← Section IV (Change in the Modern World): The Cold War 1945-1991
How did the Iron Curtain rhetoric and the doctrine of containment frame the early Cold War?
The rhetoric and ideology of the early Cold War, including Kennan's Long Telegram (February 1946), Churchill's Iron Curtain speech (March 1946), and the doctrine of containment
A focused answer to the HSC Modern History Cold War dot point on the rhetoric and ideology of the early Cold War, George Kennan's Long Telegram from Moscow (22 February 1946), Churchill's Iron Curtain speech at Fulton, Missouri (5 March 1946), Novikov's parallel Soviet telegram (September 1946), and the development of containment as American grand strategy.
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What this dot point is asking
NESA expects you to explain how the early Cold War acquired its rhetorical and ideological frame between February 1946 and July 1947. Strong answers integrate Kennan's diagnosis, Churchill's naming, the Soviet response in Novikov's telegram, and the X article that articulated containment for the public.
The answer
The diplomatic context, February 1946
Through late 1945 and early 1946 the wartime alliance had soured rapidly. Soviet behaviour in Iran (the refusal to withdraw troops from northern Iran by the agreed 2 March 1946 deadline; the proclamation of the Azerbaijan People's Republic in November 1945), in Turkey (demands for joint control of the Straits and territorial concessions at Kars and Ardahan), and in Eastern Europe (the rigged Bulgarian and Polish elections of late 1945) accumulated.
Stalin's election speech at the Bolshoi Theatre on 9 February 1946 articulated the Marxist-Leninist case that capitalism inevitably produced wars and that the Soviet Union needed three more Five Year Plans to prepare. Justice William O. Douglas described it privately as "the declaration of World War III."
The Treasury Department asked the Moscow embassy on 13 February for an explanation of Soviet refusal to participate in the IMF and World Bank. The Charge d'Affaires, George F. Kennan, had been arguing internally since 1944 that the alliance was unsustainable. Bedridden with influenza, he dictated a long response.
The Long Telegram, 22 February 1946
Kennan's 8,000-word cable was structured in five parts: the basic features of the Soviet post-war outlook; the background of this outlook; the projection of the outlook in practical policy on the official level; the projection on the unofficial level; and practical deductions for American policy.
Key arguments: Soviet behaviour was driven by an "instinctive Russian sense of insecurity" rooted in Russian history and amplified by Marxist-Leninist ideology, which provided a justification for the dictatorship and a need to imagine permanent external enemies. The Soviet leadership was "impervious to logic of reason" but "highly sensitive to logic of force"; "where strong resistance is encountered" Soviet pressure would yield.
The closing recommendations were measured: educate the American public; demonstrate the health of American society; coordinate with allies; rely on the inherent weaknesses of the Soviet system. Kennan did not advocate the militarised containment that emerged later.
The cable was received by Secretary of State James Byrnes and circulated by Navy Secretary James Forrestal. Forrestal printed and distributed copies as required reading for senior officers. Kennan was recalled to Washington and appointed deputy commandant of the new National War College.
The Fulton speech, 5 March 1946
Winston Churchill, Leader of the Opposition since the Labour victory of 26 July 1945, accepted an invitation to speak at Westminster College in Fulton, Missouri, the home town of Truman's military aide General Harry Vaughan. Truman travelled with Churchill from Washington and was on the platform.
Title: "The Sinews of Peace."
Key passages:
- "From Stettin in the Baltic to Trieste in the Adriatic, an iron curtain has descended across the Continent. Behind that line lie all the capitals of the ancient states of central and eastern Europe."
- "I do not believe that Soviet Russia desires war. What they desire is the fruits of war and the indefinite expansion of their power and doctrines."
- Call for a "special relationship" between the British Commonwealth and the United States, and "fraternal association of the English-speaking peoples."
The phrase "iron curtain" was not new (Joseph Goebbels had used it in February 1945; Churchill in a private cable to Truman on 12 May 1945) but Fulton made it public and canonical.
American reception was mixed in March 1946. The Wall Street Journal, the Chicago Sun, and Walter Lippmann criticised the militancy. Time magazine and the more conservative press approved. Stalin's interview in Pravda (14 March 1946) called Churchill a "warmonger" and "another Hitler." Within a year the speech was retrospectively read as prophetic.
The Novikov Telegram, 27 September 1946
Soviet Ambassador to Washington Nikolai Novikov, prompted by Foreign Minister Molotov, sent the Soviet counterpart to Kennan's cable on 27 September 1946. Novikov argued the United States was pursuing "world supremacy" through military expansion, anti-Soviet propaganda, and the construction of a global base network. American behaviour was driven by capitalist contradictions and the search for export markets.
The Novikov Telegram, declassified only in 1990, structured Soviet diplomacy under Molotov for the next two years. Its core argument anticipates the revisionist historiography of the 1960s.
The X Article, July 1947
Kennan, by then head of the State Department's new Policy Planning Staff (created May 1947), published "The Sources of Soviet Conduct" in Foreign Affairs (July 1947) anonymously as "X." The article extended the Long Telegram's argument and coined the policy term: "the main element of any United States policy toward the Soviet Union must be that of a long-term, patient but firm and vigilant containment of Russian expansive tendencies."
