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Module 7: Fact or Fallacy?

Quick questions on Wakefield's MMR vaccine claim: HSC Investigating Science Module 7

15short Q&A pairs drawn directly from our worked dot-point answer. For full context and worked exam questions, read the parent dot-point page.

What is the original claim?
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Title. "Ileal-lymphoid-nodular hyperplasia, non-specific colitis, and pervasive developmental disorder in children."
What is why the paper was a problem?
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Peer review failure. The Lancet's peer reviewers did not detect the conflicts (which were undisclosed) or the cherry-picking. Peer review is imperfect: it relies on disclosure and on reviewers seeing the manuscript content, not financial records.
What is the unravelling?
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2004. Journalist Brian Deer of the Sunday Times began investigating, finding the legal payments and the patent.
What is the replication evidence?
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After 1998, multiple large independent studies tested the MMR-autism hypothesis.
What is consequences for public health?
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UK. MMR coverage fell from 92 per cent in 1996 to 80 per cent by 2003 in some areas. Measles, declared eliminated in the UK in 2017, lost elimination status in 2018 amid recurring outbreaks. 1,348 confirmed measles cases in 2008 was the highest since 1994.
What is why journalists matter?
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Brian Deer's investigation is now studied as a case of how investigative journalism can be essential to scientific self-correction. Peer review and replication alone may not detect deliberate fraud. Independent journalism, with access to documents and witnesses, found the financial conflicts and the data discrepancies.
What is title?
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"Ileal-lymphoid-nodular hyperplasia, non-specific colitis, and pervasive developmental disorder in children."
What is author?
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Andrew Wakefield, a gastroenterologist at the Royal Free Hospital, London, plus 12 co-authors.
What is publication?
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The Lancet, 28 February 1998.
What is method?
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A case series of 12 children with developmental delay (including autism) and bowel symptoms. Wakefield reported a possible connection between MMR vaccination, bowel inflammation and developmental regression.
What is the claim?
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The paper did not explicitly claim MMR causes autism, but Wakefield aggressively promoted this interpretation at a press conference. He recommended single-virus vaccines (measles, mumps and rubella separately) rather than the combined MMR.
What is peer review failure?
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The Lancet's peer reviewers did not detect the conflicts (which were undisclosed) or the cherry-picking. Peer review is imperfect: it relies on disclosure and on reviewers seeing the manuscript content, not financial records.
What is 2004?
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Journalist Brian Deer of the Sunday Times began investigating, finding the legal payments and the patent.
What is 2007 to 2010?
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UK General Medical Council fitness-to-practise hearings examined Wakefield's conduct. The longest investigation in GMC history.
What is 2010 February?
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The Lancet formally retracted the 1998 paper.

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