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NSWMaths Standard 2Syllabus dot point

Why does every probability lie between 0 and 1, and how do complementary events help you find a chance the short way?

Recognise that probabilities of events range from 0 to 1, identify the complement of an event and use the relationship that the probability of an event and its complement sum to 1, so the probability of 'not E' equals 1 minus the probability of E

A focused answer to the HSC Maths Standard 2 dot point on the range of probabilities and complementary events. Why every probability sits between 0 and 1, what the complement of an event is, the rule that an event and its complement add to 1 so the probability of not E is 1 minus the probability of E, and the at-least-one short cut, with worked Australian examples.

Generated by Claude Opus 4.813 min answer

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What this dot point is asking

NESA wants you to know two firmly linked facts about every probability. First, a probability is always a number from 00 to 11 inclusive: nothing can be less likely than impossible (00) or more likely than certain (11). Second, every event EE has a complement, written not E\text{not } E (sometimes E\overline{E} or EE'), meaning "EE does not happen", and the two chances always add to 11. That single relationship, P(not E)=1P(E)P(\text{not } E) = 1 - P(E), is one of the most useful tools in the whole probability module. It turns a hard "find the chance that something happens" into an easy "find the chance it does not, then subtract from 11", which is exactly how the dreaded "at least one" questions are meant to be done.

The answer

Probability measures how likely an event is on a fixed scale from 00 to 11. An impossible event scores 00, a certain event scores 11, and an even chance scores 12\tfrac{1}{2}. Because the favourable outcomes can never be fewer than none nor more than all of the sample space, the count fraction P(E)=n(E)n(S)P(E) = \tfrac{n(E)}{n(S)} is always between 00 and 11:

0P(E)1.0 \le P(E) \le 1.

Every event EE also has a complement not E\text{not } E, the event that EE does not occur. Between them, EE and not E\text{not } E cover every possible outcome exactly once - one of them must happen, and they cannot both happen - so their probabilities fill the whole scale and add to 11. Rearranging gives the rule you will use constantly.

A complement bar: the probability of E plus the probability of not E fills the whole bar and equals 1A single horizontal bar of total length one. The left part, three tenths of the bar, is labelled the probability of E. The right part, seven tenths of the bar, is labelled the probability of not E. The two parts together fill the bar with no gap and no overlap, so they sum to one.P(E) + P(not E) = 101P(E)P(not E)this partand this part fill the whole bar

Why every probability lies between 0 and 1

A probability is the fraction of outcomes that count as favourable: P(E)=n(E)n(S)P(E) = \dfrac{n(E)}{n(S)}. The number of favourable outcomes n(E)n(E) can be as small as 00 (none of them happen, an impossible event) or as large as n(S)n(S) (all of them happen, a certain event), but never outside that range. Dividing through:

  • if n(E)=0n(E) = 0 then P(E)=0P(E) = 0, the event is impossible,
  • if n(E)=n(S)n(E) = n(S) then P(E)=1P(E) = 1, the event is certain,
  • otherwise P(E)P(E) is a fraction strictly between 00 and 11.

So a probability is never negative and never more than 11. If a calculation ever gives you 1.31.3 or 0.2-0.2, you have made an error somewhere, because no real event can be more certain than certain. This bound is also a quick self-check on any answer.

The complement of an event

The complement of an event EE is the event "EE does not happen", written not E\text{not } E (you may also see E\overline{E} or EE'). If EE is "roll a 66" then not E\text{not } E is "roll a 1,2,3,41, 2, 3, 4 or 55". Two facts make the complement so useful:

  • EE and not E\text{not } E together include every outcome in the sample space, and
  • they share no outcome (an outcome cannot both be and not be in EE).

So between them they account for the whole sample space exactly once. That is why their probabilities add to 11:

P(E)+P(not E)=1.P(E) + P(\text{not } E) = 1.

Rearranging gives the working form of the rule, and the reverse:

P(not E)=1P(E),P(E)=1P(not E).P(\text{not } E) = 1 - P(E), \qquad P(E) = 1 - P(\text{not } E).

