Skip to main content
ExamExplained
TAS · Math Methods
Math Methods study scene
§-Syllabus dot point
TASMath MethodsSyllabus dot point

How do we describe continuous random variables and work with the normal distribution?

Use probability density functions and the normal distribution, including standardisation to z-scores, to find probabilities.

A continuous random variable is described by a probability density function whose area gives probability; the normal distribution is the key model, and standardising to z-scores lets you compute its probabilities.

Reviewed by: AI editorial process; not yet individually human-reviewed

Have a quick question? Jump to the Q&A page

What this dot point is asking

A continuous random variable can take any value in an interval, so individual values have probability zero and we work with intervals instead. Its distribution is given by a probability density function f(x)f(x).

Because area is what matters, P(X=c)=0P(X = c) = 0 for any single value, and therefore P(aXb)=P(a<X<b)P(a \le X \le b) = P(a < X < b); the endpoints do not change a continuous probability.

The mean and variance are the continuous analogues of the discrete formulas:

μ=xf(x)dx,σ2=(xμ)2f(x)dx.\mu = \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} x\,f(x)\,dx, \qquad \sigma^2 = \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} (x-\mu)^2 f(x)\,dx.

The normal distribution

The normal distribution is the bell-shaped model written XN(μ,σ2)X \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2). It is symmetric about the mean μ\mu, and σ\sigma controls its spread.

Standardising to z-scores

Every normal distribution can be converted to the standard normal ZN(0,1)Z \sim N(0,1) by standardising.

Inverse normal problems

Many questions run the standardisation backwards: you are told a probability and must find the value of xx that achieves it. First find the zz-value with that lower-tail probability (from a table or the inverse normal function on a calculator), then unstandardise with x=μ+zσx = \mu + z\sigma. For example, to find the mark that the top 10%10\% of a normally distributed cohort exceed, with μ=60\mu = 60 and σ=12\sigma = 12, you need P(Z>z)=0.10P(Z > z) = 0.10, so z=1.2816z = 1.2816, giving x=60+1.2816×1275.4x = 60 + 1.2816\times 12 \approx 75.4. Watch the direction: "top 10%10\%" means 10%10\% above, so the zz-value is positive.

Combining the normal and binomial

A frequent extended-response structure first finds a normal probability pp, then uses that pp as the success probability in a binomial calculation about a sample of items. The link is that "an individual exceeds a threshold" is a single yes/no trial, so counting how many of nn individuals exceed it is binomial with that pp. Keep the two stages clearly separated: compute the normal probability first, then feed it into P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k}p^{k}(1-p)^{n-k}.

Summary

Treat continuous probability as area under the pdf, computed by integration, with total area 11. For normal problems, standardise with z=xμσz = \dfrac{x-\mu}{\sigma}, look up the lower-tail probability, then adjust for the region you need: subtract from 11 for an upper tail, or subtract two lower-tail values for a between-values range. Use the 68-95-99.7 rule as a quick sanity check on your answer.

Exam-style practice questions

Practice questions written in the style of TASC exam questions on this dot point, with worked answer explainers. The year tag is the paper they imitate, not the source.

TCE 20245 marksCalculator-free. A random variable XX is normally distributed with mean 1010 and standard deviation 22. Using the empirical rule, find: (a) P(6X14)P(6 \le X \le 14); (b) P(6X8)P(6 \le X \le 8); (c) the value of xx so that P(Xx)=0.0015P(X \ge x) = 0.0015.
Show worked answer →

Use the empirical (6868-9595-99.799.7) rule. With μ=10\mu = 10 and σ=2\sigma = 2: one SD spans 88 to 1212, two SDs span 66 to 1414, three SDs span 44 to 1616.

(a) 66 and 1414 are μ2σ\mu - 2\sigma and μ+2σ\mu + 2\sigma, so P(6X14)0.95P(6 \le X \le 14) \approx 0.95.

(b) 8=μσ8 = \mu - \sigma and 6=μ2σ6 = \mu - 2\sigma. The area between one and two SDs below the mean is 0.950.682=0.135\dfrac{0.95 - 0.68}{2} = 0.135.

(c) P(Xx)=0.0015P(X \ge x) = 0.0015 is the upper tail beyond three standard deviations (about 99.7%99.7\% lies within 33 SDs, leaving 0.15%0.15\% in each tail). So x=μ+3σ=10+6=16x = \mu + 3\sigma = 10 + 6 = 16.

TCE 20236 marksCalculator-assumed. Forearm length is normally distributed with mean 4040 cm and standard deviation 1010 cm. (a) Find the probability a randomly selected person has a forearm length greater than 4545 cm. (b) What length puts a person in the longest 20%20\%? (c) If 1010 people are selected, find the probability that at least 22 have a forearm length greater than 4545 cm.
Show worked answer →

(a) Standardise: z=454010=0.5z = \dfrac{45 - 40}{10} = 0.5. P(X>45)=P(Z>0.5)0.309P(X > 45) = P(Z > 0.5) \approx 0.309.

(b) The longest 20%20\% means P(X>x)=0.20P(X > x) = 0.20, so xx is the 8080th percentile. The zz-value with 20%20\% above is z=0.8416z = 0.8416. Then x=40+0.8416×10=48.42x = 40 + 0.8416\times 10 = 48.42 cm.

(c) Let YY be the number out of 1010 with forearm >45> 45 cm. YY is binomial with n=10n = 10 and p=0.3085p = 0.3085.

P(Y2)=1P(Y=0)P(Y=1).P(Y \ge 2) = 1 - P(Y = 0) - P(Y = 1).

P(Y=0)=(0.6915)10=0.0247P(Y = 0) = (0.6915)^{10} = 0.0247 and P(Y=1)=10×0.3085×(0.6915)9=0.1102P(Y = 1) = 10\times 0.3085\times(0.6915)^{9} = 0.1102.
So P(Y2)=10.02470.1102=0.865P(Y \ge 2) = 1 - 0.0247 - 0.1102 = 0.865. This part links the normal probability from (a) into a binomial calculation.

TCE 20244 marksCalculator-assumed. A normal distribution has 10%10\% above 3030 and 25%25\% below 1010. Find μ\mu and σ\sigma to two decimal places.
Show worked answer →

Convert each statement into a standardised equation. From standard normal tables: P(Z>z)=0.10P(Z > z) = 0.10 gives z=1.2816z = 1.2816, and P(Z<z)=0.25P(Z < z) = 0.25 gives z=0.6745z = -0.6745.

So 30=μ+1.2816σ30 = \mu + 1.2816\sigma and 10=μ0.6745σ10 = \mu - 0.6745\sigma.

Subtract the second from the first: 20=(1.2816+0.6745)σ=1.9561σ20 = (1.2816 + 0.6745)\sigma = 1.9561\sigma, so σ=201.9561=10.22\sigma = \dfrac{20}{1.9561} = 10.22.

Substitute back: μ=10+0.6745×10.22=16.89\mu = 10 + 0.6745\times 10.22 = 16.89.
So μ=16.89\mu = 16.89 and σ=10.22\sigma = 10.22 (to two d.p.). The skill is setting up two simultaneous equations from two given tail areas and solving them.

ExamExplained