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NSW · Maths Extension 1
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§-Quick questions
NSWMaths Extension 1Statistical Analysis (ME-S1)

Quick questions on Binomial probability calculations: exact values, cumulative probabilities and complements

6short Q&A pairs drawn directly from our worked dot-point answer. For full context and worked exam questions, read the parent dot-point page.

What is complementary counting, stage by stage?
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The single most useful move in these questions is to count the complement when it is shorter. Take a five-question multiple-choice test with four options each, guessed at random, so XB(5,0.25)X \sim B(5, 0.25), and suppose the question asks for P(X2)P(X \ge 2), the probability of getting at least two right. The three panels show why the complement wins.
What are exact number of successes?
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P(X=k)P(X = k) directly from the pmf.
What is at least one success?
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P(X1)=1P(X=0)=1(1p)nP(X \ge 1) = 1 - P(X = 0) = 1 - (1 - p)^n.
What are no successes?
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P(X=0)=(1p)nP(X = 0) = (1 - p)^n.
What is wrong complement?
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P(Xk)=1P(Xk1)P(X \ge k) = 1 - P(X \le k - 1), not 1P(Xk)1 - P(X \le k) (which would double-count X=kX = k).
What is calculator overflow?
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For large nn (say n=100n = 100), 0.51000.5^{100} is small but not zero. Many calculators handle this fine; some need scientific notation.

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