How did the Iron Curtain rhetoric and the doctrine of containment frame the early Cold War?
The rhetoric and ideology of the early Cold War, including Kennan's Long Telegram (February 1946), Churchill's Iron Curtain speech (March 1946), and the doctrine of containment
A focused answer to the HSC Modern History Cold War dot point on the rhetoric and ideology of the early Cold War, George Kennan's Long Telegram from Moscow (22 February 1946), Churchill's Iron Curtain speech at Fulton, Missouri (5 March 1946), Novikov's parallel Soviet telegram (September 1946), and the development of containment as American grand strategy.
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What this dot point is asking
NESA expects you to explain how the early Cold War acquired its rhetorical and ideological frame between February 1946 and July 1947. Strong answers integrate Kennan's diagnosis, Churchill's naming, the Soviet response in Novikov's telegram, and the X article that articulated containment for the public.
The answer
The diplomatic context, February 1946
Through late 1945 and early 1946 the wartime alliance had soured rapidly. Soviet behaviour in Iran (the refusal to withdraw troops from northern Iran by the agreed 2 March 1946 deadline; the proclamation of the Azerbaijan People's Republic in November 1945), in Turkey (demands for joint control of the Straits and territorial concessions at Kars and Ardahan), and in Eastern Europe (the rigged Bulgarian and Polish elections of late 1945) accumulated.
Stalin's election speech at the Bolshoi Theatre on 9 February 1946 articulated the Marxist-Leninist case that capitalism inevitably produced wars and that the Soviet Union needed three more Five Year Plans to prepare. Justice William O. Douglas described it privately as "the declaration of World War III."
The Treasury Department asked the Moscow embassy on 13 February for an explanation of Soviet refusal to participate in the IMF and World Bank. The Charge d'Affaires, George F. Kennan, had been arguing internally since 1944 that the alliance was unsustainable. Bedridden with influenza, he dictated a long response.
The Long Telegram, 22 February 1946
Kennan's 8,000-word cable was structured in five parts: the basic features of the Soviet post-war outlook; the background of this outlook; the projection of the outlook in practical policy on the official level; the projection on the unofficial level; and practical deductions for American policy.
Key arguments: Soviet behaviour was driven by an "instinctive Russian sense of insecurity" rooted in Russian history and amplified by Marxist-Leninist ideology, which provided a justification for the dictatorship and a need to imagine permanent external enemies. The Soviet leadership was "impervious to logic of reason" but "highly sensitive to logic of force"; "where strong resistance is encountered" Soviet pressure would yield.
The closing recommendations were measured: educate the American public; demonstrate the health of American society; coordinate with allies; rely on the inherent weaknesses of the Soviet system. Kennan did not advocate the militarised containment that emerged later.
The cable was received by Secretary of State James Byrnes and circulated by Navy Secretary James Forrestal. Forrestal printed and distributed copies as required reading for senior officers. Kennan was recalled to Washington and appointed deputy commandant of the new National War College.
The Fulton speech, 5 March 1946
Winston Churchill, Leader of the Opposition since the Labour victory of 26 July 1945, accepted an invitation to speak at Westminster College in Fulton, Missouri, the home town of Truman's military aide General Harry Vaughan. Truman travelled with Churchill from Washington and was on the platform.
Title: "The Sinews of Peace."
Key passages:
- "From Stettin in the Baltic to Trieste in the Adriatic, an iron curtain has descended across the Continent. Behind that line lie all the capitals of the ancient states of central and eastern Europe."
- "I do not believe that Soviet Russia desires war. What they desire is the fruits of war and the indefinite expansion of their power and doctrines."
- Call for a "special relationship" between the British Commonwealth and the United States, and "fraternal association of the English-speaking peoples."
The phrase "iron curtain" was not new (Joseph Goebbels had used it in February 1945; Churchill in a private cable to Truman on 12 May 1945) but Fulton made it public and canonical.
American reception was mixed in March 1946. The Wall Street Journal, the Chicago Sun, and Walter Lippmann criticised the militancy. Time magazine and the more conservative press approved. Stalin's interview in Pravda (14 March 1946) called Churchill a "warmonger" and "another Hitler." Within a year the speech was retrospectively read as prophetic.
