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The normal distribution and standardisation: QCE Maths Methods Unit 4

Syllabus dot point

“Apply the normal distribution N(μ,σ2)N(\mu, \sigma^2) and the standardisation Z=(X−μ)/σZ = (X - \mu)/\sigma to compute normal probabilities and inverse probabilities, including the empirical 68-95-99.7 rule”

9 min read

Quick answer

The normal distribution N(μ,σ2)N(\mu, \sigma^2) is the bell-shaped distribution with mean μ\mu and standard deviation σ\sigma; standardisation via Z=(X−μ)/σZ = (X - \mu)/\sigma converts any normal probability question to a standard-normal question, the empirical 68-95-99.7 rule handles Paper 1 exact-value endpoints at μ±nσ\mu \pm n \sigma, and the inverse-normal function handles "find cc such that P(X≤c)=pP(X \leq c) = p" questions on Paper 2.

Jump to a section
  1. What this dot point is asking
  2. The normal distribution
  3. The standard normal ZZ
  4. The empirical 68-95-99.7 rule
  5. Computing normal probabilities
  6. Inverse normal
  7. Applications
  8. Exam-style questions

What this dot point is asking

QCAA wants you to recognise the normal distribution, apply the standardisation transformation, use the empirical 68-95-99.7 rule for Paper 1 exact-value questions, and compute general normal probabilities and inverse probabilities using technology in Paper 2.

The normal distribution

A continuous random variable XX is normally distributed with mean μ\mu and standard deviation σ\sigma:

X∼N(μ,σ2)X \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2)

The pdf is:

f(x)=1σ2πe−(x−μ)2/(2σ2)f(x) = \frac{1}{\sigma \sqrt{2 \pi}} e^{-(x - \mu)^2 / (2 \sigma^2)}

Properties:

  • Symmetric about μ\mu.
  • Bell-shaped, peak at x=μx = \mu.
  • Mean = median = mode = μ\mu.
  • Standard deviation σ\sigma controls the spread.

The standard normal ZZ

The standard normal is Z∼N(0,1)Z \sim N(0, 1). Any normal can be converted to a standard normal by:

Z=X−μσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

This is standardisation. The transformation preserves probabilities:

P(a≤X≤b)=P(a−μσ≤Z≤b−μσ)P(a \leq X \leq b) = P\left( \frac{a - \mu}{\sigma} \leq Z \leq \frac{b - \mu}{\sigma} \right)

The empirical 68-95-99.7 rule

For any normal distribution:

  • P(μ−σ≤X≤μ+σ)≈0.68P(\mu - \sigma \leq X \leq \mu + \sigma) \approx 0.68
  • P(μ−2σ≤X≤μ+2σ)≈0.95P(\mu - 2 \sigma \leq X \leq \mu + 2 \sigma) \approx 0.95
  • P(μ−3σ≤X≤μ+3σ)≈0.997P(\mu - 3 \sigma \leq X \leq \mu + 3 \sigma) \approx 0.997

Single-tail derivatives:

  • P(X>μ+σ)≈0.16P(X > \mu + \sigma) \approx 0.16
  • P(X>μ+2σ)≈0.025P(X > \mu + 2\sigma) \approx 0.025
  • P(X>μ+3σ)≈0.0015P(X > \mu + 3\sigma) \approx 0.0015

The rule is the workhorse for Paper 1 exact-value questions when the xx-endpoints fall at μ±nσ\mu \pm n \sigma.

Computing normal probabilities

Paper 1 (exact-value). When the endpoints map cleanly to μ±nσ\mu \pm n \sigma for n=1,2,3n = 1, 2, 3, use the empirical rule.

Paper 2 (calculator-active).

  1. State the distribution: X∼N(μ,σ2)X \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2).
  2. Standardise the endpoints: z1=(a−μ)/σz_1 = (a - \mu)/\sigma, z2=(b−μ)/σz_2 = (b - \mu)/\sigma.
  3. Compute PP using calculator's normCdf: P=normCdf(a,b,μ,σ)P = \text{normCdf}(a, b, \mu, \sigma).

Inverse normal

Given a probability pp, find cc such that P(X≤c)=pP(X \leq c) = p:

  1. Find z=invNorm(p)z = \text{invNorm}(p) such that P(Z≤z)=pP(Z \leq z) = p.
  2. Convert back: c=μ+zσc = \mu + z \sigma.

Common zz values:

pp zz
0.90 1.2816
0.95 1.6449
0.975 1.9600
0.99 2.3263

For an "upper tail" question, P(X>c)=1−pP(X > c) = 1 - p, so use zz for the complementary pp.

Applications

Quality control
Lengths or weights of manufactured items modelled as normal.
Test scores
Standardised test scores have a bell-curve distribution.
Biological measurements
Heights, blood pressure, gestation periods.
Modelling errors
Random measurement errors typically follow a normal distribution.
Battery lifetimes

Battery lifetimes follow X∼N(200,202)X \sim N(200, 20^2), with mean μ=200\mu = 200 hours and standard deviation σ=20\sigma = 20 hours. Three probability questions are solved in sequence.

