SACE Stage 2 General Mathematics deep dive: Topics 3, 4 and 5 for the 2026 exam
Revision deep dive for the three examined topics of SACE Stage 2 General Mathematics: bivariate statistics, linear and exponential regression and the normal distribution; saving, annuities, inflation, loans and sinking funds; and critical path analysis and assignment problems, with worked examples and links to the matching dot points.
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Why only three topics
The SACE Stage 2 General Mathematics exam tests Topics 3, 4 and 5 only. This deep dive covers exactly those topics and links the matching dot points on this site. Topics 1 and 2 are assessed at school; they are not revised here. For exam format and strategy, see the exam strategy guide.
Topic 3: Statistical models
Bivariate statistics
Dot points: bivariate data and correlation, least-squares regression.
- Identify the independent (explanatory) and dependent (response) variables from the context.
- Describe the association: direction, form and strength, using and the scatter plot, plus outliers.
- is the proportion of the variation in the dependent variable explained by the linear relationship.
- A residual plot with a pattern means the data are curved; the outline then asks you to test whether an exponential model fits better.
- A strong correlation is not proof of causation; coincidence or a third variable are the other explanations the outline names.
The number of visitors to a new website (thousands) is recorded weekly for 8 weeks. A linear model gives , but its residual plot is U-shaped. An exponential model gives , where is the week number, with a residual plot showing no pattern.
Choose the exponential model: the U-shaped residuals show the linear model is systematically wrong, even though is high.
Interpret: is the predicted number of visitors (thousands) at week 0, and means visitors grow by about 8 percent per week.
Predict for week 20: thousand. This is an extrapolation far beyond week 8, so it is unreliable: growth like this cannot continue indefinitely.
The normal distribution
Dot point: the normal distribution and z-scores.
- Normal distributions are bell-shaped and symmetric about the mean , with spread measured by the standard deviation .
- The 68-95-99.7 rule gives approximate proportions within 1, 2 and 3 standard deviations of the mean.
- Technology gives non-standard proportions, and inverse normal gives the value that cuts off a given area.
Cans are filled with volumes that are normally distributed with mean 375 mL and standard deviation 4 mL. The company labels the lightest 2 percent as underweight. Find the cut-off.
Inverse normal with area 0.02 to the left: mL. Cans below about 366.8 mL are in the lightest 2 percent.
Topic 4: Financial models
Models for saving
Dot points: compound interest and annuities, depreciation.
- Future value annuity: regular deposits plus compound interest. The outline states that in the exam the number of compounding periods per year equals the number of payments per year.
- Effective rate: compare investments by converting to an effective annual rate, .
- Inflation erodes purchasing power: $20 000 in 10 years, with inflation of 2.5 percent per year, is worth about in today's dollars.
- Tax on interest reduces the return, because interest counts as taxable income.
- Income from savings: a lump sum can fund regular withdrawals (a present value annuity) until it runs out.
The site's depreciation page is useful background for asset values and reducing-balance thinking.
Models for borrowing
Dot point: reducing-balance loans.
Jordan borrows $30 000 at 8.4 percent per annum, compounded monthly, over 5 years.
Repayment: , , , gives monthly repayments of about $614.05. Total interest: .
What if Jordan pays $700 a month? Solving for gives about 51.1, so the loan is repaid in 52 months (51 full payments and a smaller final one), saving roughly $1050 in interest.
Paying more, paying more often, shortening the term or making a lump-sum payment all reduce the total interest, because interest is charged on a smaller balance for less time.
Interest-only loans and sinking funds. On a $400 000 interest-only loan at 6 percent per annum with monthly payments, each payment is and the principal never falls. A sinking fund (a savings annuity) can be built alongside it to repay the $400 000 at the end of the term.
Topic 5: Discrete models
The outline notes that the arithmetic in this topic can be done without technology, so practise by hand.
Critical path analysis
Dot point: critical path analysis.
| Task | Time (days) | Immediate predecessors |
|---|---|---|
| A | 3 | none |
| B | 5 | none |
| C | 4 | B |
| D | 2 | A, B |
| E | 6 | C, D |
D needs both A and B, but C needs only B, so a dummy link from the end of B to the end of A is needed to show D's dependence on B without making C depend on A.
Forward scan (earliest starting times): A 0, B 0, C 5, D , E . Minimum completion time: days.
Backward scan (latest completion times): E 15, so C and D must be complete by 9; B by ; A by .
Slack time latest completion (task time earliest start): A: days; D: days. B, C and E have zero slack, so the critical path is B, C, E.
Assignment problems
Dot point: assignment problems.
The Hungarian algorithm, as set out in the subject outline:
- Reduce rows, then columns, by subtracting each one's minimum value.
- Cover all zeros with the minimum number of straight lines. If the number of lines equals the order of the array, go to step 4.
- Let be the smallest uncovered element. Subtract from all uncovered elements and add it to elements covered by two lines. Return to step 2.
- Find an assignment using only zeros, then apply it to the original array to find the total cost.
Maximising: subtract every entry from the largest entry to create an opportunity-loss array, then minimise. Non-square arrays: add a dummy row or column of zeros to square the array up; whoever is assigned to the dummy is left out.
Common mistakes
- Choosing a linear model because is high while ignoring a curved residual plot.
- Reading in an exponential model as the amount added each step rather than the multiplying factor.
- Mixing up nominal and effective rates when comparing investments.
- Leaving out a dummy link, which changes the precedence and the critical path.
- Adding up the reduced array instead of the original costs at the end of the Hungarian algorithm.
Check your knowledge
- An exponential model is . Interpret 0.85. (Answer: decreases by 15 percent per unit increase in .)
- About what percentage of a normal distribution lies more than 2 standard deviations above the mean? (Answer: 2.5 percent.)
- A task has earliest starting time 6, duration 3 and latest completion time 12. Find its slack. (Answer: 3.)
Then try the topics quiz.
Sources & how we know this
- Stage 2 General Mathematics Subject Outline — SACE Board of South Australia
- General Mathematics subject page, including past examinations — SACE Board of South Australia
- Stage 2 General Mathematics: external assessment — SACE Board
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