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Focus Study 1: The peace and the rise of dictatorships, 1919-1939

The conditions that gave rise to dictatorship in the USSR, including Stalin's rise to power after Lenin's death in 1924 and his consolidation through the late 1920s

A focused answer to the HSC Modern History Core Study dot point on Stalin's rise to power. The succession struggle after Lenin's death (1924), Lenin's Testament, Stalin's tactical alliances against Trotsky, Zinoviev, Kamenev, and Bukharin, and the verdict of historians including Figes and Service.

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  1. What this dot point is asking
  2. The answer
  3. How to read a source on this topic
  4. Examples in context
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What this dot point is asking

NESA expects you to explain how Stalin moved from being one of several senior Bolsheviks in 1924 to the unchallenged leader of the USSR by 1929. The Core Study often asks Section I questions on the conditions for dictatorship as a comparative theme. Strong answers cite Stalin's institutional advantage, the Testament, and the four-stage succession struggle.

The answer

Lenin and the succession

Lenin died on 21 January 1924 after a series of strokes. He left no clear successor. Five senior Bolsheviks competed: Trotsky (Commissar for War, intellectual leader of the Left), Zinoviev (head of the Comintern and Leningrad party boss), Kamenev (Moscow party boss), Bukharin (editor of Pravda and theorist of the Right), and Stalin (General Secretary of the Party since April 1922).

Lenin's Testament

Lenin dictated a Testament (December 1922 to January 1923) assessing each leader. He warned that Stalin had "concentrated enormous power in his hands" and criticised his "rudeness" after a quarrel between Stalin and Lenin's wife Krupskaya. He recommended Stalin's removal as General Secretary. The Central Committee, persuaded by Zinoviev and Kamenev (who feared Trotsky more), voted in May 1924 not to publish the document. It was suppressed inside the USSR until 1956.

The succession struggle

Stalin moved against rivals in stages. He allied with Zinoviev and Kamenev (the "Triumvirate") against Trotsky from 1924. Trotsky was removed as Commissar for War in 1925, expelled from the Politburo in 1926, expelled from the Party in November 1927, exiled to Alma-Ata in 1928, and deported from the USSR in 1929.

Stalin then turned on the Left Opposition. Zinoviev and Kamenev allied with Trotsky too late (the United Opposition, 1926); both were expelled from the Party in 1927.

Finally Stalin defeated the Right (Bukharin, Rykov, Tomsky). The debate over the New Economic Policy (NEP) and forced collectivisation in 1928 to 1929 became the cover. Bukharin lost his seat on the Politburo in November 1929. By December 1929, Stalin's 50th birthday celebrations marked the unchallenged personality cult.

Ideology: Socialism in One Country

Stalin's slogan "Socialism in One Country" (1924-1925) contrasted with Trotsky's "Permanent Revolution." Stalin promised that the USSR could build socialism within its borders, independent of revolution abroad. After the failure of the German Communist uprising in October 1923, this appealed strongly to a population exhausted by war and revolution.

Timeline of consolidation

Date Event Significance
21 Jan 1924 Lenin dies Succession opens
May 1924 Testament suppressed Stalin survives Lenin's warning
Jan 1925 Trotsky resigns as Commissar for War Triumvirate ascendant
Dec 1925 14th Party Congress Stalin defeats Leningrad opposition (Zinoviev, Kamenev)
Nov 1927 Trotsky and Zinoviev expelled from Party Left Opposition broken
Jan 1928 First Five-Year Plan announced (begins Oct 1928) Forced collectivisation, end of NEP
Nov 1929 Bukharin expelled from Politburo Right Opposition broken
Dec 1929 Stalin's 50th birthday celebrations Cult of personality established

Stalin's rise to power, 1922 to 1929 A vertical timeline from April 1922 to December 1929: Stalin made General Secretary, Lenin's Testament, Lenin's death, the Testament suppressed, Trotsky removed and expelled, the Left Opposition broken, the Right Opposition broken, and Stalin's cult established. The succession struggle, 1922 to 1929 Apr 1922 Stalin made General Secretary Dec 1922 to Jan 1923 Lenin dictates his Testament 21 Jan 1924 Lenin dies - succession opens May 1924 Testament suppressed 1924 to 1925 Triumvirate isolates Trotsky Dec 1925 14th Congress: Left defeated Nov 1927 Trotsky and Zinoviev expelled Nov 1929 Bukharin out: Right broken Dec 1929 50th birthday: cult begins

Stalin's power base as General Secretary A concept diagram: four advantages of the General Secretaryship - control of appointments, control of party files, control of meeting agendas, and the Lenin Enrolment of loyal members - all feeding into Stalin's command of the Party Congress vote, which defeated his rivals. Why "General Secretary" was the post that mattered Control of appointments a network of loyal officials Control of party files leverage over every rival Control of agendas sets what Congress decides Lenin Enrolment new members owe him Command of the Party Congress vote Rivals out-voted, then expelled Trotsky, then Zinoviev and Kamenev, then Bukharin

How to read a source on this topic

Section I sources on Stalin tend to be Soviet propaganda posters, photographs of party congresses, or short extracts from leaders' writings (Lenin's Testament, Trotsky's later denunciations, Stalin's own speeches). Three reading habits.

