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QLDMath MethodsSyllabus dot point

Topic 3: Continuous random variables, the normal distribution, and statistical inference

Apply the normal distribution N(μ,σ2)N(\mu, \sigma^2) and the standardisation Z=(Xμ)/σZ = (X - \mu)/\sigma to compute normal probabilities and inverse probabilities, including the empirical 68-95-99.7 rule

A focused answer to the QCE Maths Methods Unit 4 dot point on the normal distribution. Standardisation, the empirical rule, normal probability and inverse-normal calculations, and worked PSMT and EA examples.

Generated by Claude Opus 4.89 min answer

Reviewed by: AI editorial process; not yet individually human-reviewed

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  1. What this dot point is asking
  2. The normal distribution
  3. The standard normal ZZ
  4. The empirical 68-95-99.7 rule
  5. Computing normal probabilities
  6. Inverse normal
  7. Applications

What this dot point is asking

QCAA wants you to recognise the normal distribution, apply the standardisation transformation, use the empirical 68-95-99.7 rule for Paper 1 exact-value questions, and compute general normal probabilities and inverse probabilities using technology in Paper 2.

The normal distribution

A continuous random variable XX is normally distributed with mean μ\mu and standard deviation σ\sigma:

XN(μ,σ2)X \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2)

The pdf is:

f(x)=1σ2πe(xμ)2/(2σ2)f(x) = \frac{1}{\sigma \sqrt{2 \pi}} e^{-(x - \mu)^2 / (2 \sigma^2)}

Properties:

  • Symmetric about μ\mu.
  • Bell-shaped, peak at x=μx = \mu.
  • Mean = median = mode = μ\mu.
  • Standard deviation σ\sigma controls the spread.

The standard normal ZZ

The standard normal is ZN(0,1)Z \sim N(0, 1). Any normal can be converted to a standard normal by:

Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

This is standardisation. The transformation preserves probabilities:

P(aXb)=P(aμσZbμσ)P(a \leq X \leq b) = P\left( \frac{a - \mu}{\sigma} \leq Z \leq \frac{b - \mu}{\sigma} \right)

The empirical 68-95-99.7 rule

For any normal distribution:

  • P(μσXμ+σ)0.68P(\mu - \sigma \leq X \leq \mu + \sigma) \approx 0.68
  • P(μ2σXμ+2σ)0.95P(\mu - 2 \sigma \leq X \leq \mu + 2 \sigma) \approx 0.95
  • P(μ3σXμ+3σ)0.997P(\mu - 3 \sigma \leq X \leq \mu + 3 \sigma) \approx 0.997

Single-tail derivatives:

  • P(X>μ+σ)0.16P(X > \mu + \sigma) \approx 0.16
  • P(X>μ+2σ)0.025P(X > \mu + 2\sigma) \approx 0.025
  • P(X>μ+3σ)0.0015P(X > \mu + 3\sigma) \approx 0.0015

The rule is the workhorse for Paper 1 exact-value questions when the xx-endpoints fall at μ±nσ\mu \pm n \sigma.

Computing normal probabilities

Paper 1 (exact-value). When the endpoints map cleanly to μ±nσ\mu \pm n \sigma for n=1,2,3n = 1, 2, 3, use the empirical rule.

Paper 2 (calculator-active).

  1. State the distribution: XN(μ,σ2)X \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2).
  2. Standardise the endpoints: z1=(aμ)/σz_1 = (a - \mu)/\sigma, z2=(bμ)/σz_2 = (b - \mu)/\sigma.
  3. Compute PP using calculator's normCdf: P=normCdf(a,b,μ,σ)P = \text{normCdf}(a, b, \mu, \sigma).

Inverse normal

Given a probability pp, find cc such that P(Xc)=pP(X \leq c) = p:

  1. Find z=invNorm(p)z = \text{invNorm}(p) such that P(Zz)=pP(Z \leq z) = p.
  2. Convert back: c=μ+zσc = \mu + z \sigma.

Common zz values:

pp zz
0.90 1.2816
0.95 1.6449
0.975 1.9600
0.99 2.3263

For an "upper tail" question, P(X>c)=1pP(X > c) = 1 - p, so use zz for the complementary pp.

Applications

Quality control
Lengths or weights of manufactured items modelled as normal.
Test scores
Standardised test scores have a bell-curve distribution.
Biological measurements
Heights, blood pressure, gestation periods.
Modelling errors
Random measurement errors typically follow a normal distribution.

Exam-style practice questions

Practice questions written in the style of QCAA exam questions on this dot point, with worked answer explainers. The year tag is the paper they imitate, not the source.

QCAA 20244 marksPaper 2 (complex familiar). Heights are normally distributed with mean 170170 cm and standard deviation 88 cm. (a) Determine P(160X180)P(160 \leq X \leq 180). (b) Determine the height cc such that P(X>c)=0.05P(X > c) = 0.05.
Show worked answer →

(a) Probability. XN(170,82)X \sim N(170, 8^2).

Standardise: z1=(160170)/8=1.25z_1 = (160 - 170)/8 = -1.25, z2=(180170)/8=1.25z_2 = (180 - 170)/8 = 1.25.

P(160X180)=P(1.25Z1.25)0.7887P(160 \leq X \leq 180) = P(-1.25 \leq Z \leq 1.25) \approx 0.7887.

So approximately 0.7890.789.

(b) Inverse probability. P(X>c)=0.05    P(Xc)=0.95P(X > c) = 0.05 \implies P(X \leq c) = 0.95.

From inverse normal, z0.951.6449z_{0.95} \approx 1.6449.

c=μ+zσ=170+1.6449×8183.2c = \mu + z \sigma = 170 + 1.6449 \times 8 \approx 183.2 cm.

Markers reward the standardisation, the use of normCdf or inverse-normal, and converting back from zz to xx-scale.

QCAA 20232 marksPaper 1 (technique). The random variable XN(50,42)X \sim N(50, 4^2). Use the empirical 68-95-99.7 rule to estimate P(42X58)P(42 \leq X \leq 58).
Show worked answer →

42=μ2σ42 = \mu - 2 \sigma and 58=μ+2σ58 = \mu + 2 \sigma (since 508=4250 - 8 = 42 and 50+8=5850 + 8 = 58).

By the empirical rule, P(μ2σXμ+2σ)0.95P(\mu - 2 \sigma \leq X \leq \mu + 2 \sigma) \approx 0.95.

So P(42X58)0.95P(42 \leq X \leq 58) \approx 0.95.

Markers reward identifying the interval as [μ2σ,μ+2σ][\mu - 2\sigma, \mu + 2\sigma] and citing the empirical rule.

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