For the die, P(6)=16P(6) = \tfrac{1}{6}, so P(not 6)=116=56P(\text{not } 6) = 1 - \tfrac{1}{6} = \tfrac{5}{6}. The complement bar above is just this rule drawn to scale: the whole bar is 11, and the two coloured parts are P(E)P(E) and P(not E)P(\text{not } E).

When the complement is the easy road: "at least one"

The complement earns its keep on questions that ask for the probability of "at least one" of something. Listing every way to get one, two, three or more successes is slow and error-prone. But the opposite of "at least one" is simply "none", a single case. So

P(at least one)=1P(none).P(\text{at least one}) = 1 - P(\text{none}).

For example, toss a fair coin twice. "At least one head" is the complement of "no heads". The only no-head outcome is TTTT, with probability 12×12=14\tfrac{1}{2} \times \tfrac{1}{2} = \tfrac{1}{4}, so

P(at least one head)=114=34.P(\text{at least one head}) = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4}.

Whenever you see "at least one", reach for the complement first. The harder the count of the "at least one" cases, the bigger the saving.

How exam questions ask about the range and complement

The wording is varied, but each phrasing points to the same small set of moves:

  • "Find the probability that ... does not / is not ..." is a straight complement: compute P(E)P(E), then 1P(E)1 - P(E).
  • "... none / neither ..." is also a complement of an "at least one" event, or a single multiply-the-misses case.
  • "... at least one ..." is the signal to use 1P(none)1 - P(\text{none}) rather than adding cases.
  • "Explain why P=1.3P = 1.3 (or 0.2-0.2) is impossible" wants the bound 0P(E)10 \le P(E) \le 1 quoted, with "no event is more likely than certain or less likely than impossible".
  • "Find the remaining probability / the missing value" uses that all the outcomes' probabilities add to 11, so the missing one is 11 minus the rest.
  • "Show that the values are (not) valid probabilities" wants you to check each is between 00 and 11 and, for a complete set, that they sum to 11.

Exam-style practice questions

Practice questions written in the style of NESA exam questions on this dot point, with worked answer explainers. The year tag is the paper they imitate, not the source.

2021 HSC-style2 marksThe probability that a bus is late on any given morning is 0.180.18. (a) Find the probability that the bus is not late on a given morning. (b) State the largest value a probability can take and the smallest.
Show worked answer →

Part (a): the bus being not late is the complement of being late, so P(not late)=10.18=0.82P(\text{not late}) = 1 - 0.18 = 0.82. One mark for the correct complement.

Part (b): the largest value is 11 (a certain event) and the smallest is 00 (an impossible event), so every probability satisfies 0P10 \le P \le 1. One mark for both bounds.

Markers reward the explicit subtraction from 11 for the complement and both correct bounds. A common loss is writing 0.820.82 without showing 10.181 - 0.18, or giving only one of the two bounds.

2022 HSC-style3 marksA fair coin is tossed 33 times. (a) Find the probability of obtaining no heads. (b) Hence find the probability of obtaining at least one head. (c) Briefly explain why the complement is the efficient method here.
Show worked answer →

Part (a): the eight equally likely outcomes range from HHHHHH to TTTTTT; only TTTTTT has no heads, so P(no heads)=18P(\text{no heads}) = \tfrac{1}{8}. Equivalently (12)3=18\left(\tfrac{1}{2}\right)^3 = \tfrac{1}{8}. One mark.

Part (b): "at least one head" is the complement of "no heads", so P(at least one head)=118=78P(\text{at least one head}) = 1 - \tfrac{1}{8} = \tfrac{7}{8}. One mark.

Part (c): "at least one head" covers exactly one, two or three heads (seven of the eight outcomes), so the complement replaces three separate counts with the single case TTTTTT. One mark for a clear reason.

Markers reward the word "complement" and the subtraction 1181 - \tfrac{1}{8}. The standard error is trying to add the cases directly and miscounting, or forgetting that "at least one" includes the all-heads case.