First, check the date and the political moment. A poster from 1929 (50th birthday) shows the cult at its founding; a poster from 1937 reflects the Great Terror. Identify which stage of the rise or consolidation the source belongs to.

Second, watch for retrospective sources. Trotsky's writings from exile (after 1929) are politically motivated and should be treated as evidence of his interpretation, not of contemporaneous fact.

Third, treat absences as evidence. The suppression of Lenin's Testament is itself part of the story. Sources that should exist but do not are themselves analytical material.

Examples in context

Example 1. Lenin's Testament (December 1922 to January 1923). Lenin's dictated notes warned that Stalin had "concentrated unlimited power in his hands" and proposed his removal as General Secretary. Suppressed by the Politburo in May 1924, the Testament was published in the New York Times in October 1926 by Max Eastman. Robert Service (Stalin: A Biography, 2004) and Stephen Kotkin (Stalin: Paradoxes of Power, 2014) treat the suppression as evidence of how Stalin's institutional control already trumped Lenin's personal authority by 1924.

Example 2. Bukharin and the Right Opposition (1928 to 1929). Bukharin's 30 September 1928 Pravda article "Notes of an Economist" criticised the abandonment of NEP. Stalin attacked him at the November 1928 Central Committee plenum. Orlando Figes (The Whisperers, 2007, and Revolutionary Russia, 2014) reads the defeat of the Right as the moment Stalin secured both ideological and economic control. Sheila Fitzpatrick (The Russian Revolution, 1982) treats Socialism in One Country as an ideological wrapper for institutional dominance.

Try this

Q1. Source A is an extract from Lenin's Testament (4 January 1923): "Stalin is too rude, and this defect... becomes intolerable in a Secretary-General." Using Source A and your own knowledge, explain why the Testament did not prevent Stalin's rise. [5 marks]

  • What the marker wants. Identify suppression by Zinoviev and Kamenev; cite Stalin's institutional control as General Secretary from April 1922.

Q2. Evaluate the extent to which Stalin's rise to power between 1924 and 1929 was the result of his political skill rather than the weaknesses of his rivals. [25 marks]

  • What the marker wants. Thesis weighing personal skill against Trotsky's miscalculations and structural Leninism; use Service, Kotkin, Figes.

Q3. Compare the views of Robert Service and Stephen Kotkin on Stalin's character in the 1920s. [10 marks]

  • What the marker wants. Service (paranoid, brutal) versus Kotkin (rational ideologue, institution builder); your judgement.

Exam-style practice questions

Practice questions written in the style of NESA exam questions on this dot point, with worked answer explainers. The year tag is the paper they imitate, not the source.

2019 HSC (verbatim)3 marksDescribe THREE features common to dictatorships that emerged after World War I.
Show worked answer →

A 3-mark "describe" requires three short, distinct features. Use one sentence per feature.

Feature 1: Personal cult of the leader
The state, party, and ideology were identified with one individual. Stalin (Vozhd, "Leader"), Mussolini (Il Duce), and Hitler (Fuhrer) were all subjects of an organised personality cult.
Feature 2: One-party rule and the destruction of parliamentary opposition
The USSR was a one-party state from 1922. Italy banned opposition parties through the Leggi Fascistissime (1925-1926). Germany banned all parties except the NSDAP on 14 July 1933.
Feature 3: State terror against political and ideological enemies
The OGPU/NKVD ran the Soviet camps and the Great Purges. The OVRA was Mussolini's secret police. The SS and Gestapo ran Nazi terror.

Markers reward distinct features (do not repeat) and at least one named example per feature.

Practice (NESA)8 marksAccount for Stalin's rise to power in the USSR in the period 1924 to 1929.
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An 8-mark "account for" requires three to four causal factors with evidence and at least one historian.

Institutional control
Stalin had been General Secretary of the Communist Party since April 1922. He controlled appointments, party files, and the agenda of meetings. This was initially seen as a dull administrative role; in practice it gave him a network of patronage.
Lenin's Testament suppressed
Lenin's Testament (dictated December 1922 to January 1923) criticised Stalin's "rudeness" and recommended his removal. The Central Committee voted in May 1924 not to release it, protecting Stalin.
Tactical alliances
Stalin allied with Zinoviev and Kamenev against Trotsky (expelled from the Party 1927, exiled 1929), then with Bukharin against Zinoviev and Kamenev, then turned on Bukharin in 1928 to 1929.
Ideology
"Socialism in One Country" appealed to a war-weary population against Trotsky's "Permanent Revolution."
Historian
Orlando Figes (Revolutionary Russia, 2014) argues the party-state created by Lenin made an authoritarian leader possible regardless of personality. Robert Service (Stalin, 2004) emphasises Stalin's political skill against rivals who underestimated him. Markers reward institutional, ideological, and tactical factors with a named historian.

