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VICMath MethodsQuick questions

Unit 3

Quick questions on Probability, conditional probability and independence: VCE Math Methods Unit 3

6short Q&A pairs drawn directly from our worked dot-point answer. For full context and worked exam questions, read the parent dot-point page.

What is worked example?
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In a class of 30 students, 18 study Methods, 12 study Specialist, and 8 study both. A student is chosen at random.
What is forgetting to subtract the overlap in the addition rule?
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$P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)$. Skipping the subtraction overcounts.
What is confusing $P $ with $P $?
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The conditional probability divides by $P(B)$; the intersection probability does not.
What is confusing independence with mutual exclusivity?
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These are different concepts and usually contradict each other (for events with positive probabilities).
What is assuming independence without justification?
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Two events are not independent just because they "feel unrelated". Always test using $P(A \cap B) = P(A) P(B)$.
What is treating "without replacement" as independent?
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Drawing without replacement creates dependence: the second probability is conditional on the first.

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