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VICEconomics2024

VCE Economics 2024

Walkthrough of the 2024 VCE Economics exam: all 15 multiple-choice answers (Question 1 was invalidated), a map of every Section B question on migration, NAIRU, monetary policy, the current account and the 2024-25 budget, worked practice questions and the errors the VCAA report flagged.

Marks
80
Time
120 min
Authority
VCAA
Updated

A walkthrough of the 2024 VCE Economics examination, sat on 31 October 2024. It gives every Section A answer with a reason, maps every Section B question with the average mark from the VCAA report, works six practice questions based on the real paper (including the inflation calculation), and lists the specific errors the examiners reported. Section B was built around net overseas migration, long-term unemployment, the RBA's balancing of inflation and employment, the current account and the 2024-25 federal budget.

How to use this page

  • Questions are from the 2024 VCE Economics examination, copyright Victorian Curriculum and Assessment Authority (VCAA), listed on the VCAA Economics examinations page. Each question is summarised here, not reproduced; open the official examination PDF for the stimulus material (the migration extract, the long-term unemployment graph, the RBA quote and the current account table).
  • Answers and guidance are our own responses, written to the marking guidance in the 2024 VCE Economics external assessment report (Word document), not copied from VCAA's sample answers. Multiple-choice answers match the report's key, and percentages in brackets are the share of students who chose the correct option.
  • Study design. This paper was set on the current VCE Economics study design (2023 to 2027), so all of it is relevant. The one exception is Section A Question 1, which VCAA invalidated because it did not align with the study design. Questions that say "over the past two years" or "current" expected contemporary Australian data as at late 2024; if you use this paper later, swap in data for your own two-year window.

Structure and timing

The paper was 80 marks in 2 hours of writing time, plus 15 minutes reading time, with a scientific calculator allowed.

  • Section A: 15 multiple-choice questions, 15 marks. All compulsory, four options each.
  • Section B: 6 written-response questions, 65 marks. Question 1 (3 marks), Question 2 (11), Question 3 (8), Question 4 (15), Question 5 (10) and Question 6 (18).

That is 1.5 minutes per mark. A sensible plan: about 20 minutes for Section A, about 95 minutes for Section B (roughly 1.5 minutes per mark, so about 22 minutes for Question 4 and 27 for Question 6), and 5 minutes to check. Use reading time to mark the task word and the time frame in every part: the report singled out answers that misread Questions 2b, 4d and 6a.

Section A: Multiple choice

Q1
Sunlight and rainfall that help a wheat farmer's crop grow: what kind of good or benefit are they? Invalidated - VCAA removed this question because it does not align with the study design, so no answer is given.
Q2
A PPF for coffee and tea that bows out from the origin. As coffee output rises in equal steps, what happens to the opportunity cost in tea? Answer: A - it increases: each equal step in coffee costs a larger amount of tea because resources are not equally suited to both goods. (65%; 28% chose B.)
Q3
Which event would shift the demand curve for a good to the right? Answer: B - lower direct taxation raises disposable income, a non-price factor that increases demand at every price. A fall in the good's own price (A) is only a movement along the curve, and a cheaper substitute (C) shifts demand left. (55%; 27% chose A.)
Q4
Which is most likely to increase aggregate demand? Answer: B - higher consumer confidence lifts consumption spending. (96%)
Q5
Milk stays at 2 dollars a litre from 2020 to 2024 while coffee rises from 4 to 6 dollars a cup. What happened to the relative price of milk? Answer: D - it decreased: milk now costs a third of a coffee instead of half. (56%; 30% chose B, "unchanged", looking only at milk's own price.)
Q6
Which pair are both features of an expansion in the business cycle? Answer: B - rising wages and rising business profits. (90%)
Q7
Quarterly CPI data from June 2021 to June 2023. What was inflation for the year ended June 2023? Answer: A - compare June 2023 with June 2022: 133.7−126.1126.1×100≈6.03%\frac{133.7 - 126.1}{126.1} \times 100 \approx 6.03\%. (64%; 16% chose C.)
Q8
Demand is relatively inelastic and supply decreases. What happens? Answer: B - price rises and quantity demanded falls by a relatively smaller amount. (80%)
Q9
A government sets a maximum price for rice below the equilibrium price. Effect? Answer: D - at the lower price, the quantity sellers supply falls from Q1 to Q2, so less rice is available (and a shortage from Q2 to Q3 opens up). (66%; 19% chose C, confusing quantity demanded with rice actually available.)
Q10
Which is unlikely to increase cost inflation in the short term? Answer: C - higher transfer payments add to spending (a demand-side effect), not to firms' costs. Oil, electricity and road tolls are all production costs. (74%; 19% chose D.)
Q11
Given employed (14 257 000) and unemployed (595 000) persons, plus distracting youth and participation data, find the unemployment rate. Answer: A - 595 00014 257 000+595 000×100≈4.0%\frac{595\,000}{14\,257\,000 + 595\,000} \times 100 \approx 4.0\%. (69%)
Q12
What are aggregate supply policies designed to do? Answer: B - improve supply-side conditions so the domestic macroeconomic goals and higher living standards are easier to achieve. (90%)
Q13
Which will not slow labour productivity growth? Answer: B - lower barriers to entry for international investors, which tends to add capital and competition. The other options all reduce investment, entrepreneurship or skills. (85%)
Q14
Import price index 125 then 150; export price index 100 then 75. Terms of trade index in Year 2, and the trend? Answer: D - 75150×100=50\frac{75}{150} \times 100 = 50 in Year 2, down from 100125×100=80\frac{100}{125} \times 100 = 80 in Year 1, so it decreased. (77%)
Q15
Australia's international competitiveness will most likely improve if what happens? Answer: C - higher labour productivity lowers unit costs, so Australian goods can be priced more competitively. (86%)

