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WAEarth and Environmental ScienceSyllabus dot point

How are Earth hazards predicted and their impacts mitigated?

Explain how tsunamis form and evaluate strategies to predict and mitigate Earth hazards

A focused answer to the WACE Year 12 Earth and Environmental Science dot point on tsunamis and hazard management. Covers tsunami formation, warning systems, prediction, risk, vulnerability and mitigation strategies, with regional examples.

Reviewed by: AI editorial process; not yet individually human-reviewed

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What this dot point is asking

SCSA wants you to explain tsunami formation and evaluate how hazards are predicted and managed. A strong answer separates the hazard from the risk and weighs how effective each strategy is.

How tsunamis form

A tsunami forms when a large volume of seawater is suddenly displaced. The most common cause is a submarine earthquake at a subduction zone, where the seafloor is thrust upward or dropped, lifting or lowering the water above it. Tsunamis can also be triggered by submarine landslides, volcanic eruptions and, rarely, asteroid impacts.

In the open ocean a tsunami has a very long wavelength but a small height, so ships may not notice it, and it travels fast, comparable to a jet aircraft. As it approaches shallow coastal water it slows, the energy compresses, and the wave height grows dramatically. The water often withdraws from the shore first, a natural warning sign, before the wave surges inland.

Hazard, risk and vulnerability

These terms are distinct and examiners test them.

Risk depends not only on the hazard but on where people live, how buildings are constructed and how prepared communities are. A large earthquake under an unpopulated area carries low risk; a moderate one beneath a dense, unprepared city carries high risk.

Prediction and warning

Some hazards can be forecast better than others.

  • Tsunamis: seafloor pressure sensors and seismometers detect the earthquakes and waves that generate them, feeding warning centres such as those in the Pacific and Indian Oceans. Warnings give coastal communities time to evacuate to high ground.
  • Volcanoes: monitoring ground deformation, gas emissions and earthquake swarms can signal an impending eruption, allowing evacuation.
  • Earthquakes: the exact timing cannot yet be predicted, but seismic hazard maps identify zones of higher long-term risk, and early-warning systems can give seconds of notice once rupture begins.

After the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami, an Indian Ocean warning system was established, and Australia operates a national tsunami warning capability jointly run by the Bureau of Meteorology and Geoscience Australia.

Mitigation strategies

Mitigation reduces impact through planning and engineering.

  • Land-use planning: avoiding building in inundation zones and on unstable slopes.
  • Engineering: earthquake-resistant buildings, sea walls and elevated structures.
  • Education and drills: teaching people to recognise warning signs and evacuate.
  • Emergency planning: evacuation routes, shelters and response coordination.

Evaluating these shows trade-offs: warning systems save lives but need maintenance and public response; engineered defences are costly and can fail against extreme events; education is cheap and effective but relies on people acting.

Exam-style practice questions

Practice questions written in the style of SCSA exam questions on this dot point, with worked answer explainers. The year tag is the paper they imitate, not the source.

WACE 20228 marksEvaluate the strategies used to predict and mitigate the tsunami hazard, justifying which combination of strategies you consider most effective for a populated coastline.
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An 8 mark evaluation must weigh strategies and reach a justified combination.

Prediction and warning
Seafloor pressure sensors and seismometers feed warning centres (Pacific and Indian Ocean systems; Australia's joint Bureau of Meteorology and Geoscience Australia capability). Strength: can give hours of notice for distant sources, enabling evacuation. Limitation: little use for a local source minutes away, and the warning must reach people and be acted on.
Land-use planning
Avoiding building in inundation zones reduces exposure permanently. Strength: removes risk at source. Limitation: hard to apply where coastal land is already developed.
Engineering
Sea walls and elevated, vertical-evacuation structures. Strength: protect where evacuation is impossible. Limitation: costly and can be overtopped by extreme events.
Education and drills
Teaching natural warning signs (drawback, strong earthquake) and evacuation. Strength: cheap, effective, vital for local sources. Limitation: relies on people acting.
Judgement
No single strategy suffices. The most effective combination layers a warning system, land-use planning to limit exposure, and strong community education and drills, because warning technology only saves lives if people are prepared and have somewhere to go.

Markers reward evaluation of several strategies with strengths and limits and a justified, layered combination.

WACE 20206 marksDistinguish between hazard, risk and vulnerability, and use these terms to explain why two coastal towns facing the same tsunami hazard can experience very different levels of risk.
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A 6 mark answer needs precise definitions applied to the scenario.

Definitions
A hazard is a natural process that can cause harm (the tsunami itself). Vulnerability is how susceptible people, property and systems are to harm. Risk is the chance of harm, combining the hazard with exposure and vulnerability.
Application
Two towns may face the same hazard (the same tsunami) yet differ greatly in risk. A town with low-lying dense housing, no warning system, poor evacuation routes and an unprepared population is highly vulnerable, so its risk is high. A town with development set back from the shore, an effective warning system, clear evacuation routes to high ground and a drilled, educated population is far less vulnerable, so its risk is low despite the identical hazard.
Conclusion
Risk is not set by the hazard alone; reducing vulnerability and exposure reduces risk.

Markers reward correct definitions and a clear explanation that differing vulnerability and exposure produce different risk from the same hazard.

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