Step 1: Use the empirical rule to find P(160≤X≤240)P(160 \leq X \leq 240)

Before reaching for a calculator, check whether the endpoints fall at μ±nσ\mu \pm n\sigma for an integer nn.

160=200−2×20=μ−2σ,240=200+2×20=μ+2σ160 = 200 - 2 \times 20 = \mu - 2\sigma, \qquad 240 = 200 + 2 \times 20 = \mu + 2\sigma

The interval is exactly [μ−2σ,μ+2σ][\mu - 2\sigma, \mu + 2\sigma], so the empirical 68-95-99.7 rule applies immediately.

Answer: P(160≤X≤240)≈0.95P(160 \leq X \leq 240) \approx 0.95.

Step 2: Standardise to find P(X>230)P(X > 230)

The endpoint 230230 does not fall at a whole-number multiple of σ\sigma from μ\mu, so we convert to a zz-score. Subtracting the mean and dividing by σ\sigma maps XX to the standard normal Z∼N(0,1)Z \sim N(0, 1).

z=230−20020=3020=1.5z = \frac{230 - 200}{20} = \frac{30}{20} = 1.5

Using a standard normal table or calculator:

P(X>230)=P(Z>1.5)≈0.0668P(X > 230) = P(Z > 1.5) \approx 0.0668

Step 3: Reverse the process with an inverse-normal calculation

Find cc such that the longest-lasting 10%10\% of batteries last more than cc hours. The condition P(X>c)=0.10P(X > c) = 0.10 is equivalent to P(X≤c)=0.90P(X \leq c) = 0.90.

Looking up the zz-score that corresponds to a cumulative probability of 0.900.90:

z0.90≈1.2816z_{0.90} \approx 1.2816

Convert back from the standard scale to the original scale using c=μ+zσc = \mu + z\sigma.

c=200+1.2816×20≈225.6 hoursc = 200 + 1.2816 \times 20 \approx 225.6 \text{ hours}

Final answer: the top 10%10\% of batteries last more than approximately 225.6225.6 hours.

Common errors
Wrong sign on standardisation
z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu)/\sigma, not (μ−x)/σ(\mu - x)/\sigma.
Empirical rule misapplied
The rule is for μ±nσ\mu \pm n \sigma specifically. For other endpoints, standardise and use a table or calculator.
Inverse for the wrong tail
"Top 10 percent" means P(X>c)=0.10P(X > c) = 0.10, so P(X≤c)=0.90P(X \leq c) = 0.90. Read carefully.
Using σ2\sigma^2 where σ\sigma is asked
z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu)/\sigma uses the standard deviation, not the variance.
Calculator without set-up
Paper 2 expects the standardisation set-up shown explicitly with the calculator value at the end.

Exam-style questions

Questions in the style of QCAA exam questions on this dot point, each with a worked answer. They are written by ExamExplained unless tagged "Past paper"; the year shows the paper a question is modelled on.

Practice4 marks
Paper 2 (complex familiar). Heights are normally distributed with mean 170170 cm and standard deviation 88 cm. (a) Determine P(160≤X≤180)P(160 \leq X \leq 180). (b) Determine the height cc such that P(X>c)=0.05P(X > c) = 0.05.
Show worked answer →

(a) Probability. X∼N(170,82)X \sim N(170, 8^2).

Standardise: z1=(160−170)/8=−1.25z_1 = (160 - 170)/8 = -1.25, z2=(180−170)/8=1.25z_2 = (180 - 170)/8 = 1.25.

P(160≤X≤180)=P(−1.25≤Z≤1.25)≈0.7887P(160 \leq X \leq 180) = P(-1.25 \leq Z \leq 1.25) \approx 0.7887.

So approximately 0.7890.789.

(b) Inverse probability. P(X>c)=0.05  ⟹  P(X≤c)=0.95P(X > c) = 0.05 \implies P(X \leq c) = 0.95.

From inverse normal, z0.95≈1.6449z_{0.95} \approx 1.6449.

c=μ+zσ=170+1.6449×8≈183.2c = \mu + z \sigma = 170 + 1.6449 \times 8 \approx 183.2 cm.

Markers reward the standardisation, the use of normCdf or inverse-normal, and converting back from zz to xx-scale.

Practice2 marks
Paper 1 (technique). The random variable X∼N(50,42)X \sim N(50, 4^2). Use the empirical 68-95-99.7 rule to estimate P(42≤X≤58)P(42 \leq X \leq 58).
Show worked answer →

42=μ−2σ42 = \mu - 2 \sigma and 58=μ+2σ58 = \mu + 2 \sigma (since 50−8=4250 - 8 = 42 and 50+8=5850 + 8 = 58).

By the empirical rule, P(μ−2σ≤X≤μ+2σ)≈0.95P(\mu - 2 \sigma \leq X \leq \mu + 2 \sigma) \approx 0.95.

So P(42≤X≤58)≈0.95P(42 \leq X \leq 58) \approx 0.95.

Markers reward identifying the interval as [μ−2σ,μ+2σ][\mu - 2\sigma, \mu + 2\sigma] and citing the empirical rule.

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Sources & how we know this

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