What this paper assessed

Averages are from the VCAA report's mark-distribution tables.

Section B, Question 1 (3 marks)

  • 1 (3 marks, outline): the link between relative scarcity and opportunity cost. Average 2.1 of 3.

Question 2 (11 marks): net overseas migration. Stimulus: an extract giving net overseas migration of 400 000 in 2022-23 and 315 000 in 2023-24, about 70% of permanent places going to skilled migrants, and a pre-pandemic level of about 235 000 a year.

  • 2a (4 marks, explain with a fully labelled demand and supply diagram): the likely impact of 2023-24 net migration on the Australian labour market. Average 2.8 of 4.
  • 2b (3 marks, analyse): how demand and supply forces affect equilibrium price and quantity in the housing market as a result of net migration. Average 1.9 of 3.
  • 2c (4 marks, explain): how the focus on skilled migrants affects productive capacity, strong and sustainable economic growth, and non-material living standards. Average 2.8 of 4.

Question 3 (8 marks): unemployment. Stimulus: an ABS graph of the number of long-term unemployed ('000) from January 2021 to November 2023.

  • 3a (2 marks, describe): the trend in long-term unemployment from January 2022, using the graph. Average 1.8 of 2.
  • 3b (3 marks, distinguish): hidden unemployment and long-term unemployment. Average 1.3 of 3.
  • 3c (3 marks, explain): one consequence of not achieving full employment and its effect on material living standards. Average 2.0 of 3.

Question 4 (15 marks): inflation and full employment. Stimulus: a June 2023 quote from Michele Bullock (then RBA Deputy Governor) saying that prioritising the inflation goal does not mean employment has taken a back seat.

  • 4a (2 marks, describe): what economists mean by the NAIRU. Average 1.3 of 2.
  • 4b (2 marks, explain): how one aggregate supply factor affected low and stable inflation in the past two years. Average 1.3 of 2.
  • 4c (5 marks, explain): with one transmission mechanism, how the current monetary policy stance is designed to influence aggregate demand and low and stable inflation. Average 2.9 of 5.
  • 4d (6 marks, evaluate): with reference to the quote, the extent to which Australia achieved low and stable inflation and full employment in the past two years. Average 3.4 of 6.

Question 5 (10 marks): the external sector. Stimulus: the balance on current account moved from 7782 million dollars (June quarter 2023) to minus 158 million (September quarter 2023), seasonally adjusted.

  • 5a (2 marks, explain): how one structural influence might have contributed to that change. Average 0.7 of 2, joint lowest on the paper with 5b.
  • 5b (2 marks, outline): how foreign investors buying a large Australian cotton farm affect two components of the balance of payments. Average 0.7 of 2.
  • 5c (2 marks, explain): how one of three factors affects the value of the Australian dollar (a credit rating downgrade, higher US interest rates, or lower relative inflation in Australia). Average 1.4 of 2.
  • 5d (4 marks, discuss): the effectiveness of trade liberalisation in achieving strong and sustainable economic growth. Average 2.3 of 4.