The Novikov Telegram, 27 September 1946
Soviet Ambassador to Washington Nikolai Novikov, prompted by Foreign Minister Molotov, sent the Soviet counterpart to Kennan's cable on 27 September 1946. Novikov argued the United States was pursuing "world supremacy" through military expansion, anti-Soviet propaganda, and the construction of a global base network. American behaviour was driven by capitalist contradictions and the search for export markets.
The Novikov Telegram, declassified only in 1990, structured Soviet diplomacy under Molotov for the next two years. Its core argument anticipates the revisionist historiography of the 1960s.
The X Article, July 1947
Kennan, by then head of the State Department's new Policy Planning Staff (created May 1947), published "The Sources of Soviet Conduct" in Foreign Affairs (July 1947) anonymously as "X." The article extended the Long Telegram's argument and coined the policy term: "the main element of any United States policy toward the Soviet Union must be that of a long-term, patient but firm and vigilant containment of Russian expansive tendencies."
The X Article gave containment its public name. Walter Lippmann's response, "The Cold War" (a 14-part newspaper series, published as a book in 1947), criticised containment as too broad and gave the rivalry its enduring label. Lippmann thought "Cold War" would be a short and useful confrontation; the name outlasted the policy.
Kennan's later distance from containment
Kennan came to regret the militarisation of containment after NSC-68 (April 1950) and the Korean War. His preferred approach was political, economic, and patient. By the 1960s he was publicly critical of American policy in Vietnam and of nuclear arms-racing. His American Diplomacy 1900-1950 (1951), Memoirs 1925-1950 (1967) and Memoirs 1950-1963 (1972) became important historiographical texts in their own right.
The doctrine and its instruments
Containment, articulated by Kennan, was operationalised by:
- The Truman Doctrine (12 March 1947): rhetorical commitment.
- The Marshall Plan (5 June 1947, ECA April 1948): economic instrument.
- The National Security Act (26 July 1947): institutional reform, creating the National Security Council, CIA, and Department of Defence.
- NATO (4 April 1949): military alliance.
- NSC-68 (April 1950): militarisation.
The set of policies treated containment as a structural commitment lasting decades. By the early 1950s the doctrine had become bipartisan; it survived through the Eisenhower administration's "rollback" rhetoric, Kennedy's "flexible response," Nixon's detente, and Reagan's revival, with continuity to 1989.
Timeline
| Date | Event | Significance |
|---|---|---|
| 9 Feb 1946 | Stalin election speech | "Two camps" |
| 22 Feb 1946 | Long Telegram | Doctrine framework |
| 5 Mar 1946 | Fulton speech | Iron Curtain named |
| Mar 1946 | Iran withdrawal | First Soviet retreat |
| Sep 1946 | Wallace dismissed | Truman hardens |
| 27 Sept 1946 | Novikov Telegram | Soviet mirror |
| 12 Mar 1947 | Truman Doctrine | Containment becomes policy |
| 5 Jun 1947 | Marshall Plan | Economic instrument |
| 26 Jul 1947 | National Security Act | Institutions |
| Jul 1947 | X Article | "Containment" |
Historiography
John Lewis Gaddis's Strategies of Containment (1982, revised 2005) is the standard account of doctrinal development. Gaddis's biography George F. Kennan: An American Life (2011) is the major life. Wilson Miscamble's George F. Kennan and the Making of American Foreign Policy (1992) covers the Policy Planning Staff years. Frank Costigliola's Roosevelt's Lost Alliances (2012) emphasises the personal element of the alliance breakdown.
How to read a source on this topic
Section I sources on the early Cold War are usually telegram or speech extracts (Kennan, Churchill, Novikov, Stalin), newspaper editorials reacting to Fulton, or cartoons. Three reading habits.
First, fix the author's position. Kennan was a serving diplomat writing internally; Churchill was out of office speaking publicly; Novikov was briefing Molotov. The same word ("containment," "iron curtain") carries different weight depending on whether it is private analysis, public oratory or propaganda.
Second, watch the date against the policy. A source from February to March 1946 is diagnosis; a source from 1947 is doctrine and instruments; the militarised containment of NSC-68 (1950) is a later distortion. Misdating collapses the argument.
Third, read the two telegrams as a mirror. Kennan and Novikov each accuse the other side of expansion driven by ideology. Pairing them is how you show the spiral of mutual misperception that the post-revisionist and post-archive historians stress.
