What determines the total output and price level of an economy?
Explain aggregate demand and aggregate supply and how their interaction determines output and the price level.
Aggregate demand is total planned spending in an economy; aggregate supply is total planned output. Their interaction determines the equilibrium level of real GDP and the general price level.
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What this dot point is asking
You need to define aggregate demand and aggregate supply, explain their components and shape, and use the AD-AS model to analyse changes in output and the price level.
Aggregate demand
Aggregate demand is the total planned expenditure on an economy's goods and services at each price level over a period of time. It is made up of four components:
- C - household consumption, the largest component.
- I - private investment (spending by firms on capital).
- G - government spending.
- (X - M) - net exports, exports minus imports.
The AD curve slopes downward: a lower general price level raises real wealth and spending power and tends to increase total spending, while a higher price level reduces it.
What shifts aggregate demand
AD shifts when any of its components change for reasons other than the price level - for example, a rise in consumer confidence (C), lower interest rates encouraging investment (I), increased government spending (G), or a depreciation of the dollar boosting net exports (X - M).
Aggregate supply
Aggregate supply is the total planned output of producers at each price level. Economists usually distinguish:
- Short-run aggregate supply (SRAS) slopes upward: at higher price levels, firms can earn more and expand output, especially when there is spare capacity.
- Long-run aggregate supply (LRAS) is vertical at the economy's potential output (full employment), because in the long run output is determined by the quantity and productivity of resources, not the price level.
What shifts aggregate supply
SRAS shifts with changes in production costs - wages, raw materials, energy prices and the exchange rate (which changes import costs). LRAS shifts with changes in the economy's productive capacity, such as population growth, investment in capital, technological progress and improved skills.
Equilibrium in the AD-AS model
Macroeconomic equilibrium occurs where AD equals AS. At this point the economy produces a particular level of real GDP at a particular general price level.
Why this matters
The AD-AS model is the central diagram of macroeconomics. It lets you predict how shocks (a fall in consumer confidence, a rise in oil prices, a change in government spending) affect growth, unemployment and inflation. Both fiscal and monetary policy are analysed by showing how they shift AD, so a clear grasp of this model is essential for the next three dot points.
Exam-style practice questions
Practice questions written in the style of SACE Board exam questions on this dot point, with worked answer explainers. The year tag is the paper they imitate, not the source.
2023 SACE Stage 23 marksCountry X is experiencing an inflationary gap with an inflation rate above 7.3%, driven by higher consumption spending. With reference to AD-AS theory, explain the likely long-run adjustments to economic conditions in Country X if the government does not intervene in the economy. Fully label and complete the AD-AS diagram to support your answer.Show worked answer →
Three marks: the starting position, the self-correcting mechanism, and the diagram.
Starting position (1 mark). The rise in consumption has shifted AD right, so the economy is producing above its full-employment level of output (real GDP is to the right of LRAS), opening an inflationary gap with a price level above target.
Long-run self-correction (1 mark). With output above potential, labour and resource markets are tight. This bids up wages and other input costs, raising firms' costs of production. Short-run aggregate supply (SRAS) shifts left. As SRAS shifts left, the price level rises further in the short term but real GDP falls back to the full-employment level (LRAS), closing the inflationary gap without government action.
Diagram (1 mark). Show AD intersecting SRAS to the right of LRAS, then SRAS shifting left until equilibrium returns to LRAS at a higher price level.
2023 SACE Stage 24 marksA significant proportion of Country W's government expenditure was on improving health and education services. Explain how the increased expenditure on education and health is likely to contribute to both short-run and long-run economic growth. Fully label and complete the AD-AS diagram to support your answer.Show worked answer →
Four marks: short-run AD effect, long-run AS effect, plus a fully labelled diagram.
- Short-run growth (AD)
- Government spending on health and education is a component of aggregate demand (G). The increased spending shifts AD to the right, raising real GDP and employment in the short run, with a further boost via the expenditure multiplier.
- Long-run growth (AS)
- Better health and education raise the quality and productivity of the labour force (human capital). A more skilled, healthier workforce increases the economy's productive capacity, shifting long-run aggregate supply (LRAS) to the right. This lifts potential output and allows sustained growth with less inflationary pressure.
- Diagram
- Show AD shifting right (short-run growth) and LRAS shifting right (long-run capacity growth), with real GDP higher in both the short and long run. Label AD, SRAS, LRAS, the price level and real GDP.
2022 SACE Stage 22 marksCountry K is a large net exporter, and recent external shocks have significantly decreased the demand for and dollar value of its exports. On the AD-AS model, illustrate the likely effect of the decrease in the dollar value of exports on the average price level in Country K.Show worked answer →
Two marks for a correct, labelled diagram and outcome.
Net exports (X minus M) are a component of aggregate demand. A fall in the dollar value of exports reduces net exports, so AD shifts to the left (AD to AD1).
On the diagram, draw AD shifting left along the upward-sloping SRAS. The new equilibrium shows a lower average price level (APL) and lower real GDP. Label the axes (APL on the vertical, Real GDP on the horizontal), the SRAS and LRAS curves, the leftward AD shift, and mark the fall in the price level.
Markers reward the leftward AD shift and the resulting lower price level and output.