The normal distribution and z-scores (SACE Stage 2 General Mathematics)
“Use the normal distribution, the 68-95-99.7 rule and z-scores to describe data and compare values from different distributions.”
The normal distribution is the symmetric bell curve. The 68-95-99.7 rule gives the proportion of data within 1, 2 and 3 standard deviations of the mean, and a z-score measures how many standard deviations a value sits from the mean.
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What this dot point is asking
You must apply the 68-95-99.7 rule, compute and interpret z-scores, find proportions, and use z-scores to compare values from different distributions.
The shape of the normal distribution
A normal distribution is symmetric about its mean , with most data clustered near the centre and the curve tailing off either side. Its spread is set by the standard deviation . The mean, median and mode all sit at the centre.
For a normal distribution, about 68% of values lie within 1 standard deviation of the mean, about 95% within 2 standard deviations, and about 99.7% within 3 standard deviations.
Applying the empirical rule
Adult resting heart rates are normally distributed with mean and standard deviation beats per minute. What proportion lie between 54 and 86?
The interval to is , exactly 2 standard deviations either side of the mean. By the rule, about 95% of adults have a resting heart rate between 54 and 86 beats per minute.
Z-scores: standardising a value
A z-score rescales any value so it can be compared on a common scale. It tells you how many standard deviations the value lies above (positive) or below (negative) the mean.
where is the value, is the mean and is the standard deviation. A positive is above the mean, a negative is below.
Calculating a z-score
A student scores 82 on a test with mean 70 and standard deviation 6. Find the z-score.
The score is exactly 2 standard deviations above the mean, a strong result that beats about 97.5% of students (since 95% lie within 2 SDs, leaving 2.5% above ).
Comparing values from different distributions
Z-scores let you compare results measured on different scales, because they convert everything to "standard deviations from the mean."
Which result is better?
Mia scores 78 in English (mean 70, SD 8) and 65 in Maths (mean 55, SD 5). Relative to her class, which is the stronger result?
Her Maths z-score (2.0) is higher than her English z-score (1.0), so relative to each class her Maths result is the stronger performance, even though the raw English mark is higher.
The inverse problem: from proportion to value
Many SACE questions run the standardisation backwards: you are told a proportion or percentile and must find the corresponding value. Use the inverse normal to get the -score for that area, then unstandardise with . For example, the cut-off for the top 10% of a distribution has , and substituting the mean and standard deviation gives the actual boundary value. Watch the direction: "the slowest 2%" or "the fastest 2%" both refer to a lower-tail area, while "the top 5%" is an upper-tail area, so the sign of must match the side of the distribution the question describes.
Comparing groups with different spreads
A subtle but examinable point is that a larger standard deviation puts more of a distribution into the tails. Two groups with similar means can have very different proportions beyond a high threshold if their spreads differ, with the more variable group having more extreme values at both ends. This is why a candle type with a lower mean burn time can still have a greater proportion burning beyond a long target, as in the candle question above. Comparing -scores at the threshold, rather than comparing means, is the reliable way to settle such claims.
Finding proportions and percentiles
Beyond the round numbers of the empirical rule, a calculator gives the proportion below any z-score, which is the percentile. For example, corresponds to about the 93rd percentile, meaning roughly 93% of values fall below it.
Draw the bell, mark the mean and shade the region you want before calculating. A sketch stops you from finding the area on the wrong side of the value, which is the most common slip in these questions.
Do not forget the order in the z-score formula: it is , not . Getting this backwards flips the sign and turns an above-average score into a below-average one. Also remember the 68-95-99.7 percentages apply to the region within those standard deviations; to find a one-sided tail you must halve the leftover.
Exam-style questions
Questions in the style of SACE Board exam questions on this dot point, each with a worked answer. They are written by ExamExplained unless tagged "Past paper"; the year shows the paper a question is modelled on.
SACE 2022-style2 marksCalculator-assumed. Tennis service times are normally distributed with mean seconds and standard deviation seconds. Calculate the longest service time within the fastest 2% of service times.Show worked answer →
The "fastest 2%" is the shortest 2%, so find the value with of the area to its left (the 2nd percentile).
The -score with below it is . Unstandardise with :
Marks: one for the inverse-normal boundary, one for the value seconds.
SACE 2021-style2 marksCalculator-assumed. Brand X battery life is normally distributed with mean hours and standard deviation hours. If 834 batteries were tested, how many would be expected to last less than 15 hours?Show worked answer →
Standardise: , so . [1 mark]
Multiply by the number tested: batteries. [1 mark]
So about 245 batteries would be expected to last less than 15 hours.
SACE 2023-style3 marksCalculator-assumed. Vanilla candles burn for a mean of 252 minutes (SD 20). Rose candles burn for a mean of 245 minutes (SD 25). A company claims a greater proportion of rose than vanilla candles burn longer than 300 minutes. Test the claim with calculations.Show worked answer →
Vanilla: , so (about 0.82%).
Rose: , so (about 1.39%). [2 marks]
Since , a greater proportion of rose candles burn beyond 300 minutes, so the claim is accurate. Despite the lower mean, rose's larger standard deviation puts more of its distribution beyond 300. [1 mark]