Question 6 (18 marks): budgetary and aggregate supply policy.

  • 6a (3 marks, identify and describe): the stance of the 2024-25 federal budget and one reason for it given current conditions. Average 1.8 of 3.
  • 6b (4 marks, explain): the effect of one automatic and one discretionary stabiliser on the budget outcome over the past two years. Average 2.2 of 4.
  • 6c (2 marks, explain): one way to finance a deficit or one way to use a surplus. Average 1.3 of 2.
  • 6d (4 marks, explain): one strength of monetary policy and one of budgetary policy in affecting aggregate demand and strong and sustainable growth over the past two years. Average 2.0 of 4.
  • 6e (5 marks, explain with a recent example): how one budgetary AS policy (training and education, research and development, subsidies, infrastructure or tax reform) affects aggregate supply, international competitiveness and full employment. Average 3.3 of 5.

Worked practice questions (exam-style)

Worked example

Question 7 (1 mark): Annual inflation from quarterly CPI

Based on Section A Question 7 (1 mark). You are given a quarterly CPI series (June 2012 = 100) running from June 2021 (119.5) to June 2023 (133.7), with June 2022 at 126.1 and March 2023 at 132.6. Find the inflation rate for the year ended June 2023.

(a) Pick the right two index numbers. "Year ended June 2023" means June 2023 against the same quarter a year earlier, June 2022. Using March 2023 gives only a quarterly rate, and using June 2021 spans two years.

(b) Calculate the percentage change.

inflation=CPIJun 23−CPIJun 22CPIJun 22×100=133.7−126.1126.1×100\text{inflation} = \frac{\text{CPI}_{\text{Jun 23}} - \text{CPI}_{\text{Jun 22}}}{\text{CPI}_{\text{Jun 22}}} \times 100 = \frac{133.7 - 126.1}{126.1} \times 100

=7.6126.1×100≈6.03%= \frac{7.6}{126.1} \times 100 \approx 6.03\%

(c) Sense check. The index rose 7.6 points, but the base is about 126, not 100, so the percentage must be a little under 7.6. That rules out 7.60% (the points change, not the percentage).

Final answer: 6.03% (option A).

Worked example

Question 3b (3 marks): Hidden versus long-term unemployment

Based on Section B Question 3b (3 marks). Distinguish between hidden unemployment and long-term unemployment.

Model answer.

  1. Long-term unemployment refers to people who are unemployed, meaning they are without work, actively looking and available to start, and have been in that position for 12 months or longer. Because they are still actively searching, they are counted in the official unemployment rate.
  2. Hidden unemployment refers to people who want a job but have become discouraged (for example, after repeated rejection) and have stopped actively looking. Because they are no longer searching, the ABS counts them as outside the labour force, so they are not in the official unemployment rate.
  3. The key difference: the long-term unemployed are measured and are defined by how long they have been unemployed; the hidden unemployed are unmeasured and are defined by having given up the search, which can happen after only a few months. The official rate therefore understates true joblessness by the hidden unemployed, but it does include the long-term unemployed.

Marker's note: the report said high-scoring answers made one clear point of difference, with hidden unemployment described as discouraged job seekers left out of the official figures. Common losses were saying the long-term unemployed have been out of work "for a long time" instead of 12 months or more, and confusing hidden unemployment with underemployment or with hard-core unemployment (people who cannot work for physical, mental or personal reasons).

Worked example

Question 4c (5 marks): Monetary policy stance and one transmission mechanism

Based on Section B Question 4c (5 marks). Using one transmission mechanism, explain how the current monetary policy stance was designed to influence aggregate demand and the goal of low and stable inflation.

Model answer (cash flow channel), as at late 2024.

