Punnett squares and Mendelian inheritance: HSC Biology Module 5
“Investigate the inheritance of patterns including but not limited to: predicting genotypic and phenotypic ratios using Punnett squares and probability rules”
Mendelian inheritance uses Punnett squares to predict offspring genotypes and phenotypes from given parental crosses, producing the canonical 3:1 ratio for a heterozygous monohybrid cross and 9:3:3:1 for a heterozygous dihybrid cross, with the multiplication rule applied for independent events across multiple offspring.
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What this dot point is asking
NESA wants you to use Punnett squares and probability rules to predict the genotypic and phenotypic ratios of offspring from a given parental cross. This is a calculation skill, and Punnett squares appear in almost every HSC Biology exam.
The answer
Gregor Mendel's experiments on pea plants in the 1860s established three core laws of inheritance.
- Law of Segregation. Each parent contributes one of two alleles for each gene to its offspring, randomly.
- Law of Independent Assortment. Alleles for different genes segregate independently (assuming they are on different chromosomes).
- Law of Dominance. When two different alleles are present, the dominant allele determines the phenotype; the recessive allele is masked.
Key terminology
- Gene: a section of DNA that codes for a trait.
- Allele: a version of a gene (e.g. A or a).
- Genotype: the alleles an individual has (e.g. AA, Aa, aa).
- Phenotype: the observed trait (e.g. tall, short).
- Homozygous: two identical alleles (AA or aa).
- Heterozygous: two different alleles (Aa).
- Dominant: the allele expressed when heterozygous (capital letter).
- Recessive: the allele masked when heterozygous (lowercase letter).
Setting up a Punnett square
A Punnett square predicts the possible genotypes and phenotypes of offspring from a given parental cross.
Step 1. Identify the parental genotypes.
Step 2. Write the possible gametes from each parent across the top and down the side.
Step 3. Fill in each cell with the combined genotype.
Step 4. Read off the genotypic ratio.
Step 5. Convert to phenotypic ratio using the dominance rules.
Standard monohybrid cross: Aa × Aa
Using the example of pea plant height, where tall (T) is dominant over short (t), a cross between two heterozygous tall plants (Tt) is the textbook monohybrid cross.
| T | t | |
|---|---|---|
| T | TT | Tt |
| t | Tt | tt |
- Genotypic ratio: 1 TT : 2 Tt : 1 tt
- Phenotypic ratio: 3 tall : 1 short (3 dominant : 1 recessive)
This is the canonical 3:1 ratio Mendel observed.
Test cross: Tt × tt
A test cross mates an individual showing the dominant phenotype with a homozygous recessive (tt). Because the recessive parent can only contribute a t allele, every offspring directly reveals the allele it received from the unknown parent.
| T | t | |
|---|---|---|
| t | Tt | tt |
| t | Tt | tt |
- Genotypic ratio: 1 Tt : 1 tt
- Phenotypic ratio: 1 tall : 1 short (1 dominant : 1 recessive)
A test cross is used to determine whether a dominant-phenotype individual is homozygous (TT) or heterozygous (Tt). A homozygous (TT × tt) parent gives 100% tall offspring; the appearance of ANY short offspring proves the parent is heterozygous (Tt).
Dihybrid cross: AaBb × AaBb
When tracking two independent genes, set up a 4 × 4 Punnett square with the four possible gametes from each parent (AB, Ab, aB, ab).
The classic phenotypic ratio is 9:3:3:1 (9 dominant for both : 3 dominant for A only : 3 dominant for B only : 1 recessive for both).
Probability rules
When tracking multiple events:
- Multiplication rule (independent events): P(A AND B) = P(A) × P(B). E.g. probability that two consecutive children are both affected = 1/4 × 1/4 = 1/16.
- Addition rule (mutually exclusive events): P(A OR B) = P(A) + P(B). E.g. probability that a child is either homozygous dominant OR heterozygous = 1/4 + 1/2 = 3/4.
A heterozygous monohybrid cross () always gives a genotypic ratio of () and a phenotypic ratio of (dominant : recessive). A test cross with a homozygous recessive () gives a ratio. Each offspring is an independent event, so the probability of a given outcome is the same for every child.
Worked example 1 - monohybrid cross with full working (3 marks)
Q. In pea plants, tall (T) is dominant over short (t). A heterozygous tall plant is crossed with another heterozygous tall plant. Using a Punnett square, determine the genotypic and phenotypic ratios of the offspring.
