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Exponential growth and decay applications (QCE Math Methods Unit 2)

Syllabus dot point

“Model exponential growth and decay using y=A⋅rty = A \cdot r^t or y=Aekty = A e^{kt}, including problems involving population growth, radioactive decay, depreciation and continuous compound interest”

7 min read

Quick answer

Exponential growth and decay are modelled by y=Arty = A r^t (initial value AA, growth factor r>1r > 1 or decay factor 0<r<10 < r < 1) or equivalently y=Aekty = A e^{kt} with r=ekr = e^k, and worded scenarios provide enough information to identify AA and rr (or kk) from the initial value plus one further condition.

Jump to a section
  1. What this dot point is asking
  2. The two standard forms
  3. Building the model from a scenario
  4. Continuous compound interest
  5. Choosing between the two forms
  6. Solving for the unknown parameter
  7. How this appears in assessment
  8. Exam-style questions

What this dot point is asking

QCAA wants you to model real-world growth and decay scenarios with exponential functions, choosing between y=Arty = A r^t (discrete or growth factor form) and y=Aekty = A e^{kt} (continuous form), and to solve for any of the parameters AA, rr, kk or tt from worded conditions.

The two standard forms

Discrete growth factor form. y=Arty = A r^t where:

  • AA is the initial value at t=0t = 0.
  • rr is the per-time-unit multiplier.
  • r>1r > 1 for growth, 0<r<10 < r < 1 for decay.
  • tt is time in the units that match rr.

Continuous form. y=Aekty = A e^{kt} where:

  • AA is initial value.
  • kk is the continuous growth rate (k>0k > 0 growth, k<0k < 0 decay).
  • Used when growth is compounded continuously (continuously compounded interest, radioactive decay in mathematically clean form).

The two forms convert via r=ekr = e^k or k=ln⁡rk = \ln r.

Building the model from a scenario

Identify AA from the initial value. Identify rr or kk from a single additional condition (typically "after TT time units the value is VV").

For percentage growth at rate p%p\% per period: r=1+p/100r = 1 + p/100. For percentage decay: r=1−p/100r = 1 - p/100 (assuming p<100p < 100).

For half-life T1/2T_{1/2}: rT1/2=1/2r^{T_{1/2}} = 1/2, so r=(1/2)1/T1/2r = (1/2)^{1/T_{1/2}}.

For doubling time TdT_d: rTd=2r^{T_d} = 2, so r=21/Tdr = 2^{1/T_d}.

Continuous compound interest

A(t)=PertA(t) = P e^{rt} where PP is the principal, rr is the annual interest rate (as a decimal, continuously compounded), tt is time in years.

For discrete annual compounding the model is A=P(1+r)tA = P(1 + r)^t; for nn times per year it is A=P(1+r/n)ntA = P(1 + r/n)^{nt}. As n→∞n \to \infty, this approaches A=PertA = P e^{rt}.

Doubling-time population model

Build the model

A population doubles every 77 years and is currently 15001500. Doubling every 77 years gives the model P(t)=1500⋅2t/7P(t) = 1500 \cdot 2^{t/7}.

Predict a future value

P(20)=1500⋅220/7=1500⋅22.857≈1500×7.24≈10 860.P(20) = 1500 \cdot 2^{20/7} = 1500 \cdot 2^{2.857} \approx 1500 \times 7.24 \approx 10\,860.

Solve for the time to reach a target

10 000=1500⋅2t/7  ⇒  2t/7=6.667.10\,000 = 1500 \cdot 2^{t/7} \;\Rightarrow\; 2^{t/7} = 6.667.

Take logarithms: t7=log⁡26.667=ln⁡6.667ln⁡2≈2.737\dfrac{t}{7} = \log_2 6.667 = \dfrac{\ln 6.667}{\ln 2} \approx 2.737, so t≈19.2t \approx 19.2 years. Markers reward the doubling-time model, the prediction, and the logarithm step to solve for time.

