India in the Indo-Pacific: VCE Politics Unit 4
“India as one of the five selectable states: its sources and forms of power, national interests, strategic autonomy, use of foreign policy instruments, challenges and effectiveness”
India's power is economic, demographic, diplomatic and military. Its interests are border security, growth and energy, partnerships (Quad, Russia, ASEAN) and standing as a leading power of the Global South. The 2025 tariffs and the 2026 trade deal with the United States, and the 2020 and 2024 episodes with China, illustrate both its leverage and its constraints. Effectiveness is partial, because autonomy was tested.
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What this dot point is asking
If your teacher selects India, you need its sources and forms of power, national interests, use of instruments, effectiveness, challenges, consequences and contribution to stability and change. Check for updates, as trade and security events moved fast in 2025 and 2026.
The answer
Sources and forms of power
- Economic. A very large and fast-growing economy with a vast domestic market and a growing services and technology sector.
- Military. A large armed force with nuclear weapons and a growing navy, with a focus on the Indian Ocean.
- Diplomatic and political. A leading voice for the Global South; member of the Quad, BRICS (a group of major emerging economies) and the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO); host of the 2023 G20.
- Cultural. A large diaspora, cultural reach and democratic identity.
National interests
- Security. Land borders with China and Pakistan. A deadly clash with Chinese troops in the Galwan Valley in June 2020 worsened relations, and in May 2025 India and Pakistan fought a short military confrontation. In October 2024 India and China reached an agreement on patrolling arrangements, and Prime Minister Modi attended the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Tianjin in August to September 2025, signalling an attempt to stabilise relations.
- Economic prosperity. Growth, jobs, energy and market access.
- Regional relationships. "Strategic autonomy": cooperation with the Quad partners and the United States, while keeping ties with Russia, and engagement with ASEAN and the Indian Ocean neighbours.
- Regional standing. Recognition as a major power and a leader of developing states.
Instruments and recent actions
- Trade and economic diplomacy. In August 2025 the United States raised tariffs on India to 50 percent, including a 25 percent penalty linked to Russian oil purchases. On 2 February 2026 the two announced a trade deal cutting the rate to 18 percent and removing the Russian oil penalty from 7 February. The United States said India had committed to stop importing Russian oil and to buy more United States energy and goods, while India's government did not publicly confirm a full halt. On 20 February 2026 the United States Supreme Court ruled that the law used for these tariffs (the International Emergency Economic Powers Act) does not authorise tariffs, so check the current rates and legal basis.
- Diplomacy. Participation in the Quad, the SCO and BRICS shows balancing.
- Aid and development. Development finance and lines of credit to neighbours and in the Indian Ocean region.
Challenges
The border with China, rivalry with Pakistan, infrastructure gaps, dependence on imported energy, and the tension between partnership with the United States and relations with Russia and China.
Effectiveness and consequences
India has widened its partnerships and secured improved market access, but the 2025 tariff episode showed limits to autonomy. For other actors, India's balancing means the Quad cannot be assumed to be an alliance, and China must consider India's capability and interests in the Indian Ocean.
India is a strong choice for showing "multi-alignment": a state that cooperates with rivals on different issues at the same time, and pays for it when the great powers pressure it.
Worked example
Question. Analyse one challenge to India's national interests.
Model answer. India's interest in energy security led it to buy large volumes of Russian oil, but this drew a 25 percent additional tariff from the United States in August 2025. In February 2026 the United States said India had committed to stop buying Russian oil as part of a trade deal that removed the penalty, although India did not publicly confirm a full halt. The challenge arose because pursuing energy and autonomy interests undercut its economic interest in access to the United States market.
Do not describe India as "non-aligned" in the Cold War sense. Current analysis uses strategic autonomy or multi-alignment.
Try this
- Q1
- What is strategic autonomy? Model answer: A policy of keeping independence in foreign policy by cooperating with several major powers without formal alliance.
- Q2
- Identify one grouping India belongs to that includes the United States and one that includes China. Model answer: The Quad includes the United States; the SCO and BRICS include China.
- Q3
- Explain one consequence of India's balancing for the United States. Model answer: Washington cannot rely on India as an ally, and it used tariffs to pressure it over Russian oil.
Practise this
Sources & how we know this
- VCE Politics Study Design (Units 3 and 4 from 2025) — VCAA (2024)
- Modifying Duties to Address Threats to the United States by the Government of the Russian Federation (Executive Order 14384) — The White House (2026)
- VCE Politics Study Design (from 2024; Units 3 and 4 from 2025) — VCAA
- VCE Politics: examination specifications, past examinations and reports — VCAA