Model answer. The parental genotypes are both . Each parent makes T and t gametes.
| T | t | |
|---|---|---|
| T | TT | Tt |
| t | Tt | tt |
The four offspring genotypes are TT, Tt, Tt and tt, giving a genotypic ratio of . Since T is dominant, TT and Tt plants are tall and tt plants are short, giving a phenotypic ratio of tall short.
Marker's note. One mark for the correctly filled Punnett square (correct gametes and cells), one for the genotypic ratio, one for the phenotypic ratio in lowest terms. Writing " TT : tt" confuses genotype and phenotype and loses the phenotype mark.
Worked example 2 - deducing a hidden genotype (3 marks)
Q. In mice, black coat (B) is dominant over brown (b). A black mouse whose father was brown is crossed with a brown mouse. Predict the phenotypic ratio of the offspring. Show your working.
Model answer. Because brown is recessive, the brown father must be and contributed a allele to the black mouse. The black mouse therefore carries at least one and, since it is black, must be heterozygous . The brown partner is .
| b | b | |
|---|---|---|
| B | Bb | Bb |
| b | bb | bb |
The cross gives , a phenotypic ratio of black brown ().
Marker's note. One mark for deducing the black mouse is using the brown father, one for a correct Punnett square, one for the simplified phenotypic ratio. The deduction step (using the recessive parent to fix the unknown genotype) is what most students miss.
Worked example 3 - probability across multiple children (4 marks)
- Q
- Two parents are heterozygous carriers (Aa) of an autosomal recessive condition. Calculate the probability that, of their three children, at least one is affected.
- Model answer
- Each child has a chance of being affected () and a chance of being unaffected, and each birth is independent. The easiest route is the complement: the probability that NONE of the three children is affected is (multiplication rule for independent events). Therefore the probability that at least one is affected is (about 58%).
- Marker's note
- One mark for the per-child probability with independence, one for using the complement (probability none affected), one for the correct , one for . A common error is adding , which double-counts overlapping outcomes - the complement avoids this.
- Wrong gametes
- Each parent contributes only ONE allele per gene to each gamete. A heterozygous parent (Tt) produces TWO types of gametes (T and t), not four (TT, Tt, Tt, tt).
- Failing to simplify ratios
- is the same as . is the same as . Markers reward simplified ratios.
- Confusing genotype and phenotype
- Genotype = letters (TT, Tt, tt). Phenotype = trait (tall, short).
- Independent probability for separate children
- Each child is an independent event. The "probability the next child is affected" does not depend on the previous children. each time.
- Capitalisation matters
- T means dominant, t means recessive. Be consistent. Markers often use unfamiliar letters (e.g. R/r for red, h/H for hairy); follow the question's convention.
- Using 9:3:3:1 for a test cross
- The ratio is the dihybrid SELF-cross result. A dihybrid test cross () gives .
- Always show the parental genotypes first
- Markers award a mark for correct parental genotypes before the square is even drawn; deduce hidden genotypes from recessive relatives.
- Draw the square, even for 2 marks
- A labelled Punnett square is the fastest way to earn the "suitable working" mark, and it prevents arithmetic slips when you read off the ratio.
- Say "genotypic" or "phenotypic"
- State which ratio you are giving and simplify to lowest terms. A bare "" or an unlabelled ratio invites a deduction.
- Keep probability formats consistent
- Pick fractions OR percentages and stick to one; markers explicitly penalise mixing (e.g. writing both and 33%). Each child is independent - never let an earlier outcome change the probability.
Think of each gene as a pair of coins, one from your mum and one from your dad, and one of the two designs is "loud" (dominant) while the other is "quiet" (recessive). A Punnett square is just a tic-tac-toe grid that lists every way the two parents' coins can pair up in a child. When both parents carry one loud and one quiet coin (Tt), the grid shows that three out of four children show the loud trait and one shows the quiet one - the famous 3 to 1. Each child is a fresh coin toss, so having one quiet-trait child does not make the next one more or less likely. The grid does not tell you what WILL happen to one child, only the odds, like the odds on a single roll of a dice.
Examples in context
Example 1. Coat colour in NSW DPI Angus cattle. In Angus cattle, the allele for black coat (B) is dominant over the allele for red coat (b). A NSW Department of Primary Industries breeder crosses a heterozygous black bull (Bb) with a herd of red cows (bb). The Punnett square predicts 50 percent Bb (black) and 50 percent bb (red) calves. Over a calving season of 200 calves, the breeder records 96 black and 104 red, close to the expected 100:100 ratio with deviation explained by chance. This test cross also tells the breeder the bull is heterozygous, not homozygous BB, which is information used to plan future matings for breed registration.
