---|---|
| Single occasion (binge) | Impaired judgement, coordination and reaction time | Road crash injuries, falls, drowning, assaults, alcohol poisoning; increased injury mortality |
| Long-term regular use | Liver damage, raised blood pressure, carcinogenic breakdown product (acetaldehyde), high energy content | Chronic liver disease, cardiovascular disease, stroke, cancers of the mouth, throat, oesophagus, liver, bowel and breast; weight gain |
| Dependence | Changes in brain chemistry | Alcohol use disorders, depression and anxiety, relationship and employment problems |
| Pregnancy | Alcohol crosses the placenta | Fetal alcohol spectrum disorder |
Alcohol's contribution to health status: the data
- Burden. Alcohol use contributed 4.1 per cent of total burden in 2024, the sixth leading risk factor, including 5.4 per cent of fatal burden (AIHW).
- Sex difference. Alcohol contributed 5.5 per cent of males' burden compared with 2.6 per cent of females'. For males aged 15 to 44, alcohol use or illicit drug use was the leading risk factor, and alcohol use disorders and poisoning were among the five leading causes of burden.
- Risky drinking. In 2022-2023, 31 per cent of people aged 14 and over (about 6.6 million) drank at levels that put their health at risk: 25 per cent drank more than 10 standard drinks a week and 24 per cent drank more than 4 standard drinks on a single day at least monthly. This continued a gradual decline that began in 2013 (NDSHS).
- Adults exceeding the guideline. The ABS National Health Survey 2022 found 26.8 per cent of adults exceeded the Australian Adult Alcohol Guideline.
The NHMRC's Australian Guidelines to Reduce Health Risks from Drinking Alcohol (2020) advise that healthy adults drink no more than 10 standard drinks a week and no more than 4 standard drinks on any one day; that people under 18 should not drink alcohol; and that women who are pregnant, planning a pregnancy or breastfeeding should not drink. A standard drink contains 10 grams of pure alcohol.
Linking to indicators: ready-made chains
Use these as models, always stating the condition and the direction.
| Risk factor | Chain to an indicator |
|---|---|
| Smoking | Carcinogens damage lung cells, increasing the incidence of lung cancer and mortality from lung cancer |
| Smoking | Damage to alveoli causes COPD, increasing YLD because people live for years with breathlessness, and YLL from premature death |
| Smoking | Atherosclerosis and higher blood pressure increase heart attack and stroke, decreasing life expectancy |
| Vaping | Nicotine dependence in young people increases the prevalence of nicotine addiction and may increase later uptake of smoking |
| Alcohol | Impaired judgement increases road crash injuries, increasing mortality from injury among young males |
| Alcohol | Long-term liver damage increases the prevalence of chronic liver disease and burden of disease (DALY) |
| Alcohol | Dependence increases the prevalence of alcohol use disorders, affecting mental health and wellbeing |
Way 1: cancer. Cigarettes and e-cigarette aerosols contain carcinogens that damage the DNA of cells lining the lungs and airways, causing abnormal cell division and tumours. This increases the incidence of lung cancer and the mortality rate from lung cancer in Australia, which was the 5th leading cause of death in 2024.
Way 2: cardiovascular disease. Nicotine and other chemicals raise blood pressure and damage the lining of blood vessels, promoting atherosclerosis. This narrows the coronary arteries and increases the risk of heart attack, increasing mortality from coronary heart disease and reducing life expectancy.
Each way uses a different outcome, names a condition, and gives a direction for a named indicator.
Linking to the dimensions of health and wellbeing
Questions may ask about health and wellbeing rather than health status. Examples:
- Physical: reduced lung function and fitness, lowered immune function (smoking); injury and liver damage (alcohol).
- Mental: nicotine or alcohol dependence, increased anxiety and stress during withdrawal, impaired decision-making when intoxicated.
- Emotional: difficulty managing emotions when intoxicated; mood swings associated with dependence.
- Social: conflict with family, isolation, or loss of employment linked to alcohol misuse; exclusion from smoke-free social settings.
- Spiritual: loss of sense of purpose or meaning associated with addiction.
Variations between groups
Smoking and alcohol also help explain variations in health status (see factors contributing to variations):
- Sex: males bear a much larger share of alcohol-attributable burden (5.5 compared with 2.6 per cent of total burden in 2024).
- Age: vaping is concentrated among young people, smoking among older people.
- Socioeconomic status and remoteness: smoking is more common in lower socioeconomic groups and remote areas, contributing to higher rates of lung cancer, COPD and cardiovascular disease.
When you use these factors, trace behaviours back to sociocultural, commercial and environmental influences, such as marketing, affordability, stress, social norms and the retail availability of tobacco and alcohol, rather than presenting them as simple individual choices.
The 2025 report singled out answers such as "smoking increases morbidity" or "smoking increases incidence". Add the condition: "increases morbidity from lung cancer", "increases the incidence of cardiovascular disease".
The AIHW's 7.6 per cent tobacco figure excludes nicotine vaping. If you use it in a vaping answer, say so, and use the NDSHS prevalence data (7.0 per cent current use; 21 per cent of 18 to 24 year olds) to describe vaping itself.
Connecting to the rest of the course
These risk factors link directly to the health-as-a-resource question on the 2025 paper ("how reducing rates of smoking/vaping may act as a resource", see benefits of health and wellbeing), to the social model of health and Ottawa Charter in Unit 3 AoS 2, and to the Unit 4 global trend of "increased world trade (global distribution and marketing of tobacco products, e-cigarette products and processed foods)".
Exam-style questions
Questions in the style of VCAA exam questions on this dot point, each with a worked answer. They are written by ExamExplained unless tagged "Past paper"; the year shows the paper a question is modelled on.