In one sentence
Between February 1946 and July 1947, Kennan's Long Telegram (22 February 1946) gave American officials an analytical framework for Soviet behaviour grounded in Russian insecurity and Marxist-Leninist ideology, Churchill's Fulton speech (5 March 1946) named the new geography of the Iron Curtain, Novikov's parallel telegram (27 September 1946) recorded the Soviet mirror image, and Kennan's X Article (July 1947) coined the term "containment" that became American grand strategy for the next four decades.
Examples in context
Example 1. The Long Telegram (22 February 1946) and the X article (July 1947). Kennan's 5,540-word telegram from Moscow argued the USSR was driven by Russian insecurity and Marxist ideology and would expand wherever resistance was weak. The anonymous "Sources of Soviet Conduct" published as "X" in Foreign Affairs reframed this as containment. John Lewis Gaddis (Strategies of Containment, 1982) treats Kennan as the architect of the early Cold War, though Kennan himself later objected to the militarisation of his idea under NSC-68.
Example 2. The Novikov Telegram (27 September 1946). Ambassador Nikolai Novikov sent Stalin a parallel analysis arguing American foreign policy was driven by monopoly capital and military expansion. Published in English only in 1991, the telegram is now standard in Section I. Vladislav Zubok and Constantine Pleshakov (Inside the Kremlin's Cold War, 1996) use it to show genuinely held Soviet perceptions, while Melvyn Leffler (For the Soul of Mankind, 2007) treats Long Telegram and Novikov together as evidence of the spiral of mutual misperception.
Exam-style practice questions
Practice questions written in the style of NESA exam questions on this dot point, with worked answer explainers. The year tag is the paper they imitate, not the source.
Practice (NESA)10 marksExplain the significance of Kennan's Long Telegram and Churchill's Iron Curtain speech in the development of the Cold War.Show worked answer →
A 10-mark "explain significance" needs the documents in context with their effects.
- The Long Telegram, 22 February 1946
- George Kennan, deputy chief of mission in Moscow, sent an 8,000-word cable in response to a routine Treasury query about Soviet refusal to join the Bretton Woods institutions. Kennan argued that Soviet behaviour was driven by an "instinctive Russian sense of insecurity" combined with Marxist-Leninist ideology; that the Soviet Union was "impervious to logic of reason" but "highly sensitive to logic of force"; that "firm and vigilant containment of Russian expansive tendencies" was required. The cable was circulated through the Truman administration; James Forrestal distributed it widely. It gave senior officials an intellectual frame for the suspicion they already held.
- Fulton, 5 March 1946
- Churchill, out of office since the July 1945 election, addressed Westminster College in Fulton, Missouri with Truman on the platform. The speech named the new geography: "From Stettin in the Baltic to Trieste in the Adriatic, an iron curtain has descended across the Continent." Churchill warned of communist parties as "fifth columns" and called for an Anglo-American alliance. The speech was received critically in the American press at the time but became prophetic with the events of 1947 to 1948.
- Significance
- The two documents together turned latent suspicion into articulated doctrine. Kennan gave the analytical framework; Churchill named the situation publicly. The Truman Doctrine (March 1947) and Marshall Plan (June 1947) gave the framework practical instruments. The Novikov Telegram (Soviet ambassador to Washington, 27 September 1946) was the Soviet mirror image, alleging American imperial ambition.
Practice questions
Original practice questions graded from foundation to exam level, each with a full worked solution. Try them before revealing the solution.
foundation3 marksOutline the main argument of Kennan's Long Telegram (22 February 1946).Show worked solution →
A 3-mark "outline" wants three distinct points, each in a sentence.
- The diagnosis
- Kennan argued Soviet conduct sprang from an "instinctive Russian sense of insecurity" rooted in Russian history and amplified by Marxist-Leninist ideology, which needed permanent external enemies to justify the dictatorship.
- The behavioural claim
- The Soviet leadership was "impervious to logic of reason" but "highly sensitive to logic of force," so it would yield where it met firm resistance.
- The prescription
- A patient, vigilant containment - in 1946 mainly political and economic, relying on the health of Western society and the inner weaknesses of the Soviet system, not on war.