  1. The stance. Monetary policy was contractionary: the target cash rate was 4.35%, above the range usually treated as neutral (around 3 to 3.5%). The RBA held it there because inflation had been above its 2 to 3% target.
  2. The mechanism. A higher cash rate flows through to higher variable lending rates. Households with variable-rate mortgages must pay more each month in interest, which cuts the income they have left for discretionary spending after repayments.
  3. The effect on AD. With less discretionary income, households cut back private consumption (C), the largest component of aggregate demand, so AD grows more slowly or falls.
  4. The link to inflation. Weaker AD eases the pressure on the economy's productive capacity. Firms face less excess demand and fewer shortages, and some must discount to clear stock, which slows the rate at which prices rise (lower demand inflation).
  5. The goal. Slower price growth moves CPI inflation back towards the 2 to 3% target on average over the cycle, promoting low and stable inflation.

Marker's note: the report rewarded answers that named the stance with reference to the neutral cash rate and linked lower AD to less pressure on capacity and slower price growth. Answers lost marks by naming one mechanism (such as savings and investment) but explaining another (such as cash flow), by treating lower consumer confidence as a transmission mechanism, by half-explaining the asset prices channel without the negative wealth effect, and by describing how the RBA runs the interest rate corridor, which the question did not ask for.

Worked example

Question 4d (6 marks): Evaluating inflation and full employment

Based on Section B Question 4d (6 marks). With reference to the quoted RBA remark that prioritising inflation does not mean employment has taken a back seat, evaluate how far Australia achieved low and stable inflation and full employment over the past two years (answer set as at late 2024).

Model answer.

(a) Low and stable inflation (target 2 to 3% on average over the cycle).

  • Against achievement: headline inflation peaked at 7.8% in December 2022 and was still 4.1% in December 2023, far above target for most of the period. Underlying inflation, which strips out volatile items, was still about 3.5% in late 2024.
  • For achievement: after 13 cash rate increases, headline inflation fell to 2.8% in the September quarter 2024, inside the band.
  • Judgement: the goal was only partly achieved. The 2.8% figure was helped by temporary energy bill relief, and inflation had not been in the band long enough to count as stable.

(b) Full employment (the NAIRU, estimated at about 4.25%, or 4 to 4.5%).

  • For achievement: unemployment stayed historically low throughout, and rose from around 3.5% in mid-2023 to about 4.1 to 4.2% in 2024, which puts it at or near the NAIRU, with little cyclical unemployment. This supports the quote: the RBA tightened without a sharp rise in joblessness.
  • Against achievement: for much of the period unemployment was below the NAIRU, which is not full employment either, because a very tight labour market adds to wage and price pressure.
  • Judgement: full employment was largely achieved by late 2024, having been overshot earlier.

(c) Overall. The quote is borne out: the RBA put inflation first but kept employment close to full employment. Full employment was broadly met, while low and stable inflation was only just, and perhaps temporarily, back in range.

Marker's note: full marks needed a link to the quote, current figures for both unemployment and inflation, and a two-sided judgement on each goal. The report said many answers argued only one side (for example, "we have achieved full employment") or simply stated whether a goal was met, and some wrongly evaluated the strengths of monetary and budgetary policy instead of the goals.

Worked example

Question 5a (2 marks): A structural influence on the current account

Based on Section B Question 5a (2 marks). The balance on current account fell from a surplus of 7782 million dollars in the June quarter 2023 to a deficit of 158 million in the September quarter 2023. Explain how one structural influence might have contributed to this change.

Model answer (the savings and investment gap).

  1. Australia's national savings have long been too small to fund all of its desired investment. This is a structural, persistent feature of the economy, not a short-term swing.
  2. To fill the gap, Australia borrows from, and sells assets to, foreigners. Servicing that stock of foreign liabilities means paying interest and dividends overseas, which are debits in the net primary income part of the current account. As these debits grow relative to income credits, they push the balance down, helping explain the move from a 7782 million surplus to a 158 million deficit.

An alternative structural influence is Australia's relatively high cost structure (for example, weak productivity growth) reducing international competitiveness, which weighs on export credits relative to import debits in the balance on goods and services.

Marker's note: this was the joint lowest-scoring question on the paper (average 0.7 of 2, level with Question 5b). The report said structural influences are underlying, long-term features: exchange rates, overseas growth, commodity prices and the terms of trade, or one-off weather events are not structural. Some answers also confused the current account balance with the budget balance. Refer to the table and show the credits and debits moving.

Worked example

Question 5b (2 marks): Foreign purchase of a cotton farm and the balance of payments

Based on Section B Question 5b (2 marks). Outline how foreign investors buying a large cotton farm in Australia would affect two components of Australia's balance of payments.

