Exponential growth and decay applications (QCE Math Methods Unit 2)
“Model exponential growth and decay using or , including problems involving population growth, radioactive decay, depreciation and continuous compound interest”
Exponential growth and decay are modelled by (initial value , growth factor or decay factor ) or equivalently with , and worded scenarios provide enough information to identify and (or ) from the initial value plus one further condition.
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What this dot point is asking
QCAA wants you to model real-world growth and decay scenarios with exponential functions, choosing between (discrete or growth factor form) and (continuous form), and to solve for any of the parameters , , or from worded conditions.
The two standard forms
Discrete growth factor form. where:
- is the initial value at .
- is the per-time-unit multiplier.
- for growth, for decay.
- is time in the units that match .
Continuous form. where:
- is initial value.
- is the continuous growth rate ( growth, decay).
- Used when growth is compounded continuously (continuously compounded interest, radioactive decay in mathematically clean form).
The two forms convert via or .
Building the model from a scenario
Identify from the initial value. Identify or from a single additional condition (typically "after time units the value is ").
For percentage growth at rate per period: . For percentage decay: (assuming ).
For half-life : , so .
For doubling time : , so .
Continuous compound interest
where is the principal, is the annual interest rate (as a decimal, continuously compounded), is time in years.
For discrete annual compounding the model is ; for times per year it is . As , this approaches .
Build the model
A population doubles every years and is currently . Doubling every years gives the model .
Predict a future value
Solve for the time to reach a target
Take logarithms: , so years. Markers reward the doubling-time model, the prediction, and the logarithm step to solve for time.
- Confusing with the answer to the question
- is the initial value, not the value at the time being asked about.
- Using percentage rate
- is a growth factor (a number near ), not the percentage. A annual growth means .
- Forgetting that decay
- A decay model with models growth, not decay.
- Mixing time units
- If is per year, must be in years. If you switch units, recompute .
Choosing between the two forms
The growth-factor form is natural when a problem gives a per-period multiplier, a percentage change, a half-life or a doubling time, because can be written down directly. The continuous form is natural for continuously compounded interest and for problems already expressed with , and it is the form that connects to calculus, since shows the rate of change is proportional to the current amount. The two forms describe the same curve whenever , so you can convert freely with .
Solving for the unknown parameter
Most worded problems supply the initial value plus one further data point, and the remaining parameter is found by substitution. If the extra information is a half-life or doubling time, use or to get . If it is a value at a known time, substitute and solve, taking a logarithm when the unknown is in the exponent. Solving for the time to reach a target value is the most common final part, and it always reduces to isolating the exponential and applying a logarithm.
How this appears in assessment
IA1 typically asks you to build a discrete model from a scenario and predict a value at a stated time. In the external assessment, Paper 1 may test identifying a growth factor or a doubling time, while Paper 2 sets a multi-part contextual problem: build the model, predict a value, then solve for the time a target is met. In Year 12 the same models are differentiated to find instantaneous rates of change, so a secure grasp here pays off later.
Exam-style questions
Questions in the style of QCAA exam questions on this dot point, each with a worked answer. They are written by ExamExplained unless tagged "Past paper"; the year shows the paper a question is modelled on.
Practice5 marksPaper 2 (complex familiar). A radioactive isotope has a half-life of days; a sample initially contains g. (a) Write a decay model with in days. (b) Determine the mass after days. (c) Determine the time for the mass to fall to g.Show worked answer →
(a) After days half remains: , so .
(b) g.
(c) , so , giving and days.
Markers reward the half-life condition, the substitution, and equating exponents (or taking logs).
Practice4 marksPaper 2 (complex familiar). A bacterial colony grows continuously as , with in hours. (a) Determine the population after hours. (b) Determine, to the nearest hour, the time for the population to reach .Show worked answer →
(a)
(b) , so , , , about hours.
Markers reward the substitution, isolating the exponential, and using the natural logarithm to solve for .