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How do we find exact normal probabilities for any value using standardisation?

A z-score standardises a normal value to the standard normal distribution, enabling exact probabilities to be found by technology or tables.

How to standardise a normal value with a z-score, interpret z as standard deviations from the mean, and find exact normal probabilities and inverse-normal values.

Reviewed by: AI editorial process; not yet individually human-reviewed

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  1. What this dot point is asking
  2. The z-score
  3. Finding probabilities
  4. The inverse problem
  5. Finding an unknown mean or standard deviation
  6. Reading the right area
  7. Common errors
  8. Why it matters

What this dot point is asking

The empirical rule only handles whole-number multiples of σ\sigma. For any value, you standardise it to a z-score and read the probability from the standard normal distribution N(0,1)N(0,1).

The z-score

Standardising maps XN(μ,σ2)X\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2) onto ZN(0,1)Z\sim N(0,1), which has mean 00 and standard deviation 11. Equal z-scores represent equally extreme positions in different distributions, so z-scores let you compare values from different normal distributions.

Finding probabilities

In Stage 2 you use a calculator's normal CDF (or the standard normal table) to find the area. The standardisation tells you which area to look up.

The inverse problem

Sometimes you know the probability and want the value - the inverse normal. Find the z-score for that area, then unstandardise with x=μ+zσx=\mu+z\sigma.

Finding an unknown mean or standard deviation

The standardisation formula can be rearranged to find μ\mu or σ\sigma when a probability is given. If you know that P(X<x)=pP(X<x)=p for a particular xx, find the matching zz from the inverse normal, then solve z=xμσz=\dfrac{x-\mu}{\sigma} for the unknown parameter. For example, if a normal variable has σ=5\sigma=5 and P(X<30)=0.84P(X<30)=0.84, then z1.0z\approx 1.0, so 1.0=30μ51.0=\dfrac{30-\mu}{5}, giving μ=25\mu=25. Two such conditions give two equations and let you solve for both μ\mu and σ\sigma simultaneously, a standard higher-tariff SACE question.

Reading the right area

Every normal probability question reduces to one of three area types: a left area P(Z<z)P(Z<z), a right area P(Z>z)=1P(Z<z)P(Z>z)=1-P(Z<z), or a between area P(z1<Z<z2)=P(Z<z2)P(Z<z1)P(z_1<Z<z_2)=P(Z<z_2)-P(Z<z_1). The calculator returns left areas by default, so right and between probabilities are built from them by subtraction. Deciding which type you need is the single most important step, which is why a quick sketch of the shaded region is worth the few seconds it takes.

Common errors

Why it matters

Z-scores are the exact-probability engine of Topic 5 and a guaranteed exam skill, both forward (value to probability) and inverse (probability to value). Standardisation is also the mechanism behind Topic 6's confidence intervals, where critical z-values such as 1.961.96 come straight from inverse-normal reasoning.

Exam-style practice questions

Practice questions written in the style of SACE Board exam questions on this dot point, with worked answer explainers. The year tag is the paper they imitate, not the source.

SACE 20242 marksCalculator-assumed. Let XX be normally distributed with mean 5454 and standard deviation 66. Given that Pr(X>k)=0.10\Pr(X > k) = 0.10, determine the value of kk.
Show worked answer →

This is an inverse-normal problem. Pr(X>k)=0.10\Pr(X > k) = 0.10 means Pr(Xk)=0.90\Pr(X \le k) = 0.90.

The zz-score with 0.900.90 of the area below it is z=1.2816z = 1.2816 (the 90th percentile of the standard normal).

Unstandardise with x=μ+zσx = \mu + z\sigma:

k=54+1.2816×6=54+7.6961.7.k = 54 + 1.2816 \times 6 = 54 + 7.69 \approx 61.7.

So k61.7k \approx 61.7. Sense check: only 10%10\% exceed kk, so kk sits well above the mean 5454. Marks: one for z=1.2816z = 1.2816, one for unstandardising to 61.761.7.

SACE 20232 marksCalculator-assumed. The daily milk production of a cow is normally distributed with mean 21.921.9 litres and standard deviation 3.263.26 litres. Given that 15%15\% of cows produce cc litres or more, determine cc.
Show worked answer →

"15%15\% produce cc litres or more" means Pr(Xc)=0.15\Pr(X \ge c) = 0.15, so Pr(X<c)=0.85\Pr(X < c) = 0.85.

The zz-score for the 85th percentile is z=1.0364z = 1.0364.

Unstandardise with c=μ+zσc = \mu + z\sigma:

c=21.9+1.0364×3.26=21.9+3.3825.3 litres.c = 21.9 + 1.0364 \times 3.26 = 21.9 + 3.38 \approx 25.3 \text{ litres}.

So c25.3c \approx 25.3 litres. Marks: one for z=1.0364z = 1.0364, one for unstandardising. Sense check: only the top 15%15\% exceed cc, so it lies above the mean.

SACE 20222 marksCalculator-free. Two students sit different tests. Mai scores 8282 on a test with mean 7474 and standard deviation 88. Tom scores 6666 on a test with mean 6060 and standard deviation 44. Use zz-scores to determine who performed relatively better.
Show worked answer →

Standardise each: zMai=82748=1.0z_{\text{Mai}} = \dfrac{82 - 74}{8} = 1.0 and zTom=66604=1.5z_{\text{Tom}} = \dfrac{66 - 60}{4} = 1.5.

Tom's z=1.5z = 1.5 exceeds Mai's z=1.0z = 1.0, so Tom performed relatively better - he is further above his test's mean in standard-deviation terms.

Marks: one for both zz-scores, one for the correct conclusion with justification.

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