Practice questions

Original practice questions graded from foundation to exam level, each with a full worked solution. Try them before revealing the solution.

foundation3 marksOutline the four stages by which Stalin defeated his rivals between 1924 and 1929.
Show worked solution →

A 3-mark "outline" wants the sequence in order, with the rivals named.

Stage 1 (1924-1925)
Stalin joined Zinoviev and Kamenev in the Triumvirate to isolate Trotsky, the most dangerous rival; Trotsky lost the War Commissariat in January 1925.
Stage 2 (1925-1926)
Stalin turned on Zinoviev and Kamenev (the Leningrad/Left Opposition), defeating them at the 14th Party Congress (December 1925) with the help of Bukharin and the Right.
Stage 3 (1926-1927)
When Zinoviev and Kamenev allied with Trotsky too late in the United Opposition, Stalin expelled all three from the Party (November 1927).
Stage 4 (1928-1929)
Stalin abandoned the NEP and destroyed the Right (Bukharin, Rykov, Tomsky); Bukharin left the Politburo in November 1929.
Marking criteria
1 mark for correctly ordering the stages; 1 mark for naming the rival(s) at each stage; 1 mark for showing Stalin always allied with one faction before turning on it.
foundation4 marksExplain how Stalin's position as General Secretary helped him win the succession struggle.
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A 4-mark "explain" needs a clear cause-and-effect chain with specific powers.

The post
Stalin became General Secretary in April 1922. It was dismissed as a dull administrative job - which is exactly why rivals let him keep it.
Power of appointment
He controlled who was hired, promoted, and posted across the party apparatus, building a network of officials who owed him their careers (patronage).
Control of information and the agenda
He held the party files (useful leverage over rivals) and set the agenda of Central Committee and Congress meetings.
Control of the rank and file
The Lenin Enrolment (1924-1925) admitted hundreds of thousands of new, loyal, often poorly educated members whose votes Stalin's machine could direct - decisive at the 14th Party Congress (1925).
Marking criteria
1 mark for dating the post (April 1922); 1 mark each for two distinct powers (appointments, files/agenda, the Lenin Enrolment); 1 mark for linking these to a concrete outcome (e.g. out-voting Zinoviev in 1925).
core5 marksSource A (paraphrased, owned): In notes dictated in late December 1922, Lenin warned that the General Secretary had gathered "boundless authority" in his hands and doubted he would use it "with sufficient caution." A postscript added in early January 1923 called Stalin "too coarse" and proposed moving him to another post. Using Source A and your own knowledge, assess the usefulness of Lenin's Testament for a historian investigating why Stalin still rose to power. [5 marks]
Show worked solution →

A 5-mark "assess the usefulness" question rewards source analysis (origin, motive, perspective) plus own knowledge, ending in a judgement.

Origin and motive
The Testament is Lenin's own dictated assessment from December 1922 to January 1923, written as he was dying and increasingly alarmed by Stalin's growing power and his rudeness to Krupskaya. As the words of the regime's founder, it carries unmatched authority on the leaders' characters.
Usefulness
It is highly useful for showing the warning existed and was ignored: it proves Stalin's dominance was visible to Lenin himself, yet the Central Committee voted in May 1924 to suppress it. That suppression - engineered by Zinoviev and Kamenev, who feared Trotsky more - is itself the evidence: by 1924 Stalin's institutional control already outweighed Lenin's dying wish.
Limitation
The Testament reveals intention, not outcome. On its own it cannot explain Stalin's victory; that needed his post as General Secretary (April 1922), the doctrine of Socialism in One Country, and his rivals' miscalculations. It also says nothing of events after January 1923.
Judgement
Useful as a starting point - it frames the central paradox (Lenin tried to stop Stalin and failed) - but it must be read alongside evidence of institutional power to explain the rise.
Marking criteria
1 mark for origin/date; 1 mark for motive or perspective; 1-2 marks for own knowledge linking suppression (May 1924) to Stalin's institutional control; 1 mark for a stated judgement on usefulness with a limitation noted.
core5 marksSource B (paraphrased, owned): A 1924-1925 Soviet pamphlet argues that the workers' state can complete the building of socialism inside its own borders by its own efforts, and that to make Russia's fate depend on revolution in the West is to counsel despair. Using Source B and your own knowledge, explain how ideology helped Stalin defeat Trotsky. [5 marks]
Show worked solution →

A 5-mark "explain ... using the source" wants the source decoded, then linked to own knowledge.