Model answer.

  1. Financial account, net direct investment. The purchase brings foreign funds into Australia, recorded as a credit in net direct investment on the capital and financial account (the investors take a controlling interest in the farm).
  2. Current account, net primary income. Once the farm earns profits, returns paid out to the overseas owners are recorded as debits in net primary income on the current account, pushing that sub-account further into deficit.

Marker's note: high-scoring answers named the main account, the sub-account and whether it was a credit or a debit, for each transaction. The report warned against leaning on "the current account plus the capital and financial account sums to zero" (double-entry is beyond the study design) and against claiming that wages paid to the farm's Australian workers affect the current account; they are not cross-border transactions.

Common errors students made

These come from the 2024 VCAA examination report.

  • Section A Question 3: many students chose a fall in the good's own price, which is a movement along the demand curve, not a shift.
  • Section A Question 5: many said the relative price of milk was unchanged, missing that relative price compares milk with coffee.
  • Question 1: treating opportunity cost as the price of the next-best alternative rather than the benefit forgone, and distinguishing the two concepts instead of linking them.
  • Question 2a: shifting labour supply to the left (net migration was lower than the year before but still positive), writing "quantity supplied" when the market change is in quantity traded, and spending time on an equilibrium adjustment analysis the question did not ask for.
  • Question 2b: continuing the labour market analysis instead of switching to housing, and naming a shortage without explaining how it pushes prices up.
  • Question 2c: asserting that more productive capacity automatically raises GDP, and claiming that lower production costs raise productivity.
  • Question 3a: describing every rise and fall, using data from before January 2022, or ignoring that the graph was in thousands.
  • Question 3c: confusing disposable income with purchasing power, and explaining one consequence but linking a different one to living standards.
  • Question 4a: giving a bare definition of the NAIRU in a 2-mark "describe" question.
  • Question 4b: using generic AS factors without a recent example, and treating interest rates or business confidence as AS factors (both work through aggregate demand).
  • Question 4c: explaining a different transmission mechanism from the one named, or treating consumer confidence as a mechanism.
  • Question 4d: one-sided or missing evaluation of each goal.
  • Question 5a: citing cyclical factors (exchange rates, commodity prices) as structural, and confusing the current account with the budget.
  • Question 5b: not showing how foreign investment is recorded in the balance of payments.
  • Question 5c: arguing that lower relative inflation in Australia depreciates the dollar; it makes exports more competitive, raising demand for the dollar.
  • Question 5d: not discussing both short-term costs and long-term benefits of trade liberalisation.
  • Question 6a: writing about the 2023-24 budget instead of 2024-25.
  • Question 6b: explaining how stabilisers smooth the business cycle instead of how they changed the budget outcome, and mentioning commodity prices without linking them to company tax revenue.
  • Question 6c: answering both the deficit and the surplus parts, giving answers too thin for 2 marks, and claiming a deficit can be financed by raising taxes.
  • Question 6d: generic strengths not tied to the past two years, explaining how the policy works rather than the strength, calling a short implementation lag a strength of budgetary policy (only automatic stabilisers act quickly), and mixing up the short implementation lag of monetary policy with its flexibility.
  • Question 6e: not linking the policy to a specific AS factor, focusing too much on AD, and reusing skilled migration from Question 2.
  • General: writing in arrows and symbols instead of full sentences, and asserting links (such as "more AD means more inflation") without explaining why.

How to use this paper

Do Section A in about 20 minutes, then write Section B in one sitting of about 95 minutes, before reading this page. Mark each part against the "to achieve full marks" points in the VCAA report, and pay special attention to Questions 5a and 5b, which the report singled out for revision. Because Questions 4b, 4c, 4d, 6a, 6b and 6d all needed contemporary data, build a one-page data sheet for your own two-year window (cash rate, headline and underlying inflation, unemployment against the NAIRU, real GDP growth, the latest two budget outcomes) and rewrite 4d and 6d with it. Finally, take any sentence where you wrote "X leads to Y" and extend it to explain why, as the report's examples show.

Use this paper well

  1. Sit the paper under exam conditions (120 minutes, 80 marks).
  2. Mark yourself against the official VCAA marking notes.
  3. Compare against the Economics hub to find the syllabus dot points this paper tested.

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