- Marking criteria
- 1 mark each for three distinct, accurate points; do not simply narrate Churchill's speech or confuse this with the militarised containment of 1950.
foundation4 marksExplain how Churchill's Fulton speech and Kennan's Long Telegram together framed the early Cold War.Show worked solution →
A 4-mark "explain" needs a cause-and-effect link with specific detail.
- Kennan supplied the analysis
- The Long Telegram (22 February 1946) gave officials an intellectual frame for the suspicion they already held; Forrestal circulated it as required reading, so the diagnosis spread through the administration.
- Churchill supplied the public naming
- At Fulton (5 March 1946), with Truman on the platform, Churchill named the new geography - "an iron curtain has descended across the Continent" - and called for an Anglo-American "special relationship."
- The combined effect
- Together they turned latent suspicion into an articulated, public frame: Kennan the private diagnosis, Churchill the public label. American press reaction was mixed in 1946 but the frame looked prophetic after 1947.
- Marking criteria
- 1 mark for the date/content of each document; 1 mark for distinguishing private analysis from public naming; 1 mark for linking both to the framing of the early Cold War.
core5 marksSource A (paraphrased, owned): In a long cable from Moscow in February 1946, an American diplomat argued that the Soviet leadership was driven by a deep, historic sense of insecurity, that it would not be moved by reasoned argument, but that it was acutely sensitive to firmness and would retreat wherever it met strong resistance.
Using Source A and your own knowledge, explain how this document shaped American policy. [5 marks]
Show worked solution →
A 5-mark "explain ... using the source" wants the source decoded, then linked to own knowledge.
- Decode the source
- Source A is Kennan's Long Telegram (22 February 1946). Its core claim is that Soviet conduct was driven by Russian insecurity plus ideology, was "impervious to logic of reason" but "highly sensitive to logic of force."
- How it shaped policy (own knowledge)
- Forrestal circulated it as required reading; it gave officials a frame for existing suspicion. Kennan developed it into the X Article (July 1947), which coined "containment." The logic - resist firmly and the Soviets retreat - underwrote the Truman Doctrine (March 1947) and Marshall Plan (June 1947).
- Qualification
- Kennan's 1946 containment was political and economic; he later objected to the militarised version after NSC-68 (1950).
- Marking criteria
- 1 mark for identifying the document; 1-2 marks for its argument from the source; 1 mark for its circulation/influence; 1 mark for linking it to the X Article and the 1947 instruments.
core6 marksSource B (paraphrased, owned): A Soviet ambassador's cable of September 1946 argued that the United States was pursuing world supremacy through a global network of bases, rising military spending, and anti-Soviet propaganda, all driven by the needs of monopoly capitalism for export markets.
Assess the usefulness of Source B for a historian studying the origins of the Cold War. [6 marks]
Show worked solution →
A 6-mark "assess the usefulness" question rewards origin, perspective and purpose plus own knowledge, ending in a judgement.
- Origin and perspective
- Source B is the Novikov Telegram (27 September 1946), written by Soviet ambassador Nikolai Novikov and prompted by Foreign Minister Molotov - the Soviet mirror image of Kennan's cable. Its perspective is official Soviet; its purpose was to brief Moscow on American intentions.
- Useful for
- It is highly useful as evidence of genuine Soviet perceptions: it shows Moscow read American base-building and the atomic monopoly as expansionist, supporting the "spiral of mutual misperception" reading. It anticipates the later revisionist case (Williams, Kolko) that American economic imperialism drove the rivalry.
- Limitations
- It is a one-sided diagnostic written to please Molotov, so it overstates American aggression and ignores Soviet actions in Iran, Turkey and Eastern Europe. Declassified only in 1990, it shaped Soviet, not Western, policy.
- Judgement
- Very useful for recovering the Soviet viewpoint and the symmetry of fear, but it must be read against Kennan's cable and Soviet conduct rather than taken at face value.
- Marking criteria
- 1 mark identifying the document/origin; 1-2 marks for what it is useful FOR (Soviet perception, revisionist anticipation); 1-2 marks for limitations (one-sided, purpose, late release); 1 mark for a judgement.
core8 marksAccount for the development of the doctrine of containment between February 1946 and July 1947.Show worked solution →
An 8-mark "account for" wants causes weighed and sequenced, not a narrative.