Example 2. Pea seed shape and colour, the original Mendel dihybrid cross. Mendel crossed pure-breeding round yellow peas (RRYY) with pure-breeding wrinkled green peas (rryy) to produce a uniform F1 generation of RrYy (round yellow). When he self-pollinated the F1 to produce F2, a 4 by 4 Punnett square of the 16 possible gamete combinations predicted a 9:3:3:1 phenotypic ratio: 9 round yellow, 3 round green, 3 wrinkled yellow, 1 wrinkled green. Mendel counted 556 F2 seeds and recorded 315:108:101:32, almost exactly the predicted ratio. This was the empirical basis for the Law of Independent Assortment.
Try this
Q1. In labrador retrievers, black coat (B) is dominant over chocolate coat (b). A breeder crosses two heterozygous black labradors. From a litter of eight puppies, predict the most likely number of chocolate puppies and identify the relevant probability rule. [3 marks]
- Cue. Bb x Bb gives 3:1 black to chocolate, so the expected number of chocolate puppies is one quarter of eight, equal to two, with chance variation expected around this mean.
Q2. A heterozygous individual (Aa) for a recessive disease allele has three children with another heterozygote. Calculate the probability that (a) exactly one child is affected, and (b) at least one child is affected. [2+2 marks]
- Cue. (a) Use the binomial form: three ways to choose the affected child times (1/4)(3/4)(3/4). (b) Use the complement: 1 minus the probability that none are affected, which is 1 minus (3/4) cubed.
Q3. In a dihybrid cross between two AaBb pea plants (round yellow), a student observes the following F2 phenotypes among 320 seeds: 175 round yellow, 65 round green, 60 wrinkled yellow, 20 wrinkled green. (a) State the expected ratio under Mendelian inheritance. (b) Calculate the expected numbers and compare them with the observed values. (c) Suggest a reason for any deviation. [1+3+1 marks]
- Cue. (a) 9:3:3:1. (b) Expected: 180, 60, 60, 20; observed is close. (c) Chance variation in a finite sample, or possibly linkage if very different.
Exam-style questions
Questions in the style of NESA exam questions on this dot point, each with a worked answer. They are written by ExamExplained unless tagged "Past paper"; the year shows the paper a question is modelled on.
2024 HSC-style3 marksTwo healthy parents, heterozygous for cystic fibrosis, have a child that does not have cystic fibrosis. They are planning to have a second child. Using a Punnett square, determine the probability of their second child being born with the condition. Use 'R' for the normal CFTR allele, and 'r' for the faulty CFTR allele. [Cystic fibrosis is recessive; affected individuals have two faulty alleles.]Show worked answer →
Full marks (3) require the correct parental genotypes with a suitable Punnett square AND the correct probability. 2 marks for the correct probability with some working, or correct genotypes with working; 1 for some relevant information.
Sample answer (marking guidelines): Cross Rr x Rr:
| R | r | |
|---|---|---|
| R | RR | Rr |
| r | Rr | rr |
There is a 25% chance of the second child having cystic fibrosis (one rr in four outcomes).
Note the second child is an independent event, so the unaffected first child does not change the 1 in 4 probability. Markers flagged inconsistent probability formats (e.g. writing both 1/4 and 33%).
Source: NESA 2024 HSC Biology examination and marking guidelines.
2021 HSC-style3 marksIn a population of rabbits, black fur colour is dominant over white fur. A black rabbit, whose mother has white fur, mates with a white rabbit. Predict the phenotypic ratio for the offspring of this cross. Show your working.Show worked answer →
3 marks for the correct phenotypic ratio with parental genotypes and suitable working; 2 for the ratio with some working (or correct genotypes with working); 1 for some relevant information.
Sample answer (marking guidelines): Because the black rabbit's mother had white fur (bb), the black rabbit must have inherited a recessive b allele, so it is heterozygous (Bb). Cross Bb x bb:
| b | b | |
|---|---|---|
| B | Bb | Bb |
| b | bb | bb |
Phenotypic ratio Black : White = 1 : 1.
Markers stressed deducing that the black rabbit is heterozygous (using the white-furred mother) and presenting a phenotypic, not genotypic, ratio.
Source: NESA 2021 HSC Biology examination and marking guidelines.
2020 HSC-style2 marksUse the pedigree chart to explain why the yellow allele is recessive. [A pedigree shows the inheritance of yellow vs orange colour in a fish; two orange parents have yellow offspring.]Show worked answer →
2 marks for using the pedigree to explain that the yellow allele is recessive; 1 mark for some relevant information.
