Topic 3: Continuous random variables, the normal distribution, and statistical inference
Define a continuous random variable, its probability density function (pdf), cumulative distribution function (cdf), and compute probabilities, expected value (mean), variance and standard deviation as definite integrals
A focused answer to the QCE Maths Methods Unit 4 dot point on continuous random variables. Defines the pdf, cdf, mean, variance and standard deviation as integrals, including the normalisation condition and a worked PSMT-style example.
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What this dot point is asking
QCAA wants you to define a continuous random variable through its probability density function, compute probabilities as definite integrals, and compute expected value (mean), variance and standard deviation as integrals. The dot point bridges Unit 4 calculus to Unit 4 statistics.
Continuous random variable
A continuous random variable takes values in a continuum (an interval of real numbers). Examples: a waiting time, a length, a temperature. Because has uncountably many possible values, for any single value; probabilities are computed for intervals.
Probability density function (pdf)
A continuous random variable is described by its probability density function , with:
Two conditions for a valid pdf:
- Non-negative. everywhere.
- Integrates to 1. .
For supported on (and outside), condition 2 becomes .
Finding a normalising constant
A common PSMT and EA question gives on and asks for . Set ; solve for .
Cumulative distribution function (cdf)
The cdf is .
Properties:
- is non-decreasing.
- , .
- .
- where is continuous (fundamental theorem of calculus).
Expected value (mean)
The expected value of is:
(For on , the limits reduce to and .)
Interpretation: the centre of mass of the pdf; the long-run average of independent observations.
Linearity: .
Variance and standard deviation
where .
The right-hand identity is the working formula.
Standard deviation .
Property: .
Median and quartiles
Median: such that . Solve .
Quartiles: and .
For symmetric pdfs the median equals the mean; for skewed pdfs they differ.
The uniform distribution
The simplest continuous random variable. has on , elsewhere.
- .
- .
- for .
PSMT and EA contexts
The IA3 PSMT often models a continuous distribution arising from a real-world variable (waiting time, lifetime, error magnitude). Typical questions:
- Find the normalising constant for a given pdf shape.
- Compute the probability of a specific event.
- Compute and interpret the mean and standard deviation.
- Compute the median or a percentile.
The EA Paper 2 short response examines the formulas explicitly.
Exam-style practice questions
Practice questions written in the style of QCAA exam questions on this dot point, with worked answer explainers. The year tag is the paper they imitate, not the source.
QCAA 20245 marksPaper 2 (complex familiar). A continuous random variable has pdf on and elsewhere. (a) Determine . (b) Determine . (c) Determine .Show worked answer →
(a) Find . Normalisation: .
(by symmetry).
.
Set : .
(b) Expected value. .
The integrand is an odd function on a symmetric interval , so the integral is 0. .
(c) Variance. Need .
.
By symmetry: .
Evaluate: .
.
Markers reward the normalisation calculation with symmetry shortcut, the odd-integrand observation for , and the variance formula with correct arithmetic.
QCAA 20234 marksPaper 2 (complex familiar). A waiting time (minutes) has pdf on and elsewhere. (a) Verify that is a valid pdf. (b) Determine . (c) Determine the median waiting time.Show worked answer →
(a) , and on , so is a valid pdf.
(b)
(c) The median solves , so , , minutes.
Markers reward the normalisation check, the probability integral, and solving for the median.