- The provocations (early 1946)
- Soviet pressure on Iran (troops past the 2 March deadline; the Azerbaijan republic), demands on Turkey's Straits, and rigged elections in Bulgaria and Poland convinced Washington the wartime alliance was over. Stalin's 9 February 1946 Bolshoi speech revived the "two camps" thesis.
- The diagnosis (Feb 1946)
- Kennan's Long Telegram supplied the analytical frame: Russian insecurity plus ideology; resist firmly. Forrestal circulated it widely.
- The public naming (Mar 1946)
- Churchill's Fulton speech named the Iron Curtain with Truman present, making the frame public.
- The Soviet mirror (Sept 1946)
- Novikov's telegram showed Moscow read American policy as imperial - the misperception ran both ways.
- The articulation and instruments (1947)
- Kennan's X Article (July 1947) coined "containment"; the Truman Doctrine (March) and Marshall Plan (June) gave it instruments; the National Security Act (July) built the institutions.
- Judgement
- Containment developed as a layered response: provocation produced diagnosis, diagnosis produced public doctrine, doctrine produced instruments - the structural rivalry making each step follow the last.
- Marking criteria
- Up to 8 marks for a causal, dated account that ranks the steps (provocation, diagnosis, naming, instruments) rather than narrating; reward at least one historiographical anchor (Gaddis) and the Kennan-Novikov symmetry.
exam25 marksEvaluate the extent to which the rhetoric and ideology of 1946 to 1947, rather than concrete Soviet and American actions, shaped the early Cold War.Show worked solution →
This is an extended-response/essay. Markers reward a sustained, evidence-based argument that addresses the comparison directly and weaves in historiography - not a narrative.
Band-6 PLAN
- Thesis. Rhetoric and ideology did not so much shape the early Cold War as articulate and accelerate a rupture already produced by concrete actions; the Long Telegram and Fulton named and hardened suspicions that Soviet conduct in Iran, Turkey and Eastern Europe, and the American atomic monopoly, had already created. Words and deeds were mutually reinforcing, but the deeds came first and the words locked them in.
- Argument 1 - The primacy of action. Soviet behaviour - troops past the 2 March 1946 Iran deadline, Straits demands on Turkey, rigged Bulgarian and Polish elections - and the American atomic monopoly and Lend-Lease cut-off were the concrete provocations. The rhetoric responded to these.
- Argument 2 - The power of rhetoric and ideology. Yet the documents did real work: Kennan's frame ("insecurity plus ideology," "logic of force") gave officials a lens; Forrestal circulated it; Churchill's "iron curtain" named the geography; the X Article coined "containment." Marxist-Leninist ideology (Stalin's 9 February speech) and American liberal universalism each predisposed the sides to read the other as an enemy.
- Argument 3 - The mutual mirror. Novikov's telegram (September 1946) shows the rhetoric ran both ways - each side's ideology made the other's actions look aggressive, a spiral of misperception that turned events into doctrine.
- Historiography. The orthodox school (Schlesinger, Feis) treats Soviet ideology and expansion as decisive - rhetoric merely revealed reality. The revisionist school (Williams, Kolko) treats American economic ideology (the Open Door) as the aggressor, with Novikov as evidence. The post-revisionist Gaddis (Strategies of Containment, 1982) reads the doctrine as a structural response; the later, post-archive Gaddis (We Now Know, 1997) returns weight to Stalin's ideology - "the Cold War was Stalin's war." Melvyn Leffler (For the Soul of Mankind, 2007) stresses mutual misperception.
- Judgement. Concrete actions opened the rupture; rhetoric and ideology framed, named and hardened it into a self-sustaining doctrine. Ideology mattered most as the lens through which each side's actions were read - which is why the words of 1946 to 1947 proved so durable.
MODEL PARAGRAPH (Argument 2)
If actions opened the breach, it was rhetoric and ideology that gave it a permanent shape. Kennan's Long Telegram of 22 February 1946 did not report a new fact; it supplied a frame - that Soviet conduct flowed from an "instinctive Russian sense of insecurity" fused with Marxist-Leninist ideology, and that a power "impervious to logic of reason" but "highly sensitive to logic of force" must be met with firmness. Circulated by Forrestal as required reading, that frame let officials organise scattered suspicions into a single diagnosis. Churchill completed the work at Fulton on 5 March 1946, naming the geography - "an iron curtain has descended across the Continent" - so that the public could see what officials now believed. By July 1947 Kennan's anonymous X Article had distilled the frame into a single word, "containment," and Walter Lippmann had answered with another, "the Cold War," that outlived the policy it criticised. As John Lewis Gaddis argues, containment functioned because it converted a structural rivalry into an intelligible doctrine; the later, post-archive Gaddis sharpens this by insisting that Stalin's own ideology made the rivalry unavoidable in the first place. Rhetoric, in short, did not invent the conflict - but it told both sides what the conflict was, and so made it permanent.