Sample answer (marking guidelines): The inheritance of yellow colour is recessive since both parents are orange but have yellow offspring. The yellow allele must be present in both parents but it is not expressed.
The key reasoning is that a trait appearing in offspring but not in either parent must be recessive (both parents are heterozygous carriers). Markers noted weak terminology and misreading of pedigree relationships.
Source: NESA 2020 HSC Biology examination and marking guidelines.
2019 HSC-style2 marksComplete the tables, showing the TWO alleles the patient inherited from each parent. [The patient is heterozygous for Huntington's (Hh) and Stargardt disease (Rr); his father's family has cases of both, and his mother is homozygous unaffected for both genes (Huntington's H = dominant disease allele; Stargardt R = dominant healthy allele).]Show worked answer →
2 marks for identifying suitable alleles for both parents; 1 mark for some relevant information.
Sample answer (marking guidelines): Alleles from father = H, r; Alleles from mother = h, R.
Reasoning: Huntington's is autosomal dominant, so the disease allele H came from the affected father's side; the mother is homozygous unaffected (hh), contributing h. Stargardt is autosomal recessive, so the patient (Rr) must have received the recessive disease allele r from the father and the dominant healthy allele R from the homozygous-unaffected mother. Markers advised distinguishing allele from genotype and using all the information in the stem.
Source: NESA 2019 HSC Biology examination and marking guidelines.
Practice questions
Original practice questions graded from foundation to exam level, each with a full worked solution. Try them before revealing the solution.
foundation2 marksDefine the terms "genotype" and "phenotype", and give one example of each for a pea plant where tall (T) is dominant over short (t).Show worked solution →
Genotype (1 mark): the combination of alleles an individual carries for a gene, e.g. , or .
Phenotype (1 mark): the observable trait that results from the genotype, e.g. tall or short.
One mark for each correct definition with a valid worked example. A common slip is giving "tall" as a genotype - tall is a phenotype; its possible genotypes are or .
foundation2 marksA heterozygous tall pea plant (Tt) is self-pollinated, where tall (T) is dominant over short (t). State the genotypic ratio and the phenotypic ratio of the offspring.Show worked solution →
Genotypic ratio (1 mark): (i.e. ).
Phenotypic ratio (1 mark): tall short (i.e. ).
The cross gives the four cells , , , . One mark for the correct genotypic ratio, one for the correct phenotypic ratio. Markers reward the simplified ratio in lowest terms.
foundation3 marksA breeder has a tall pea plant of unknown genotype (TT or Tt), where tall (T) is dominant over short (t). Describe a test cross the breeder could use to determine the genotype, and state the result that would reveal each possibility.Show worked solution →
- The cross (1 mark)
- cross the unknown tall plant with a homozygous recessive short plant ().
- If the unknown is homozygous (1 mark)
- gives all offspring - 100% tall, no short offspring.
- If the unknown is heterozygous (1 mark)
- gives - a ratio, so about half the offspring are short.
One mark for naming the homozygous-recessive partner, one for each correctly worked outcome. The appearance of ANY short offspring proves the unknown parent carries a allele and is therefore heterozygous.
core4 marksIn tomatoes, red fruit (R) is dominant over yellow fruit (r). A heterozygous red tomato is crossed with a yellow tomato. Using a Punnett square, determine the genotypic and phenotypic ratios of the offspring, and state the probability that a randomly chosen offspring is yellow.Show worked solution →
Parental genotypes (1 mark): heterozygous red ; yellow .
Punnett square (1 mark):
| R | r | |
|---|---|---|
| r | Rr | rr |
| r | Rr | rr |
Genotypic and phenotypic ratios (1 mark): genotypic ; phenotypic red yellow ().
Probability yellow (1 mark): of the cells are , so (50%).
One mark for the correct parental genotypes, one for a correctly filled square, one for the simplified ratios, one for the probability stated consistently. A cross is itself a test cross, so the result is expected.
core5 marksIn guinea pigs, black coat (B) is dominant over white (b), and short hair (S) is dominant over long (s). Two guinea pigs heterozygous for both genes (BbSs) are crossed. The genes are on different chromosomes. State the expected phenotypic ratio of the offspring and explain, using a probability rule, how you obtained it.Show worked solution →
- Identify the cross (1 mark)
- , a dihybrid cross of two independent genes.
- Single-gene ratios (1 mark)
- each gene on its own gives a monohybrid ratio - black and white; short and long.
