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TASSpecialist MathematicsUnit 4

Quick questions on Statistical inference - TCE Mathematics Specialised (Tasmania)

3short Q&A pairs drawn directly from our worked dot-point answer. For full context and worked exam questions, read the parent dot-point page.

What are confidence intervals?
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A confidence interval gives a range of plausible values for μ\mu. Using the normal model for Xˉ\bar{X}, a confidence interval for the population mean is $xˉ±zσn, \bar{x} \pm z \,\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}, where where zisthecriticalvalueforthechosenconfidencelevel.Thecommonvaluesare is the critical value for the chosen confidence level. The common values are z = 1.96for95percentand for 95 percent and z = 2.576$ for 99 percent confidence.
What is interpreting the interval correctly?
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The confidence level describes the long-run reliability of the method: if we repeated the sampling many times and built an interval each time, about 95 percent of those intervals would contain the true μ\mu. It is not a probability statement about μ\mu for one fixed interval.
What are reading a given interval backwards?
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Exam questions often hand you a completed interval and ask you to recover the sample mean, the standard error, or the confidence level. Two facts make this routine. The sample mean is the midpoint of the interval, xˉ=L+U2\bar{x} = \dfrac{L + U}{2}, and the margin of error is the half-width, E=UL2E = \dfrac{U - L}{2}. Once you have EE and σn\dfrac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}, the implied critical value is z=Eσ/nz = \dfrac{E}{\sigma/\sqrt{n}}, which tells you the confidence level (z=1.96z = 1.96 for 95%, z=2.576z = 2.576 for 99%).

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