Marker's note. A band-6 response keeps the comparison ("rhetoric and ideology" vs "concrete actions") in view throughout rather than describing the documents, anchors every claim in dated specifics, and sets historians in genuine tension - orthodox (ideology decisive) against revisionist (American economics) and Leffler (mutual misperception) - before reaching a graded judgement. Narrating the telegrams and the speech in sequence without weighing words against deeds caps the response in the middle bands.
exam25 marksTo what extent was containment the responsibility of George Kennan alone?Show worked solution →
This is an extended-response/essay. Markers reward a sustained, evidence-based argument that addresses "to what extent" directly and weaves in historiography - not a narrative.
Band-6 PLAN
- Thesis. Kennan authored the intellectual core of containment but was not solely responsible for it: he supplied the diagnosis and the word, yet the doctrine that emerged was shaped, named publicly, instrumented and ultimately militarised by others - Churchill, Truman, Marshall, Nitze - and rested on a structural rivalry larger than any one author. Kennan was the architect of the idea; he was not the master of the policy, which is why he came to disown it.
- Argument 1 - Kennan's decisive authorship. The Long Telegram (22 February 1946) and the X Article (July 1947) supplied the analysis and coined "containment." As head of the Policy Planning Staff (from May 1947) he helped design the Marshall Plan. Gaddis (George F. Kennan, 2011) treats him as the architect.
- Argument 2 - The work of others. Churchill named the geography at Fulton; Forrestal circulated the telegram; Truman gave the doctrine its public commitment (March 1947); Marshall gave it economic form (June 1947). The frame would have been inert without them.
- Argument 3 - The distortion of the idea. What "containment" became was not what Kennan meant. He envisaged political and economic pressure at a few key points; Paul Nitze's NSC-68 (1950) and the Korean War turned it into global military containment. Kennan publicly objected - so the policy that bears his name was, in his own view, a misreading.
- Historiography. Gaddis (Strategies of Containment, 1982; the 2011 biography) foregrounds Kennan's authorship; Wilson Miscamble (George F. Kennan and the Making of American Foreign Policy, 1992) stresses the Policy Planning Staff as a collective; the structural reading (post-revisionist Gaddis, Leffler) treats containment as the inevitable response of a superpower in the 1945 vacuum, diminishing any single author.
- Judgement. Kennan was indispensable as the source of the concept and the word, but containment as a lived American grand strategy was a collective and structural achievement that diverged sharply from his intentions. He was its author, not its owner.
MODEL PARAGRAPH (Argument 3)
The clearest limit on Kennan's responsibility is that the policy bearing his name became something he repudiated. In 1946 to 1947 Kennan envisaged containment as patient political and economic pressure applied at a handful of decisive points - Western Europe, Japan - relying on the inner weaknesses of the Soviet system rather than on arms. Yet within three years the doctrine had been globalised and militarised: Paul Nitze's NSC-68 (April 1950) recast containment as a worldwide military commitment, and the Korean War (June 1950) appeared to confirm it. Kennan, by then marginalised, objected that his idea had been distorted into an undiscriminating anti-communism, and by the 1960s he was publicly criticising its application in Vietnam. As John Lewis Gaddis shows in Strategies of Containment, the doctrine's evolution from Kennan's "strongpoint" version to Nitze's "perimeter" version was a series of choices made by other men under other pressures. Kennan supplied the word and the diagnosis; the policy that the word came to mean was authored, in large part, against his wishes.
Marker's note. A band-6 response weighs Kennan's authorship against the contributions of others and the structural context throughout, rather than narrating his career; it distinguishes Kennan's intended containment from its militarised form (NSC-68, Korea), deploys historians in tension (Gaddis on authorship vs the structural reading), and reaches a graded judgement on "to what extent." Treating Kennan as the sole author, or ignoring his later repudiation, caps the response.