2025 VCAA Q4aPast paper4 marksExplain two ways in which smoking/vaping may affect health outcomes in Australia.Show worked answer →
Average 2.4 out of 4; 23 per cent scored full marks.
What earned the marks (2025 examiners' report): link smoking or vaping to a dimension of health and wellbeing and/or a measure of health status, using a different health outcome for each way. About 2 marks per way: the mechanism and the specific outcome with its direction.
Common issues. Generic statements such as "smoking increases morbidity" or "smoking increases incidence" did not score; the report wanted context such as "smoking increases morbidity from lung cancer". Answers that said an indicator was "impacted" without saying increased or decreased also lost marks.
High-scoring response quoted in the report (summarised). Cigarettes and e-cigarettes contain carcinogens that can damage cells as they divide and lead to tumours, increasing the prevalence of cancer in Australia. They also contain chemicals that contribute to plaque build-up in the arteries (atherosclerosis), increasing the likelihood of a heart attack, so increased smoking and vaping can increase mortality from heart attack and other cardiovascular diseases.
2022 VCAA Q9Past paper4 marksDescribe how the overconsumption of alcohol has an impact on two indicators of health status.Show worked answer →
Up to 2 marks per indicator for a meaningful link from an effect of overconsumption to a named indicator (2022 examiners' report).
Model answer. Mortality: alcohol impairs judgement and coordination, increasing drink driving, falls, assaults and drowning, so overconsumption increases mortality rates from injury. Prevalence: long-term heavy drinking damages the liver and raises blood pressure, increasing the prevalence of chronic liver disease and cardiovascular disease, and it increases the risk of several cancers.
The report's high-scoring response used mortality from injury and prevalence of cardiovascular disease. Name the condition and the direction each time.
Practice questions
Original practice questions graded from foundation to exam level, each with a full worked solution. Try them before revealing the solution.
foundation2 marksUsing data, outline one change in tobacco smoking or e-cigarette use in Australia between 2019 and 2022-2023.Show worked solution →
One mark for a change over time with direction, one for accurate data with units.
Daily tobacco smoking among people aged 14 and over fell from 11.0 per cent in 2019 to 8.3 per cent in 2022-2023, the lowest rate recorded (AIHW, National Drug Strategy Household Survey). Alternatively: current e-cigarette use nearly tripled, from 2.5 per cent to 7.0 per cent, and among 18 to 24 year olds it rose from 5.3 per cent to 21 per cent.
core4 marksExplain how harmful alcohol use contributes to variations in health status between Australian males and females.Show worked solution →
About 2 marks for the mechanism and outcome, about 2 for the comparison with data.
Harmful alcohol use increases injuries (road crashes, assaults, falls), alcohol use disorders, chronic liver disease and several cancers, increasing mortality and burden of disease (2 marks). Males are more likely than females to drink at risky levels, and in 2024 alcohol use contributed 5.5 per cent of males' total burden of disease compared with 2.6 per cent for females (AIHW Australian Burden of Disease Study 2024). Alcohol use disorders and poisoning were among the five leading causes of burden for males aged 15 to 44, contributing to males' higher rate of fatal burden (2 marks).
exam6 marksTobacco use is no longer the leading risk factor for burden of disease in Australia. Analyse why tobacco smoking still makes a large contribution to Australia's health status, and why vaping is an emerging concern.Show worked solution →
A 6-mark "analyse" needs data, mechanisms and the reasoning behind the change.
- Current contribution (about 2 marks)
- Tobacco use contributed 7.6 per cent of Australia's total burden of disease in 2024, second only to overweight including obesity (8.3 per cent), and it contributed the most to fatal burden (11.7 per cent of YLL) (AIHW). It accounted for 36 per cent of the burden from respiratory diseases and 15 per cent of the burden from cancer. Lung cancer (9,119 deaths) and chronic lower respiratory diseases (9,229 deaths) were the 5th and 3rd leading causes of death in 2024 (ABS).
- Why it remains high despite falling smoking (about 2 marks)
- The age-standardised rate of tobacco-attributable burden fell 41 per cent between 2003 and 2024, reflecting falling smoking prevalence. But diseases such as lung cancer and COPD develop many years after exposure, so past smokers continue to experience disease; the AIHW notes the long lag times and the remaining risk among people who have smoked in the past.
- Why vaping is an emerging concern (about 2 marks)
- Current e-cigarette use rose from 2.5 per cent in 2019 to 7.0 per cent in 2022-2023, and to 21 per cent of 18 to 24 year olds and 9.7 per cent of 14 to 17 year olds (NDSHS). More than half of e-cigarettes used contained nicotine, which is addictive. The AIHW's 2024 tobacco estimates exclude nicotine vaping, and vaping is to be assessed as a new risk factor in the next major burden of disease study, so its full contribution to health status is not yet measured.
Practise this
Sources & how we know this
- National Drug Strategy Household Survey 2022-2023 — Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (2024)
- National Health Survey, 2022 — Australian Bureau of Statistics (2023)
- Australian Burden of Disease Study 2024 — Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (2024)
- Causes of Death, Australia, 2024 — Australian Bureau of Statistics (2025)
- New vaping laws to commence 1 July 2024 — Therapeutic Goods Administration (2024)
- 2025 VCE Health and Human Development external assessment report — Victorian Curriculum and Assessment Authority (2026)
- 2022 VCE Health and Human Development external assessment report — Victorian Curriculum and Assessment Authority (2023)
- VCE Health and Human Development Study Design (from 2025) — VCAA
- VCE Health and Human Development: examination specifications, past examinations and reports — VCAA