Decode the source
Source B states Socialism in One Country - Stalin's doctrine (1924-1925) that the USSR could build socialism alone. The jab at "depend on revolution in the West" is aimed at Trotsky's Permanent Revolution.
Why it worked
After the failure of the German Communist uprising (October 1923), a population exhausted by war, civil war and famine found Stalin's promise of national self-reliance reassuring and patriotic. Trotsky's doctrine implied permanent struggle and dependence on foreign revolutions that had not come.
Linking ideology to the power struggle
Socialism in One Country also let Stalin brand Trotsky a defeatist and a factionalist who lacked faith in the Soviet people - a charge that played to party loyalty and to Stalin's new mass membership. Ideology thus became a weapon, not just a belief.
Limitation to note
Ideology alone was not decisive; it worked because Stalin's apparatus controlled the votes that ratified it.
Marking criteria
1 mark for identifying the doctrine in the source; 1 mark for naming Trotsky's rival doctrine; 1-2 marks for explaining its appeal with the 1923 context; 1 mark for linking the doctrine to the defeat of Trotsky.
exam25 marksAssess the reasons Stalin rather than Trotsky succeeded Lenin as leader of the USSR.
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This is an extended-response/essay. Markers reward a sustained, evidence-based argument that addresses the comparison directly and weaves in historiography - not a narrative.

Band-6 PLAN

  • Thesis. Stalin succeeded Lenin not because he was the abler revolutionary but because he held the institutional levers of the party while Trotsky, for all his brilliance, misjudged the bureaucratic nature of the new state. Personal skill mattered, but it was skill exercised inside a structure that favoured the administrator over the orator.
  • Argument 1 - Institutional control (the decisive factor). Stalin as General Secretary (April 1922) controlled appointments, party files, the meeting agenda, and the loyal mass of the Lenin Enrolment. Evidence: he out-voted the Left at the 14th Party Congress (1925); the Testament urging his removal was suppressed (May 1924).
  • Argument 2 - Trotsky's weaknesses and miscalculations. Trotsky failed to publish the Testament, missed Lenin's funeral (Stalin gave the eulogy and posed as Lenin's heir), feared appearing factional, and was distrusted as a latecomer to Bolshevism and a potential "Bonaparte." His arrogance isolated him.
  • Argument 3 - Ideology and tactics. Socialism in One Country out-positioned Permanent Revolution after the German failure of 1923; Stalin allied serially - with Zinoviev and Kamenev, then Bukharin - destroying rivals one faction at a time.
  • Historiography. Isaac Deutscher (The Prophet Unarmed, 1959), writing sympathetically to Trotsky, casts Stalin as the candidate of the rising bureaucracy - the "outstanding mediocrity" (Trotsky's own phrase) whom the apparatus raised precisely because he embodied it. Orlando Figes (Revolutionary Russia, 2014) makes this structural: the Leninist party-state made a Stalin possible regardless of personality. Robert Service (Stalin, 2004) restores agency - Stalin's tactical cunning and his rivals' underestimation of him were real causes, not just products of structure.
  • Judgement. Weigh structure (Deutscher, Figes) against agency (Service): the institution gave Stalin the gun, but he chose the targets. Both are needed; the decisive single factor was the General Secretaryship.

MODEL PARAGRAPH (Argument 1)

The clearest reason Stalin rather than Trotsky inherited Lenin's authority was his command of the party machine. As General Secretary from April 1922 - a post the others dismissed as clerical drudgery - Stalin controlled who was appointed and promoted across the apparatus, the party files that could compromise rivals, and the agendas of the bodies that decided policy. The Lenin Enrolment of 1924-1925 then flooded the party with hundreds of thousands of new members who owed their place to his machine, and it was these votes that crushed the Leningrad opposition at the 14th Party Congress in December 1925. The decisive proof is the fate of Lenin's Testament: a document by the founder himself, calling for Stalin's removal, was quietly buried by the Central Committee in May 1924 because Stalin's grip already outweighed Lenin's dying authority. Trotsky, by contrast, held the glamorous War Commissariat but no comparable hold over the party's nervous system, and once removed from it in 1925 he had no base from which to fight. As Deutscher argued, Stalin was the candidate the new bureaucracy raised because he ran it; Figes makes the same point structurally, that the party-state Lenin built could elevate such a man whatever his gifts.

Marker's note. A band-6 response sustains the comparison (always "Stalin rather than Trotsky"), anchors every claim in specific dated evidence, deploys at least two historians in genuine tension (structure vs agency), and reaches a judgement rather than listing factors. Narrating the succession without arguing why Stalin won caps the response in the middle bands.

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