Common traps
Confusing AA with the answer to the question
AA is the initial value, not the value at the time being asked about.
Using r=r = percentage rate
rr is a growth factor (a number near 11), not the percentage. A 5%5\% annual growth means r=1.05r = 1.05.
Forgetting that decay r<1r < 1
A decay model with r>1r > 1 models growth, not decay.
Mixing time units
If rr is per year, tt must be in years. If you switch units, recompute rr.

Choosing between the two forms

The growth-factor form y=Arty = A r^t is natural when a problem gives a per-period multiplier, a percentage change, a half-life or a doubling time, because rr can be written down directly. The continuous form y=Aekty = A e^{kt} is natural for continuously compounded interest and for problems already expressed with ee, and it is the form that connects to calculus, since ddtAekt=kAekt\tfrac{d}{dt}Ae^{kt} = kAe^{kt} shows the rate of change is proportional to the current amount. The two forms describe the same curve whenever r=ekr = e^k, so you can convert freely with k=ln⁡rk = \ln r.

Solving for the unknown parameter

Most worded problems supply the initial value AA plus one further data point, and the remaining parameter is found by substitution. If the extra information is a half-life or doubling time, use rT=12r^{T} = \tfrac{1}{2} or rT=2r^{T} = 2 to get rr. If it is a value at a known time, substitute and solve, taking a logarithm when the unknown is in the exponent. Solving for the time to reach a target value is the most common final part, and it always reduces to isolating the exponential and applying a logarithm.

How this appears in assessment

IA1 typically asks you to build a discrete model from a scenario and predict a value at a stated time. In the external assessment, Paper 1 may test identifying a growth factor or a doubling time, while Paper 2 sets a multi-part contextual problem: build the model, predict a value, then solve for the time a target is met. In Year 12 the same models are differentiated to find instantaneous rates of change, so a secure grasp here pays off later.

Exam-style questions

Questions in the style of QCAA exam questions on this dot point, each with a worked answer. They are written by ExamExplained unless tagged "Past paper"; the year shows the paper a question is modelled on.

Practice5 marks
Paper 2 (complex familiar). A radioactive isotope has a half-life of 1414 days; a sample initially contains 8080 g. (a) Write a decay model m(t)=Artm(t) = A r^t with tt in days. (b) Determine the mass after 5050 days. (c) Determine the time for the mass to fall to 1010 g.
Show worked answer →

(a) After 1414 days half remains: r14=12r^{14} = \tfrac{1}{2}, so m(t)=80(12)t/14m(t) = 80\left(\tfrac{1}{2}\right)^{t/14}.

(b) m(50)=80(12)50/14≈80×0.0841≈6.73m(50) = 80\left(\tfrac{1}{2}\right)^{50/14} \approx 80 \times 0.0841 \approx 6.73 g.

(c) 10=80(12)t/1410 = 80\left(\tfrac{1}{2}\right)^{t/14}, so (12)t/14=18=(12)3\left(\tfrac{1}{2}\right)^{t/14} = \tfrac{1}{8} = \left(\tfrac{1}{2}\right)^3, giving t14=3\tfrac{t}{14} = 3 and t=42t = 42 days.

Markers reward the half-life condition, the substitution, and equating exponents (or taking logs).

Practice4 marks
Paper 2 (complex familiar). A bacterial colony grows continuously as N(t)=500e0.12tN(t) = 500 e^{0.12t}, with tt in hours. (a) Determine the population after 1010 hours. (b) Determine, to the nearest hour, the time for the population to reach 20002000.
Show worked answer →

(a) N(10)=500e0.12×10=500e1.2≈500×3.3201≈1660.N(10) = 500 e^{0.12 \times 10} = 500 e^{1.2} \approx 500 \times 3.3201 \approx 1660.

(b) 2000=500e0.12t2000 = 500 e^{0.12t}, so e0.12t=4e^{0.12t} = 4, 0.12t=ln⁡40.12t = \ln 4, t=ln⁡40.12≈11.55t = \dfrac{\ln 4}{0.12} \approx 11.55, about 1212 hours.

Markers reward the substitution, isolating the exponential, and using the natural logarithm to solve for tt.

Practise this

Sources & how we know this

ExamExplained