The X Article gave containment its public name. Walter Lippmann's response, "The Cold War" (a 14-part newspaper series, published as a book in 1947), criticised containment as too broad and gave the rivalry its enduring label. Lippmann thought "Cold War" would be a short and useful confrontation; the name outlasted the policy.
Kennan's later distance from containment
Kennan came to regret the militarisation of containment after NSC-68 (April 1950) and the Korean War. His preferred approach was political, economic, and patient. By the 1960s he was publicly critical of American policy in Vietnam and of nuclear arms-racing. His American Diplomacy 1900-1950 (1951), Memoirs 1925-1950 (1967) and Memoirs 1950-1963 (1972) became important historiographical texts in their own right.
The doctrine and its instruments
Containment, articulated by Kennan, was operationalised by:
- The Truman Doctrine (12 March 1947): rhetorical commitment.
- The Marshall Plan (5 June 1947, ECA April 1948): economic instrument.
- The National Security Act (26 July 1947): institutional reform, creating the National Security Council, CIA, and Department of Defence.
- NATO (4 April 1949): military alliance.
- NSC-68 (April 1950): militarisation.
The set of policies treated containment as a structural commitment lasting decades. By the early 1950s the doctrine had become bipartisan; it survived through the Eisenhower administration's "rollback" rhetoric, Kennedy's "flexible response," Nixon's detente, and Reagan's revival, with continuity to 1989.
Timeline
| Date | Event | Significance |
|---|---|---|
| 9 Feb 1946 | Stalin election speech | "Two camps" |
| 22 Feb 1946 | Long Telegram | Doctrine framework |
| 5 Mar 1946 | Fulton speech | Iron Curtain named |
| Mar 1946 | Iran withdrawal | First Soviet retreat |
| Sep 1946 | Wallace dismissed | Truman hardens |
| 27 Sept 1946 | Novikov Telegram | Soviet mirror |
| 12 Mar 1947 | Truman Doctrine | Containment becomes policy |
| 5 Jun 1947 | Marshall Plan | Economic instrument |
| 26 Jul 1947 | National Security Act | Institutions |
| Jul 1947 | X Article | "Containment" |
Historiography
John Lewis Gaddis's Strategies of Containment (1982, revised 2005) is the standard account of doctrinal development. Gaddis's biography George F. Kennan: An American Life (2011) is the major life. Wilson Miscamble's George F. Kennan and the Making of American Foreign Policy (1992) covers the Policy Planning Staff years. Frank Costigliola's Roosevelt's Lost Alliances (2012) emphasises the personal element of the alliance breakdown.
Common exam traps
Treating containment as militarised from the start. Kennan's 1946 version was political and economic. The militarisation came later (NSC-68, Korea).
Misdating Fulton. 5 March 1946, after Stalin's election speech (9 February) and the Long Telegram (22 February), not before.
Forgetting Novikov. The Soviet diagnostic mirror image is part of the historiography of mutual misperception.
In one sentence
Between February 1946 and July 1947, Kennan's Long Telegram (22 February 1946) gave American officials an analytical framework for Soviet behaviour grounded in Russian insecurity and Marxist-Leninist ideology, Churchill's Fulton speech (5 March 1946) named the new geography of the Iron Curtain, Novikov's parallel telegram (27 September 1946) recorded the Soviet mirror image, and Kennan's X Article (July 1947) coined the term "containment" that became American grand strategy for the next four decades.
Past exam questions, worked
Real questions from past NESA papers on this dot point, with our answer explainer.
Practice (NESA)10 marksExplain the significance of Kennan's Long Telegram and Churchill's Iron Curtain speech in the development of the Cold War.Show worked answer →
A 10-mark "explain significance" needs the documents in context with their effects.
The Long Telegram, 22 February 1946. George Kennan, deputy chief of mission in Moscow, sent an 8,000-word cable in response to a routine Treasury query about Soviet refusal to join the Bretton Woods institutions. Kennan argued that Soviet behaviour was driven by an "instinctive Russian sense of insecurity" combined with Marxist-Leninist ideology; that the Soviet Union was "impervious to logic of reason" but "highly sensitive to logic of force"; that "firm and vigilant containment of Russian expansive tendencies" was required. The cable was circulated through the Truman administration; James Forrestal distributed it widely. It gave senior officials an intellectual frame for the suspicion they already held.
Fulton, 5 March 1946. Churchill, out of office since the July 1945 election, addressed Westminster College in Fulton, Missouri with Truman on the platform. The speech named the new geography: "From Stettin in the Baltic to Trieste in the Adriatic, an iron curtain has descended across the Continent." Churchill warned of communist parties as "fifth columns" and called for an Anglo-American alliance. The speech was received critically in the American press at the time but became prophetic with the events of 1947 to 1948.
Significance. The two documents together turned latent suspicion into articulated doctrine. Kennan gave the analytical framework; Churchill named the situation publicly. The Truman Doctrine (March 1947) and Marshall Plan (June 1947) gave the framework practical instruments. The Novikov Telegram (Soviet ambassador to Washington, 27 September 1946) was the Soviet mirror image, alleging American imperial ambition.
Related dot points
- The origins of the Cold War, including ideological differences, the wartime conferences at Yalta (February 1945) and Potsdam (July to August 1945), and the breakdown of the Grand Alliance
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