2023 HSC-style3 marksA box contains 2525 light globes, of which 22 are faulty. One globe is selected at random. (a) Find the probability that the selected globe is faulty. (b) Find the probability that it is not faulty. (c) A student writes P(faulty)=0.08P(\text{faulty}) = 0.08 and P(not faulty)=0.82P(\text{not faulty}) = 0.82. Identify and correct the error.
Show worked answer →

Part (a): 22 of the 2525 globes are faulty, so P(faulty)=225=0.08P(\text{faulty}) = \tfrac{2}{25} = 0.08. One mark.

Part (b): "not faulty" is the complement, so P(not faulty)=10.08=0.92P(\text{not faulty}) = 1 - 0.08 = 0.92 (equivalently 2325\tfrac{23}{25}). One mark.

Part (c): a probability and its complement must add to 11, but 0.08+0.82=0.9010.08 + 0.82 = 0.90 \ne 1. The error is the complement: it should be 10.08=0.921 - 0.08 = 0.92, not 0.820.82. One mark for identifying that the pair fails to sum to 11 and giving the correct 0.920.92.

Markers reward checking that the two probabilities sum to 11 as the test for the error, and the corrected value 0.920.92.

Practice questions

Original practice questions graded from foundation to exam level, each with a full worked solution. Try them before revealing the solution.

foundation2 marksA bag holds 33 red, 55 blue and 22 green marbles. One marble is drawn at random. (a) Find the probability that it is blue. (b) Find the probability that it is not blue.
Show worked solution →

Count the sample space. There are 3+5+2=103 + 5 + 2 = 10 marbles in all.

Part (a) - probability of blue. Five of the 1010 marbles are blue, so

P(blue)=510=12P(\text{blue}) = \frac{5}{10} = \frac{1}{2}

Part (b) - probability of not blue, by the complement. "Not blue" is the complement of "blue", so subtract from 11:

P(not blue)=112=12P(\text{not blue}) = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2}

(Check by counting directly: 3+2=53 + 2 = 5 marbles are not blue, and 510=12\tfrac{5}{10} = \tfrac{1}{2}, which agrees.)

foundation2 marksThe probability that it rains in a town on a given June day is 0.350.35. Find the probability that it does not rain that day.
Show worked solution →

Recognise the complement. "It does not rain" is the complement of "it rains", and the two probabilities must add to 11.

Subtract from 11.

P(no rain)=1P(rain)=10.35=0.65P(\text{no rain}) = 1 - P(\text{rain}) = 1 - 0.35 = 0.65

so the probability of no rain is 0.650.65. (Sanity check: 0.35+0.65=10.35 + 0.65 = 1, as a probability and its complement must.)

foundation2 marksA standard six-sided die is rolled once. (a) Find the probability of rolling a number greater than 44. (b) Hence find the probability of rolling a number that is not greater than 44.
Show worked solution →

List the sample space. The faces are 1,2,3,4,5,61, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, so n(S)=6n(S) = 6 equally likely outcomes.

Part (a) - greater than 44. The favourable faces are 55 and 66, so

P(greater than 4)=26=13P(\text{greater than } 4) = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}

Part (b) - not greater than 44, by the complement. Subtract from 11:

P(not greater than 4)=113=23P(\text{not greater than } 4) = 1 - \frac{1}{3} = \frac{2}{3}

(Check directly: the faces 1,2,3,41, 2, 3, 4 are not greater than 44, giving 46=23\tfrac{4}{6} = \tfrac{2}{3}, which matches.)

core3 marksA spinner is divided into sectors coloured red, blue, yellow and green. The probabilities are P(red)=0.2P(\text{red}) = 0.2, P(blue)=0.3P(\text{blue}) = 0.3 and P(yellow)=0.15P(\text{yellow}) = 0.15. (a) Explain why these three values alone cannot describe a fair four-colour spinner unless green is also possible. (b) Find P(green)P(\text{green}).
Show worked solution →

Part (a) - the total must be 11. For one spin exactly one colour occurs, so the probabilities of all the outcomes must add to 11. The three given values total

0.2+0.3+0.15=0.650.2 + 0.3 + 0.15 = 0.65

which is less than 11, so the remaining probability of 0.350.35 must belong to green; the spinner cannot be described by the first three alone.