- Apply the multiplication rule (1 mark)
- because the genes assort independently, multiply the separate probabilities, e.g. .
- Full set of combined probabilities (1 mark)
- black short , black long , white short , white long .
- State the ratio (1 mark)
- phenotypic ratio (black short : black long : white short : white long).
One mark each for the cross, the per-gene ratios, the correct use of the multiplication rule, the four combined fractions, and the final . Markers accept either the full square or the probability-rule shortcut, provided the working is shown.
core4 marksA couple are both heterozygous carriers of a recessive allele for an autosomal condition (Aa). Calculate the probability that, of their first two children, (a) both are affected, and (b) exactly one is affected. Show the probability rules you use.Show worked solution →
- Per-child probabilities (1 mark)
- gives affected () and unaffected for each child, and each birth is an independent event.
- (a) Both affected - multiplication rule (1 mark)
- .
- (b) Exactly one affected - set up (1 mark)
- two mutually exclusive orders, affected-then-unaffected OR unaffected-then-affected, each .
- (b) Add the orders - addition rule (1 mark)
- .
One mark for the per-child probabilities and independence, one for the multiplication-rule answer in (a), one for identifying the two orders in (b), and one for adding them to . A frequent error in (b) is forgetting the second order and reporting only .
exam7 marksIn a breed of dog, coat colour is controlled by a single gene where black (B) is dominant over brown (b). A breeder crosses a black dog with a brown dog and, across several litters, records 24 black and 23 brown puppies. (a) Deduce the genotype of the black parent and justify your answer using a Punnett square. (b) Explain why the observed numbers are consistent with your deduction, referring to probability. (c) Predict how the offspring ratio would differ if the black parent had instead been homozygous.Show worked solution →
(a) Deduce the black parent genotype (2 marks). Because brown is recessive, the brown parent must be . The cross has produced brown () offspring, so the black parent must have contributed a allele; therefore the black parent is heterozygous (not ).
:
| b | b | |
|---|---|---|
| B | Bb | Bb |
| b | bb | bb |
- (b) Consistency with probability (2 marks)
- The square predicts a genotypic ratio, i.e. a phenotypic ratio of black to brown, so of offspring are expected black. Over 47 puppies the expected split is about ; the observed is extremely close, deviating only by chance (random fertilisation in a finite sample), which is consistent with the deduction.
- (c) If the black parent were homozygous (2 marks)
- A homozygous black parent () crossed with would give all offspring - 100% black, with NO brown puppies. The appearance of brown offspring at all is what rules out and confirms the parent must be .
- Communication and consistency (1 mark)
- A logically sequenced answer that correctly uses genotype symbols throughout, presents a valid Punnett square, and keeps probability formats consistent.
This is a Band 5/6 response. Full marks require: deducing with justification from the brown offspring (a), tying the expectation to the observed near-even count via chance (b), and contrasting the all-black outcome (c). Stating the black parent is without justifying it from the appearance of brown offspring caps part (a) at 1 mark.
exam6 marksIn sweet peas, purple flowers (P) are dominant over white (p) and tall stems (T) are dominant over dwarf (t); the genes are unlinked. A plant heterozygous for both genes is test-crossed. (a) Predict the phenotypic ratio of the offspring and justify it. (b) Explain how the test-cross result would allow a breeder to confirm that the two genes assort independently.Show worked solution →
- (a) Identify the cross (1 mark)
- A test cross uses a homozygous recessive partner, so the cross is .
- (a) Gametes and ratio (2 marks)
- The parent makes four equally likely gametes by independent assortment - , , , - while the parent makes only gametes. Each offspring therefore directly shows the gamete it received: (purple tall), (purple dwarf), (white tall), (white dwarf), in a phenotypic ratio.
- (b) Why a test cross reveals independent assortment (2 marks)
- Because the recessive parent contributes only recessive alleles, the offspring phenotypes are a direct readout of the heterozygote's gametes. A ratio shows all four gamete combinations occur equally often, which is exactly what independent assortment predicts - the inheritance of flower colour does not bias the inheritance of stem height. If the genes were linked, the parental combinations would appear far more often than .
- Justification and communication (1 mark)
- Clear use of genotype symbols and a logically justified ratio.
Full marks require the correct cross, the ratio with gamete reasoning, AND the explanation that equal proportions of all four classes demonstrate independent assortment. Predicting here is the classic error - that is the F2 self-cross ratio, not the test-cross ratio.
Practise this
Sources & how we know this
- Biology Stage 6 Syllabus (2017) — NESA
- Biology HSC exam papers — NESA