Part (b) - find P(green)P(\text{green}) as the complement of the other three. Green is "none of red, blue or yellow", so

P(green)=10.65=0.35P(\text{green}) = 1 - 0.65 = 0.35

(Check: 0.2+0.3+0.15+0.35=10.2 + 0.3 + 0.15 + 0.35 = 1, so the four probabilities form a complete set.)

core3 marksA fair coin is tossed twice. (a) List the sample space. (b) Find the probability of getting no heads. (c) Hence find the probability of getting at least one head.
Show worked solution →

Part (a) - the sample space. Writing HH for heads and TT for tails, the four equally likely outcomes are

{HH, HT, TH, TT}\{HH,\ HT,\ TH,\ TT\}

so n(S)=4n(S) = 4.

Part (b) - no heads. The only outcome with no heads is TTTT, so

P(no heads)=14P(\text{no heads}) = \frac{1}{4}

Part (c) - at least one head, by the complement. "At least one head" is the complement of "no heads", so

P(at least one head)=1P(no heads)=114=34P(\text{at least one head}) = 1 - P(\text{no heads}) = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4}

(Check by listing: HH,HT,THHH, HT, TH each contain a head, so 34\tfrac{3}{4} agrees - and the complement saved counting all of them.)

exam5 marksOn a production line each item is faulty independently with probability 0.050.05. A quality inspector takes a sample of 33 items. (a) Find the probability that none of the 33 items is faulty. (b) Find the probability that at least one of the 33 items is faulty, correct to four decimal places. (c) Explain why using the complement is far easier here than adding the chances of exactly one, exactly two and exactly three faulty items.
Show worked solution →

Part (a) - none faulty. Each item is not faulty with probability 10.05=0.951 - 0.05 = 0.95, and the three items are independent, so multiply:

P(none faulty)=0.95×0.95×0.95=0.953=0.857375P(\text{none faulty}) = 0.95 \times 0.95 \times 0.95 = 0.95^3 = 0.857375

Part (b) - at least one faulty, by the complement. "At least one faulty" is the complement of "none faulty", so

P(at least one faulty)=1P(none faulty)=10.857375=0.142625P(\text{at least one faulty}) = 1 - P(\text{none faulty}) = 1 - 0.857375 = 0.142625

Correct to four decimal places, P(at least one faulty)0.1426P(\text{at least one faulty}) \approx 0.1426.

Part (c) - why the complement wins. "At least one" covers three separate cases (exactly one, exactly two, or exactly three faulty), each needing its own calculation, then a sum. The complement "none faulty" is a single case, so 1P(none)1 - P(\text{none}) replaces three calculations with one. (Check: the direct cases would still total 0.1426250.142625, but the complement reaches it in one line.)

exam5 marksA raffle sells 200200 tickets. Mia buys 88 tickets and Sam buys 55 tickets; one winning ticket is drawn at random. (a) Find the probability that Mia wins. (b) Find the probability that neither Mia nor Sam wins. (c) Find the probability that the winner is someone other than Mia, as a decimal. (d) A friend claims the probability that Mia wins is 0.040.04 and the probability she does not win is 0.940.94. Explain the error.
Show worked solution →

Part (a) - Mia wins. Mia holds 88 of the 200200 equally likely tickets, so

P(Mia wins)=8200=125=0.04P(\text{Mia wins}) = \frac{8}{200} = \frac{1}{25} = 0.04

Part (b) - neither Mia nor Sam wins. Together they hold 8+5=138 + 5 = 13 tickets, so a win for one of them has probability 13200\tfrac{13}{200}. "Neither wins" is the complement of "Mia or Sam wins":

P(neither wins)=113200=187200=0.935P(\text{neither wins}) = 1 - \frac{13}{200} = \frac{187}{200} = 0.935

Part (c) - someone other than Mia wins. This is the complement of "Mia wins":

P(not Mia)=18200=192200=0.96P(\text{not Mia}) = 1 - \frac{8}{200} = \frac{192}{200} = 0.96

Part (d) - the error. A probability and its complement must add to exactly 11. The friend's pair gives 0.04+0.94=0.980.04 + 0.94 = 0.98, not 11, so it is impossible. The correct complement of 0.040.04 is 10.04=0.961 - 0.04 = 0.96, matching part (c).

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